End of the FA line and ST about to start. Which of these 3 do you want?

[nicksaviking]

 

I'd rather pay $20 million/year for 200 innings than 60. I'd also rather sign up Keuchel to 4 years than 1 or 2. I expect he'll be a top-end starter for another 4-6 years. And he'd really help out our young guys in learning how to pitch.

 

He's a groundball machine and the Twins have Sano and Polanco making up half of the infield. I don't think he's been a top end pitcher in three years, but what ever he was, he is not a fit with the defensive makeup of this team. He led the league in Hits given up last year, I can't imagine how many he would have given up had he been on the Twins.

 

 

[Steve Lein]

I had Marwin Gonzalez as my #1 Free Agent target for the Twins, so I'll say him.

 

I will take any of them, however.

[Otto von Ballpark]

 

I am super leery of Gonzalez's career year in 2017. Without it, his baseline going forward looks like an OPS just slightly above .700. Ehire's sample-size is smaller but his last three seasons suggest a baseline just under .700. If you factor in defense then the edge for Marwin is even harder for me to see.

 

If he's got another 2017 in him, he's worth the money that's been suggested, and indeed he should earn starter's minutes.

 

I don't claim to be an expert in forecasting but part of the art is in detecting an outlier versus meaningful information for going forward, and for better or for worse I try.

 

Marwin Gonzalez's Steamer projection largely agrees with you, pegging him at 104 wRC+ for 2019. That would be a repeat of his 2018 season wRC+, but in the 4 years prior (2014-2017), he exceeded 104 three times -- and of course he had that peak of 144 in 2017. Eyeballing it, it looks like he has a decent chance of beating that projection, and a non-negligible chance of beating it handily.

 

Adrianza, on the other hand, is projected at 85 wRC+ and he's actually never even reached that mark, really (72 wRC+ in his Giants career, then 84 and 82 in his Twins career so far). He might have the same chance of reaching 100 wRC+ as Gonzalez has of approaching 144 again. Adrianza is virtually the same age as Gonzalez too (both turn 30 this year).

 

Adrianza has the edge defensively, but Gonzalez isn't bad for his career -- his career UZR/150 at 2B, SS, and 3B ranges from -5 to -7. I'd say it largely comes down to how much you buy their small sample numbers at 3B, since they could see most of their infield action there. FWIW, Gonzalez has rated well in the corner outfield and at 1B, and could be a viable starter at those spots -- and the Twins have some uncertainty at those spots too.

 

Obviously it all depends on the terms of a deal. I'd rather target pitching, but a short term deal for Gonzalez might be better than simply sitting on the cash.

[Miggy's Little Helper]

"My view ... is the best time to acquire players of that magnitude is when your window to win is wide open, not when you're got your fingers underneath the window and you're trying to jam the window open," Levine said on a panel at TwinsFest. "I want to do it when we're projected to win the Central, and we're ready to put our foot on someone's throat."

 

One has to wonder exactly who Falvine lumps into "players of that magnitude".  In this quote, it's Machado and Harper, but given the Twin's inaction in the wake of a $100M payroll, it'd appear that they're averse to generally signing 3-4 WAR players to multi-year deals.  Assuming that's true, which again, it appears to be, Levine's quote should worry every Twins fan: we're not going to spend money on impact players unless we're the best.  But we won't spend money on impactful players to move from being close to the best to the actual best.  With Falvine's asinine mentality, we're doomed.  We're going to be the 90s and 00s Royals. 

 

As an aside to all of that, assuming Keuchel can be had for 4 years or less, if the Twins don't sign Keuchel, it's GM malpractice.  Last year was an absolute disaster and we STILL WON 78 GAMES.  What if, instead of everything going wrong like last year, things go better than expected (or even as expected) in the production department?  I mean, even with EXPECTED production, Fangraphs has us 2 games out of the Wild Card game right now.  Keuchel either puts you in contention for the 2nd WC spot or, if Cleveland has a disaster season (which is not so impossible to envision given their roster turnover), it could be just enough to get us over the division title line.  

 

Next, we're going to need to spend on the rotation next year.  We have one set starter for next year.  Everything else is completely dependent on development.  Not only does the lack of penciled-in arms increase the importance of spending this year (when the odds of winning are better), it also means that signing a pitcher for 2020 and beyond decreases the margin for error moving forward.  Using the Falvine philsophy, they're not going to sign Madbum, Cole, Sale, Strasburg (assuming he opts out, which is no sure thing in today's market), etc.  So who would you rather spend the money on? The only pitcher (in my mind) to even consider is Verlander on a 2-year/$40M deal for his age 37 and 38 season--a decision that decreases the odds of reaching the playoffs this year. 

