twinstalker
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Everything posted by twinstalker
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SMH and disagree. Amick is not likely a good prospect, and even the 10th best 3B prospect doesn't usually make it to the majors because 3Bmen in the majors are guys that were former SS prospects. The few who came up at 3B were outstanding hitters, meaning they destroyed college and the minors and didn't strike out there. Amick strikes out too much to be a legit prospect...probably. His homers were hit in a tiny college ballpark. Look at how the Tennessee hitters who had a meh k rate have done in the minors. Can't think of any? My point exactly. I can give you a few first rounders: Drew Gilbert, Sterlin Thompson, Jordan Beck, and don't forget our own 2nd rd pick Alerick Soularie. Amick played professionally against guys his same age who were a long way from the majors, and he didn't impress. Most quality college prospects find their way to A+ after a short stint in low A. The real hitting prospects are the ones who handle low A well at age 19 or less, not struggle at age 21. This was a really bad draft, and the Twins would have been well-served to draft more of their pitching projects.
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Except in some rare years, it's impossible for anything bad to happen. Losing Olivar or especially Rosario (who isn't really a threat to make or do anything in the majors) is no big deal. Olivar has a small chance. Even Eiberson can be a negative if the Twins incorrectly keep him the whole year and potentially lose out on a vet reliever they think they don't have room for.
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So Olivar and Rosario are on the Triple-A roster? Is that available to look at some place? I assume it's full of guys eligible for the MLB phase. How many names are allowed on this one?
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My only research on him was another's. Fangraphs didn't include him in Phillies top 43 for 2024. In fact, after they laid out their top 26 prospects, among Other Prospects of Note they had a sublist of what they called "Young Dev Project Pitchers" and didn't include him among the six names. Of course, maybe he wasn't young enough. But his name wasn't mentioned anywhere. Prior to 2023 Fangraphs did include him in that bottom sublist area called "Many More Relief Prospect" and just had this note: "Castellano sits at 92-93 but has been up to 96 on backfields. He throws strikes and his curveball has a chance to be a plus. His delivery is reliever-y but otherwise he's a pretty stable prospect." Then he had a bad 2023 and they didn't mention him prior to this past season. In 2024 his xFIP as mostly a starter was about 3.05, while his ERA was 3.99. I'm not sure why he wasn't considered more of a prospect, but it may have to do with velocity (wild guess) or, more likely, he'd be considered more of one after 2024. Fangraphs does like to look at results. I have no real opinion on this other than it probably tells us the Twins don't expect to be bring in much relief-wise. They'll have a long guy out of the pen in Eiberson Castellano, as long as they want him in the org this season.
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Twins Receiving Trade Inquiries On Carlos Correa
twinstalker replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Cory, you don't get that kind of return for such a salaried player. They probably get someone like Teel back with a few guys whose likelihood of being anything special are tiny. A couple far-off arms. Twins would do well to trade Correa for Mayer straight up, but probably no one is giving up their top 5 overall guy for Correa, especially if the guy is a shortstop. Correa's not likely the answer at short for very long, and Devers is moving to first. I do think Mayer is not really a top 5 guy, so if the Sox recognize this, I suppose it's possible. Another possibility would be some of their pitching and a guy like Kristian Campbell, very similar to and a little better at this point than Luke Keaschall. -
Wow, you do realize WAR is relative to league hitting/pitching? 2004 was still the steroid era, juiced ball era, etc. Overall numbers were huge. That's why Santana was so great and why Betts is the same with "worse" numbers.
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Whose WAR? Were all WARs like this (usually they aren't)?
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Koosman's 1979 combined with Smalley's start, Willie (neither leather) Norwood's first month, and good early play from Hosken and Bombo led to a little optimism as the Twins started well. Unfortunately, KC had a great team, and Carew's Angels were too good for the Twins to stay competitive in the AL West. I was a kid back then and in 2003 a full-fledged adult who definitely remembered the trade of Orosco for Koosman. It's the type of recognition that keeps you young, because the trade seemed like yesterday. In 1989 I was in NY and do not recall ever seeing or listening to the Twins that year, so in that sense I missed the whole Wally Backman experience. I did read the box scores in USA Today, a new-ish paper that would actually have the Twins box scores, unlike the local paper I got. NY was a million miles away from MN that year, compared to now where every part of the world is connected to every other.
