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Within the next day or two, the Twins are expected to make official their signing of left-handed reliever Danny Coulombe, reuniting with the veteran free agent on a one-year deal reportedly worth $3 million. In isolation, it is a match that makes plenty of sense. Minnesota had a glaring absence of established left-handers in the bullpen mix, and Coulombe has been excellent over the past two seasons. He's also plenty familiar to the organization, having spent three seasons here from 2020-22.
But when you take a step back and look at the full scope of Minnesota's needs, and their (lack of) available resources, investing this amount into a 35-year-old relief pitcher coming off an injury — for a bullpen unit that already looked like the team's biggest strength — is an interesting decision, to say the least.
Barring an upcoming move that reduces the payroll level, it seems as though the Twins front office just spent most if not all of the funds at its disposal. Dan Hayes of The Athletic wrote in a column last week that the "Twins are believed to have some financial leeway, perhaps $5 million in the 2025 payroll." That is a heavily couched statement, and even if true in the most generous reading, that would mean they're now down to about $2 million in remaining funds.
To reiterate, left-handed relief was a clear area of need for the Twins. I'm glad they addressed it a meaningful way and made the team better. Just maybe not so much if it comes at the expense of meaningfully addressing another area of need where the urgency was arguably higher.
Coulombe should be a quality addition. In 2023-24 with the Orioles, he posted a 2.56 ERA and 2.83 FIP over 81 innings — tremendous production that makes it a little surprising he was available on a one-year, $3 million deal. The reason for this, aside from the generally challenging market for free agent relievers, is that Coulombe is 35 years old and coming off surgery to remove bone spurs from his elbow. The Orioles were dubious enough about his outlook to decline a $4 million option, which is why he was a free agent to begin with.
That's a good amount of added risk at an already volatile position. His upside is clearly higher than Minnesota's in-house options like Kody Funderburk and non-roster invite Anthony Misiewicz, but when you account for age, injury and the general impact of the role ... is Coulombe's baseline expectation as a difference-maker that much higher?
I'm not sure. At least not when you account for the opportunities that this signing potentially curtails. The Twins are lacking a clear starter at first base, and have little experienced depth on their bench. There's been an evident imbalance of pitchers and hitters on the roster, yet they continually to only add arms.
Two million dollars, if indeed that's what remains available to spend, isn't going to get you much of anything on these fronts. I mean $5 million wasn't going to get much but you've got a better chance at getting lucky. Carlos Santana cost $5 million. Randal Grichuk, a veteran righty outfield bat, signed for $5 million on the same day Coulombe's agreement was announced.
If healthy and pitching up to his standard, Coulombe will be a formidable addition to a high-powered bullpen that has a chance to shorten games in similar fashion to Cleveland's last year. In the end maybe as a whole that is more valuable than whatever bat the Twins might have landed for a few million bucks, and that's the motivation at play.
But if this front office had only one move to make, I don't know that I would've ranked a middle reliever higher than a first baseman or an outfielder. Either the team disagrees, or another twist is waiting in the wings.
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