 

The end of the Hot Stove season has me seething.  A complete punt job in the weakest division in baseball with the sole rival in decline.  

 

 

 

[Don Walcott]

 

He's a groundball machine and the Twins have Sano and Polanco making up half of the infield. I don't think he's been a top end pitcher in three years, but what ever he was, he is not a fit with the defensive makeup of this team. He led the league in Hits given up last year, I can't imagine how many he would have given up had he been on the Twins.

Generally, the guys who give up the most hits also pitch the most innings. Keuchel got the third most outs in the league last year.

 

I'm not as worried about the specific personnel on the infield because of how much we shift. And with Buxton back, the outfield defense is going to take away a lot of hits. Kuechel has a 3.66 career ERA playing half of his games in a much better hitter's park than Target Field.

 

Not sure what "top end" means. But if he pitches 200 innings sub-4 ERA, that makes things a whole lot easier on the rest of the staff and bullpen.

[Miggy's Little Helper]

Also, GM malpractice theory #2.  The Twins decide to not sign any impactful players between now and the end of Spring Training and fail to use the $30M of available payroll space to frontload extensions for Berrios and Rosario.  Letting $30M sit by the wayside--never to be used again based on the insane 50% of revenue rule--would be inexcusable. 

 

Defense to GM malpractice: Pohlad set payroll at $100M and Falvine has to spin (probably so the Pohlads could, in part, pay for the purchase of FSN--which of course will not constitute useable revenue for future Twins payroll).

[Tomj14]

 

 

Defense to GM malpractice: Pohlad set payroll at $100M and Falvine has to spin (probably so the Pohlads could, in part, pay for the purchase of FSN--which of course will not constitute useable revenue for future Twins payroll).

That couldn't be worse for fans, FSN gives the twins a bad TV deal, the Phlads make a ton on the FSN side, and cut Twins payroll because of a bad TV deal, seems like a win win for them and as loss for the fans.

[Miggy's Little Helper]

 

That couldn't be worse for fans, FSN gives the twins a bad TV deal, the Phlads make a ton on the FSN side, and cut Twins payroll because of a bad TV deal, seems like a win win for them and as loss for the fans.

I agree with you.  If that's what's going on, it excuses Falvine from the blame.  At that point, it'd all be on the Pohlads.  

[nicksaviking]

 

Generally, the guys who give up the most hits also pitch the most innings. Keuchel got the third most outs in the league last year.

 

I'm not as worried about the specific personnel on the infield because of how much we shift. And with Buxton back, the outfield defense is going to take away a lot of hits. Kuechel has a 3.66 career ERA playing half of his games in a much better hitter's park than Target Field.

 

Not sure what "top end" means. But if he pitches 200 innings sub-4 ERA, that makes things a whole lot easier on the rest of the staff and bullpen.

 

I know I've got some mental blocks with this stuff, but paying a guy 60M over four years who can't hit 90 MPH makes me queasy. If he can't strike anyone out, he shouldn't be on the team. He's a big name but that doesn't make him a good fit.

 

If the rest of the league didn't agree he'd already be signed; no one's holding him up now, the top free agent pitcher was signed months ago. It's the same reason Lynn and Cobb went for way less than projected and/or had to wait into spring training to sign last year. If a pitcher has to rely on his infield to get all of his outs because he can't get them on his own, he's much less valuable. All outs are not equal and based on trend of sinkerball pitchers on the free agent market the last several years, the teams feel the same.

 

And unless they come up with some new outfield-less shift, I don't know how Buxton and company are going to take away many hits. Only 24% of his outs were flyballs last year. Every batter will be taking aim at the dirt right between Sano and Polanco.

[Don Walcott]

 

I know I've got some mental blocks with this stuff, but paying a guy 60M over four years who can't hit 90 MPH makes me queasy. If he can't strike anyone out, he shouldn't be on the team. He's a big name but that doesn't make him a good fit.

 

If the rest of the league didn't agree he'd already be signed; no one's holding him up now, the top free agent pitcher was signed months ago. It's the same reason Lynn and Cobb went for way less than projected and/or had to wait into spring training to sign last year. If a pitcher has to rely on his infield to get all of his outs because he can't get them on his own, he's much less valuable. All outs are not equal and based on trend of sinkerball pitchers on the free agent market the last several years, the teams feel the same.

