twinstalker
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Everything posted by twinstalker
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There'd be some real hope if his slightly older brother could hit at all. As is, he's starting out even worse.
- 11 replies
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- bryan acuna
- ronald acuna jr
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LOL at including a guy who said in the middle of last year that it was his last season.
- 40 replies
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- garrett hampson
- kevin pillar
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LOL at K. Culpepper. Doubt it. The problem with Lewis and Morris is they may be up before lists fully realize how good they are, and their first months debuts are likely to be less than wonderful as they gain a foothold and surpass 50 ip. Eeles might be in a similar position. I'd say Soto has an outside chance. The hype is there, so great performance will get recognized in this way.
- 32 replies
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- connor prielipp
- kaelen culpepper
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But for unknown reasons. Are they ranking by height?
- 66 replies
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- kevin alcantara
- brody mccullough
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Twins Minor League Relief Pitcher of the Year: 2024
twinstalker replied to Steven Trefz's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Bengard is the only one who could really have a chance to impact the Twins, and he comes with an asterisk! Honestly, almost all major league relief is failed major league starting pitching, and almost zero of major league relief is minor league relief. That makes this category pretty uninteresting. I think I'd just lump all pitchers together and only rank that one reliever every five years who has stupid numbers.- 8 replies
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- spencer bengard
- samuel perez
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Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year– 2024
twinstalker replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Keaschall will be ready by June; the question is where.- 14 replies
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- dashawn keirsey jr
- carson mccusker
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Twins Minor League Hitter of the Year– 2024
twinstalker replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
This isn't a top prospect list. His numbers simply aren't as good. He gewd, tho...- 14 replies
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- dashawn keirsey jr
- carson mccusker
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True enough, but in this case the better minor league pitcher is also the better major league prospect. Festa pitched in AAA in '23, Zebby pitched in A ball this season. Also, Festa's inclusion on this list is questionable. But thank you to all heavens for not putting Raya here. Oof.
- 12 replies
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- zebby matthews
- andrew morris
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I'm not sure the first trade involving Smalley was a win. It depends on what would have happened with Blyleven. Was he a free agent at the end of 1976? The fact he was with Texas the following year says no. So, 1977 with the Twins would have been very interesting. Smalley and Cubbage were contributors, but they weren't above average and likely only somewhat above replacement. The Twins hit the hell out of the ball but couldn't pitch, except for Goltz and reliever Tom Johnson. The Twins surely would have fought KC down to the end with Blyleven instead of their worst pitcher. Just eating innings would have kept Johnson fresher and more able to help in the other games. I think the Twins, who faded, would have not only beaten KC a few more times but would have maybe won a ton more themselves. They did finish 17.5 game back, so I realize this argument has holes. Not to mention, they didn't finish that far back in 1976, though they were hot the 2nd half, so the difference with Blyleven might have been minimal. Twins finished 5 games back, so maybe Blyleven leads them into Yankee Stadium for the postseason. The Twins did have a hole at SS with Thompson sick, so they may have had to make n different trade. Mostly, though, you don't cut the salary of one of the five best pitchers in the AL.
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Here's what you read into promoting Jenkins from a team that's done to a team that's just playing out the string: They want to get him more ABs and do so vs slightly better pitching. It's as simple as that. For one, he's missed a chunk of the season. For two, more games means more ready for late season, as opposed to getting used to ending his season near the beginning of September. He might be in play for a late season call-up next year if the Twins are in it and need help. For three, yeah, he might start next year at AA due to weather, and if so they're not going to demote him without cause. He should at least something resembling AA pitching. Wichita vs Cedar Rapids in early April is something weather-wise but not guaranteed to be that much. A fictional tornado hit Kansas on May 5, 1900, after all.
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I was paging down to write exactly this: "Don't the the door..."
- 26 replies
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- max kepler
- trevor larnach
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I'm not sure Morris belongs on this particular list (due to rough AAA start), but he definitely is my favorite prospect, and I think he deserves mention in every article! Thank you for this. These monthly minors are my favorite features.
- 12 replies
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- travis adams
- cory lewis
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All three of these guys should crush low A. Now, the change itself from time off to playing ball again affects a number of players, such as Charlie Condon and JJ Wetherholt. Amick (average) and DeBarge (bad) are not playing well at low A. Kaelen Culpepper is not playing well at A+ after playing well at low A. All of them should be deserving to play A+ (two aren't) and doing well there (no one is). DeBarge (25% K rate at low A) was another disappointing pick by the Twins in the vein of Noah Miller, Keoni Cavaco, and Aaron Sabato, though I'll admit to hating the pick immediately in KDB's case. The others I had to see play in the minors. I swear somebody must have said "he's just like" Keaschall without qualifying on competition he played against and the competition he did well against. Amick doesn't seem too exciting, and I don't see anything in him to provide optimism. I seriously wonder how the Twins got Keaschall, given the choices they've made. Thank goodness there were no decisions to make wrt Jenkins and Lee. It was a bad draft, both overall and for the Twins. Culpepper is probably the best hitting hope of the three, but I don't see anything special there.
- 12 replies
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- kaelen culpepper
- kyle debarge
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Twins Minor League Hitter of the Month: August 2024
twinstalker replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
The Keirsey thing is indeed perplexing. I mean, we can guess that he's wrong-handed to fit, but that seems too simple. Can he not hit anything but AAA fastballs down the middle? And do so with really low exit velocities? Will the fan love him too much? I suggested recently the Twins didn't want to make a 40 move with him then have to take him off the 40, thereby exposing him to waivers...when they could wait to the end of the season to add him so they'd have their cheap 5th OF for 2025. Whereas they wouldn't be worried about a guy like Helman, but even when I said it, I had a hard time convincing myself they'd be worried about losing Keirsey. And Helman bats right-handed. Helman can easily be sent to AAA (no one will want him). My guess is Helman gets DFA'd, Buxton comes back, and maybe Keirsey gets a chance later in the month when the Twins don't think there'd be reason to cut him. They can take Severino off the 40.- 8 replies
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- carson mccusker
- walker jenkins
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I was ready to argue with whatever choices, but the best I'll do is that Willi Castro was foreseeable. I'm not even sure his numbers are that different from last year. Quick check: they're the same. Fun fact: ZIPS projections are regressed to the mean, and that means better players will have lower predictions than their previous year (in general). In a sense a player popping up as Castro did in 2023 is always a good choice to predict worse stats for the following year, but there are a number of other factors, including moving closer to prime hitting age (age 27/28 is the general peak, and he's 27 this year). While the probability of Castro matching his stats from last year weren't overwhelming, this doesn't really surprise despite a 2023 uptick in BABIP. I think Jax and SWR are very surprising, Jax in his dominance, SWR in his competence. Good choices.
- 16 replies
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- griffin jax
- willi castro
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Yeah, I understand the thinking, but they can make it work in Wichita, and that's where he needs to prove he can hit breaking balls and changeups.
- 9 replies
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- travis adams
- pierson ohl
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I think Culpepper is a concern, and that his numbers will concern, but despite this, it's too early to make the declaration you're asking about. Yes, Culpepper is a concern. No, his start is not (if he were good, this start is plausible). To me it's as expected. I didn't think he'd be very good. Numbers are in line with that. As I said after the draft, the first good pick was Dasan Hill, DeBarge and Amick were bad picks (there weren't a lot of good choices, admittedly), and Culpepper probably wasn't going to be anything much. Hill's also unlikely to do anything, but at least he's good value for the pick.

