Fun with numbers 2022 edition

[AlwaysinModeration]

I didn’t see a thread posted for this year, did I miss it?

Buxton on pace for 162 homers.

I prefer that to “Twins on pace to lose 108 1-run games, 54 of them with a blown save.”

Of course, we could also go with:

Twins on pace for 486 home runs this year.

[USAFChief]

BULLPEN ON PACE FOR ZERO SAVES IN 2022!!1!

[Nine of twelve]

Saves don't matter if your team hits 486 home runs.

[stringer bell]

Not fun with numbers. Miguel Sanó  has the most at-bats without a hit in MLB. Also Byron Buxton is tied for fourth in strikeouts (10) while right behind (tied for ninth) are Sánchez  and Sanó (9).

[ashbury]

3 hours ago, stringer bell said:

Not fun with numbers. Miguel Sanó  has the most at-bats without a hit in MLB. Also Byron Buxton is tied for fourth in strikeouts (10) while right behind (tied for ninth) are Sánchez  and Sanó (9).

Leading the league in errors made, probably doesn't qualify as fun either.

[D. Hocking]

When a season is not going well, the definition of "fun" can often be a bit contorted from its traditional meaning.

[wsnydes]

On 4/12/2022 at 6:17 PM, Nine of twelve said:

Saves don't matter if your team hits 486 home runs.

It does if they lose 108 1-run games while hitting 486 home runs, with 54 of them being by blown save!

[Vanimal46]

He’s prettay, prettay, pretty good at baseball. 

[stringer bell]

Here's something interesting I found courtesy of BBRef. FIP vs. ERA. Here's a sample of this year's Twins pitchers:

ERA < FIP (lucky)--Ryan 3.84/1.69, Archer 5.20/3.18, Smith 2.03/0.00, Winder 5.50/3.48 (Larger number is FIP)

ERA > FIP (unlucky)--Thielbar 13.50/3.51, Paddack 5.00/1.86, Stashak 5.79/3.30 (Larger number is ERA)

Overall the team ERA is 3.38 and the team FIP is 4.04

 

[Vanimal46]

 

[Vanimal46]

Amazingly FUN with numbers. 

[ashbury]

15 hours ago, Vanimal46 said:

 

Imagine what he could have accomplished if he hadn't been injured for half of those 110 games.

[sampleSizeOfOne]

7 hours ago, ashbury said:

Imagine what he could have accomplished if he hadn't been injured for half of those 110 games.

82 homers?

 

 

Or was as the original quote was "his last 110 games" um, 41. But thatisn't very imaginetive, because it was a set of games he wasn't injured for...

[ashbury]

1 hour ago, sampleSizeOfOne said:

82 homers?

 

 

Or was as the original quote was "his last 110 games" um, 41. But thatisn't very imaginetive, because it was a set of games he wasn't injured for...

Absurdity is just one of the many services I offer.

[USAFChief]

The Pitates beat the Dodgers 5-1 Monday night. 

Pirates starter Jose Quintana earned the W.

That was the 1st Pirates starter to earn a win this season. In their 28th game of the season.

[Nine of twelve]

I think this topic may be better positioned in the Other Baseball forum, but wherever is fine with me.

Many people have said that the AL Central is weak, and based on the standings that certainly appears to be a correct assessment. But while it's the weakest division it's not by much. Currently the ALC is -18 relative to .500, but the NLC and NLE are close, at -16 and -12 respectively. The ALW sits at +2, with the ALE at +15 and the NLW at a whopping +29. So there is a high level of disparity among the divisions so far this year. Interestingly, in spite of this the two leagues are essentially even, with the NL at +1 and the AL at -1, which could easily balance out to zero after the Reds/Jays game this afternoon.

Another bit of information gleaned from the current standings is that every team sporting a winning record would qualify for the postseason with no team at or below .500 advancing. In the AL the Twins would host the Jays and the Rays would host the Angels in the opening round. In the NL the Brewers would host the Cardinals and the Padres would host the Giants.

We are only about a quarter of the way into the regular season so it's still early. Nevertheless the trends among the divisions seem pretty strong so far and it will be interesting to see whether and how things change as the season progresses.

While I'm thinking about the postseason I'll mention something about the World Series. In a 5-game series one team has home field advantage but in a 7-game series the other team does. Since the current format was adopted in 1922 there have been 20 5-game series and 37 7-game series, so hosting games 1, 2, 6, and 7 is more likely to be advantageous than hosting games 3, 4, and 5. Currently the team with the better record opens the WS at home, which is fine, but I would change it. I would have the team from the league with the better interleague record open the WS at home. My reasoning behind this is that that team would have had a higher level of difficulty advancing to the WS and should therefore be granted home field in game 1. If the leagues finish at .500 the team with the better record would host, and further tie-breakers could be put in place to use if need be.

[USAFChief]

Through May 24th, Luis Arraez is sporting an OBP of .455.

 

Four. Fifty. Five.

[Vanimal46]

 

[Mike Frasier Law]

Not sure if this is "fun" but it involves numbers. Our top 5 starting pitchers by fWAR are all currently on the DL:

1) Ryan 1.0

2) Paddack 0.9

3) Ober 0.9

4) Gray 0.9

5) Winder 0.5

 

How exactly are we still leading our division?

[Vanimal46]

 

[Nine of twelve]

3 hours ago, Vanimal46 said:

 

A lot of us thought the Twins would be a top-level offensive team heading into the season. As of this point in the season that is indeed the case.

[Vanimal46]

 

[Nine of twelve]

Many of us Twins fans make the assumption that the AL Central is the weakest division. It's not, and it's not even close. Here are the numbers at the ASG break.

NL Central: 47 games below .500

ALC: -30

ALW: -15

NLE: +10

NLW: +26

ALE: +56

As you can see, the AL is +11 in interleague play.