 

And unless they come up with some new outfield-less shift, I don't know how Buxton and company are going to take away many hits. Only 24% of his outs were flyballs last year. Every batter will be taking aim at the dirt right between Sano and Polanco.

He struck out 153 major league batters last year. It's not like he can't strike anyone out. His FIP and ERA are consistent, and both well below 4 for his career. So he's somehow figured out how to get a lot of guys out without giving up many runs, despite not lighting up the radar the way you'd like.

 

Why he hasn't been signed yet? I don't know. Maybe teams like the Twins are playing games with free agents, and a bunch of teams aren't trying to win. Why aren't Harper, Machado and Kimbrel signed yet? Does the rest of the league think they aren't very good?

 

If every batter approaches Keuchel by trying to hit the ball on the ground between third and short, I predict he'll have a great season, regardless of who is playing in the infield.

[Miggy's Little Helper]

 

I know I've got some mental blocks with this stuff, but paying a guy 60M over four years who can't hit 90 MPH makes me queasy. If he can't strike anyone out, he shouldn't be on the team. He's a big name but that doesn't make him a good fit.

 

First, I think it's going to be closer to 80M than 60M.  

 

Second,

 

2015: 90.5 Average Fastball Velocity - 2.48 ERA - 23.7% K rate (THAT'S HOW YOU WIN CY YOUNGS', BABY) 

2016: 89.3 - 4.55 - 20.5%

2017: 89.6 - 2.90 - 21.4%

2018: 90.2  - 3.74 - 17.5%

 

Not every pitcher relies on velo for effectiveness and strikeouts.  

 

[nicksaviking]

 

First, I think it's going to be closer to 80M than 60M.  

 

Second,

 

2015: 90.5 Average Fastball Velocity - 2.48 ERA - 23.7% K rate (THAT'S HOW YOU WIN CY YOUNGS', BABY) 

2016: 89.3 - 4.55 - 20.5%

2017: 89.6 - 2.90 - 21.4%

2018: 90.2  - 3.74 - 17.5%

 

Not every pitcher relies on velo for effectiveness and strikeouts.  

 

Unless that strikeout rate significantly improves, I'm not interested. If he's going to put the ball into play at the rate that he has been, his effectiveness is going to be significantly tied to the infield defense behind him.

 

This is a different game than it was even ten years ago. You take all the variables off of the table when you prevent the batter from putting the ball in play. 

[Vanimal46]

"My view ... is the best time to acquire players of that magnitude is when your window to win is wide open, not when you're got your fingers underneath the window and you're trying to jam the window open," Levine said on a panel at TwinsFest. "I want to do it when we're projected to win the Central, and we're ready to put our foot on someone's throat."

 

One has to wonder exactly who Falvine lumps into "players of that magnitude". In this quote, it's Machado and Harper, but given the Twin's inaction in the wake of a $100M payroll, it'd appear that they're averse to generally signing 3-4 WAR players to multi-year deals. Assuming that's true, which again, it appears to be, Levine's quote should worry every Twins fan: we're not going to spend money on impact players unless we're the best. But we won't spend money on impactful players to move from being close to the best to the actual best. With Falvine's asinine mentality, we're doomed. We're going to be the 90s and 00s Royals.

 

As an aside to all of that, assuming Keuchel can be had for 4 years or less, if the Twins don't sign Keuchel, it's GM malpractice. Last year was an absolute disaster and we STILL WON 78 GAMES. What if, instead of everything going wrong like last year, things go better than expected (or even as expected) in the production department? I mean, even with EXPECTED production, Fangraphs has us 2 games out of the Wild Card game right now. Keuchel either puts you in contention for the 2nd WC spot or, if Cleveland has a disaster season (which is not so impossible to envision given their roster turnover), it could be just enough to get us over the division title line.

 

Next, we're going to need to spend on the rotation next year. We have one set starter for next year. Everything else is completely dependent on development. Not only does the lack of penciled-in arms increase the importance of spending this year (when the odds of winning are better), it also means that signing a pitcher for 2020 and beyond decreases the margin for error moving forward. Using the Falvine philsophy, they're not going to sign Madbum, Cole, Sale, Strasburg (assuming he opts out, which is no sure thing in today's market), etc. So who would you rather spend the money on? The only pitcher (in my mind) to even consider is Verlander on a 2-year/$40M deal for his age 37 and 38 season--a decision that decreases the odds of reaching the playoffs this year.