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I normally smh at these sort of articles, but Suzuki would be a quality get who's actually gettable. The problem is what they'd accept back. If the Cubs accept Vazquez, a prospect will have to be attached. I'd give them Raya in a second. Maybe that's the reason we're calling him a top five prospect. Strategy. Then, yes, someone like Duran. So essentially Duran and Raya and Vazquez for Suzuki and cash. This, though, would require the Twins to spend on a relief a little, because, as dxpavelka says, our relief will have been xxxxxx but good.
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So the top three are Jenkins, Keaschall, EmRod, Zebby, and Eeles?
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It's going to be difficult fitting Eeles, Jenkins, Zebby, EmRod, and Keaschall into the top 4. I'd have Spencer Bengard higher than Raya.
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Yeah, who needs track record? This #20 plus or minus. Unreal.
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Should be higher. Only Jenkins, Keaschall, Zebby, and EmRod should be ahead of him. I'm going to trust you put Payton Eeles at 5 now and left Raya off.
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What in the world?
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LOL. He belongs around 20, admittedly ahead of DeBarge and Amick.
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Much too low, plus, since I know you can't resist putting Marco Raya in the top 10 for some weird reason, does this mean you left Zebby out? That makes no sense. He's still a prospect.
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Seriously? Winder got hurt and Severino was never a prospect past his age 17 year.
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Rosario has no business in the top 20, and I doubt DeBarge does, either. I'd rather have MacLeod in there. If Amick is in the top 10, then we know this is messed up. I'm praying this is not the case...such that the top 20 stats we get each day are for someone who can't hit high A. Jenkins, Zebby, Keaschall, EmRod, Morris, Lewis, Eeles, Soto, Pena, Gonzalez there's 10, so Raya and Amick hopefully didn't make the list. But again, get rid of Schobel and feel free to put Raya in his place (after moving DeAndrade to 11 and moving others down).
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Twins Daily's Top 20 Minnesota Twins Prospects: #20-#16
twinstalker replied to Matt Braun's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Schobel isn't a top 20 guy. De Andrade should be a lot higher, Flop him with Raya, wherever you have Raya. -
Yunior Severino isn't a prospect. He's a career minor leaguer some org, maybe ours, will be kind to at the end of the year and call him up like they did Hellman and will drop him off the 40 immediately. That's best case for YS.
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Surprising names? I think not. As expected. How can Dobnak be unexpected? They won't lose him. Severino? He's no good. How are people not aware of what makes a prospect good or bad? Yes, he can hit pitches down the middle sometimes for a long ways. It doesn't matter in MLB, everybody can. Winder might be, though he hardly seems like a loss and likely will return. Chances are (without looking) his shoulder prevents him from throwing the stuff he was throwing three years ago. I know he hasn't had it with the Twins. I'd have kept Blewett before any of them, though no issue there, either.
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LOL at Keaschall for Rushing. Rushing can't catch and can't really hit. Sure, just like Miguel Vargas and others in the Dodgers system, he'll mash at their high levels, but in those parks and air, I think I could hit 25.
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Can't see your video, but Rosario looks a lot like Yunior Severino, and I doubt that deserves any more than an explanation as to why he won't be a major leaguer for more than a cup of coffee.
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3 Pitching Prospects Who Can Impact the 2025 Twins
twinstalker replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Oh, lordy, Raya isn't close to Cory Lewis in terms proximity to the Twins or simply in terms of just being good. What is it about Raya that has anybody excited? Yeah, he's on the 40 now, but it's been this way for a while. If you put Morris ahead of him, you have to put Lewis ahead of him...neither is on the 40. Both are much further along and deserving of top 5 or 6 Twins prospect rankings. Raya may have moved up a couple of spots from around 20 with his last couple of outings, but he's not close. smh -
This is worth your time, unlike Amick. I wish I could watch.