 

The end of the Hot Stove season has me seething. A complete punt job in the weakest division in baseball with the sole rival in decline.

 

I feel your pain. I really do... This offseason sucked big time.

[ewen21]

 

"My view ... is the best time to acquire players of that magnitude is when your window to win is wide open, not when you're got your fingers underneath the window and you're trying to jam the window open," Levine said on a panel at TwinsFest. "I want to do it when we're projected to win the Central, and we're ready to put our foot on someone's throat."

 

One has to wonder exactly who Falvine lumps into "players of that magnitude".  In this quote, it's Machado and Harper, but given the Twin's inaction in the wake of a $100M payroll, it'd appear that they're averse to generally signing 3-4 WAR players to multi-year deals.  Assuming that's true, which again, it appears to be, Levine's quote should worry every Twins fan: we're not going to spend money on impact players unless we're the best.  But we won't spend money on impactful players to move from being close to the best to the actual best.  With Falvine's asinine mentality, we're doomed.  We're going to be the 90s and 00s Royals. 

 

As an aside to all of that, assuming Keuchel can be had for 4 years or less, if the Twins don't sign Keuchel, it's GM malpractice.  Last year was an absolute disaster and we STILL WON 78 GAMES.  What if, instead of everything going wrong like last year, things go better than expected (or even as expected) in the production department?  I mean, even with EXPECTED production, Fangraphs has us 2 games out of the Wild Card game right now.  Keuchel either puts you in contention for the 2nd WC spot or, if Cleveland has a disaster season (which is not so impossible to envision given their roster turnover), it could be just enough to get us over the division title line.  

 

Next, we're going to need to spend on the rotation next year.  We have one set starter for next year.  Everything else is completely dependent on development.  Not only does the lack of penciled-in arms increase the importance of spending this year (when the odds of winning are better), it also means that signing a pitcher for 2020 and beyond decreases the margin for error moving forward.  Using the Falvine philsophy, they're not going to sign Madbum, Cole, Sale, Strasburg (assuming he opts out, which is no sure thing in today's market), etc.  So who would you rather spend the money on? The only pitcher (in my mind) to even consider is Verlander on a 2-year/$40M deal for his age 37 and 38 season--a decision that decreases the odds of reaching the playoffs this year. 

 

The end of the Hot Stove season has me seething.  A complete punt job in the weakest division in baseball with the sole rival in decline.  

I am surprised you made it through the Terry Ryan years without going utterly bonkers if this offseason has you seething.

[yarnivek1972]

Keuchel has a higher career K rate than Kyle Gibson, a guy many have advocated for an extension.

[Miggy's Little Helper]

 

Unless that strikeout rate significantly improves, I'm not interested. If he's going to put the ball into play at the rate that he has been, his effectiveness is going to be significantly tied to the infield defense behind him.

 

This is a different game than it was even ten years ago. You take all the variables off of the table when you prevent the batter from putting the ball in play. 

 

Even assuming that strikeouts were the end-all, be-all for pitchers (which they aren't), we are also looking at things from a roster standpoint.  

 

Historically, Keuchel has slightly more of a "strikeout pitcher" than Gibson and is something like an actual lightyear (186,000 miles per second times a year for those keeping track at home) ahead of Perez.  Keuchel's average strikeout rate is basically on par with Odorizzi (another good argument for strikeout's aren't everything).

 

We'd all love to have 5 starters that have rate out at 12.0K/9 and 1.0BB/9.  But it doesn't work like that.  There wasn't even a player on the FA market like that (assuming that you believe like most of the world that Corbin's 30.8% K rate - 50% more than his historical rate - is due for regression).  What matters is that Keuchel is a vastly superior pitcher to Perez and that Keuchel's inclusion in the rotation makes the team better.

[Miggy's Little Helper]

 

I am surprised you made it through the Terry Ryan years without going utterly bonkers if this offseason has you seething.

 

It was the expectation that Falvine would be different (a thought that, as a Minnesotan, I knew deep down I should not have) compounded with last off-season's transactions.  Need a DH: sign Morrison.  Need SP: sign Lynn and trade for Odo.  Need BP help: sign Reed and 'Nando (and design a hell of an introductory video--maybe that's where the $30M for this year went).  All of those moves made sense and gave the impression we were willing to spend money to be competitive.  

[ewen21]

 

As has been said many times, this is the year to find out whether or not Sano and /or Buxton have long careers ahead of them. They should not be on an infinite leash but the pre All Star part of the season should be sacrificed to find out one way or the other and that includes the fact that both have been injury/ailment prone. If either or both doesn't perform or goes on the (now injury list since disabled has been deemed to be politically incorrect terminology), that is it as far as I am concerned.

My point is that until this is resolved once and for all, any major position player free agent signings would be a very tough call. Plus, I think the Twins also have a new manager who may have some ideas after he gets a few games under his belt. At least I hope he does.

And there you have it.

 

Whether anyone agrees or not this is what they are doing because they cannot yet figure out if these guys will be cornerstone players.  I  have a hard time thinking about the FAs that make sense for this team because guys like Polanco, Kepler, Sano and (most of all) Buxton basically kicked us in the nuts last year.  I am far more frustrated with Sano and Buxton than I am our two-headed GM.   I also think I may have overrated Kepler.  Love the kid, want him to do well....but I feel like I have to walk back expectations.  Polanco is a strong hitter, but he really REALLY disappointed with the steroid junk.

 

YOu are right.  A lot of this is on Buxton and Sano.  They took a huge step back last year and it really makes it difficult to figure out the mission with these two as bad as they were.

[ewen21]

 

It was the expectation that Falvine would be different (a thought that, as a Minnesotan, I knew deep down I should not have) compounded with last off-season's transactions.  Need a DH: sign Morrison.  Need SP: sign Lynn and trade for Odo.  Need BP help: sign Reed and 'Nando (and design a hell of an introductory video--maybe that's where the $30M for this year went).  All of those moves made sense and gave the impression we were willing to spend money to be competitive.  

Fair enough, but I guess my expectations were tempered going into this season.

Number3 hit the nail on the head.  For better or worse, they are in a holding pattern right now mostly because of Sano and Buxton.

[Don Walcott]

I don't agree with the FO waiting to see how Buxton and Sano play before improving this team. The only positions they occupy are CF and 3B. We can hope they do better this year and still improve the rest of the team. We should be improving our pitching, regardless of how good Sano and Buxton are.

 

It seems like our FO is afraid to take any risks. Last year, they signed a bunch of guys who mostly did not work out. However, they were able to trade some of them, and the rest weren't long-term deals that would have made them look really bad. Now, we're in a similar position with no potential "albatross" contracts. However, that also means that we won't be signing the level of talent that we need to compete with Cleveland.

 

And pinning the lack of improvement for our pitching staff on Sano and Buxton seems like a way to unfairly shift the blame for the FO not doing its job onto two young players. If our pitching doesn't improve this season, I will be blaming the FO, not Buxton and Sano.

[Miggy's Little Helper]

 

Fair enough, but I guess my expectations were tempered going into this season.

Number3 hit the nail on the head.  For better or worse, they are in a holding pattern right now mostly because of Sano and Buxton.

 

We are all waiting for Buxton and Sano to be what they think they can be.  The risk is this: what if one or both have a monster year?  If you don't spend, you could essentially "waste" a year--and not only that, you could arguably waste the year you've fielded the best overall roster with both of them on your team.  Time is running out for Sano and Buxton after this year, only 2 years and 3 years, respectively, after 2019.  The core is getting more expensive and the replacement talent doesn't appear likely to be as good in 2020.  You're probably banking on taking one last shot in 2021 when you have full seasons of Buxton, Sano, Kiriloff, and Lewis on the roster.  By then, of course, we might not "clearly be the best team in the division" because the White Sox will likely be competitive--especially if they sign Machado or Harper (or, God forbid, both).  

 

Also the rational response cannot be, "we'll just trade at the deadline."  There's a serious chance that, if the Twins are in the race, the difference will be 1-2 games.  That's the expected difference between Keuchel and Perez over a half (and, if we wait until the deadline, slightly more than half) season.  Sure, we could always trade for a prime-Madbum-like player, who in theory could cover the difference, but that's not sensical for two reasons: (1) you could sign Keuchel AND trade for the Madbum-like player (putting you in the Falvine-throat-stepping GO ZONE); or (2) you'd be raiding the minors to cover a plain error.  Of course, based on Falvine's logic, you wouldn't trade for a Madbum-like player in a close race because even though you're in the race, you're not "clearly the best team in the division."  It's not worth the outlay for a rental.  

 

Also, again, a lack of action on a multi-year front is short-sighted because they're going to be signing FAs next year out of necessity anyways (lest we reboot the 2013 Twins offseason plan (Correa, Pelfrey and the Vanimal (and May) for Revere).  If they go that route, they're in Loria-esque payroll territory.

 

Compare all of that with doing nothing.  The Twins might save $20M if they don't sign Keuchel--that's the only advantage.  But, it's not a "savings" that will be rolled over into next year or the year after.  If the advantage is saving money otherwise allocated to payroll by formula, why even compete in the first place?  Why waste $14.3M on Cruz?  When you could've used an Austin/Duda platoon.  Why waste $7.5M on Schoop?  We could call up Gordon and see what he's got or play Adrianza until mid-season.  Why tender Odorizzi at $9.5M?  Fernando Romero time.  That's another "wasted" $31M-ish!  Now the Pohlads saved over $50M!  

[ahart10]

Infield defense isn’t the need it was in years past due to the shift.

[nicksaviking]

Keuchel has a higher career K rate than Kyle Gibson, a guy many have advocated for an extension.

Gibson’s strikeout rate only increased after he started using his slider more and de-ephisized his sinker. Gibson’s transformation is a prime example why Keuchel isn’t a fit; Gibson wasn’t good when he was doing what Keuchel does now. Keuchel likely won’t change if he gets paid. Plus his velocity is too low for a nice 4 seamer and slider to work.

 

And I don’t want to extend Gibson, he’s too old now.

[Mike Sixel]

Gibson’s strikeout rate only increased after he started using his slider more and de-ephisized his sinker. Gibson’s transformation is a prime example why Keuchel isn’t a fit; Keuchel likely won’t change if he gets paid. Plus his velocity is too low for a nice 4 seamer and slider to work.

 

And I don’t want to extend Gibson, he’s too old now.

Too old? I mean, what? What free agent would you ever sign if you won't sign a 31 year old? Help me understand what your are saying

[Twodogs]

Kimbrel

[nicksaviking]

Too old? I mean, what? What free agent would you ever sign if you won't sign a 31 year old? Help me understand what your are saying

Develop your own frontline guys and/or trade for them. If you need free agents identify guys who haven’t peaked yet, but don’t expect them to be anything other than league average. Pitchers don’t tend to de-age, they’re unlikely to be better for your team than their previous team.

 

And never return the call from an agent of a sinkerballer.

 

I’d take Harper and Machado. I’d take Kimbrel and would have been happy with a dozen other relievers. But just because someone is a high profile free agent doesn’t mean he’s a good fit for this team. Keuchel fits monetarily, I don’t see the fit strategically.

[Thrylos]

 

¯\_(ツ)_/¯ He stopped playing when I was 2 years old. I need a more recent comparison.

 

Logan Forsythe.  There.  Should be pretty recent

[DocBauer]

That couldn't be worse for fans, FSN gives the twins a bad TV deal, the Phlads make a ton on the FSN side, and cut Twins payroll because of a bad TV deal, seems like a win win for them and as loss for the fans.

Not directed to you Tom, I just used your quote to address the issue.

 

If the Pohlad's buy the FSN, or a controlling interest it will be a multi-million dollar purchase, if not a cool $B. Shorting the 2019 Twins payroll a few $M is a Twins business decision and has nothing to do with an FSN purchase.

[Mike Sixel]

Not directed to you Tom, I just used your quote to address the issue.

 

If the Pohlad's buy the FSN, or a controlling interest it will be a multi-million dollar purchase, if not a cool $B. Shorting the 2019 Twins payroll a few $M is a Twins business decision and has nothing to do with an FSN purchase.

The point he was making was that FSN won't pay the Twins much, and then the magic refund revenue number will drop. But FSN will get the money. ....

[Mike Sixel]

Develop your own frontline guys and/or trade for them. If you need free agents identify guys who haven’t peaked yet, but don’t expect them to be anything other than league average. Pitchers don’t tend to de-age, they’re unlikely to be better for your team than their previous team.

 

And never return the call from an agent of a sinkerballer.

 

I’d take Harper and Machado. I’d take Kimbrel and would have been happy with a dozen other relievers. But just because someone is a high profile free agent doesn’t mean he’s a good fit for this team. Keuchel fits monetarily, I don’t see the fit strategically.

Are younger, good, guys traded? I don't get this at all.