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jorgenswest

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Everything posted by jorgenswest

  1. Bride is likely a marginal major leaguer that wouldn’t be on most rosters. On this roster he should be the everyday third baseman. I don’t think Keirsey or Clemens or Gasper should ever be in the lineup over him. Sadly there is little to utilize from the bench on this roster right now. Perhaps if Keirsey were to get regular play in AAA he might get to a point where he has something to offer.
  2. I thought their best chance to win was to pitch Duran in the 8th, score a run in the 9th and then bring back Duran for the bottom in the 9th. Duran did his part and kept the pitch count low enough to come back out. Like so many times this series, they didn’t score that run. They did get a runner on and then got caught stealing which was the first caught stealing in Clase’s career.
  3. I thought the best route to a win was to pitch Duran against the top of the order in the 8th score a run in the 9th and bring back Duran to finish it. They needed that stolen base to get into scoring position in the 9th inning. Prior to last night base runners were 21/21 against Clase. His only caught stealing in his career was in 2019 when a runner was caught at home on a wild pitch. If the Twins are going to carry a player on the roster as a pinch runner/defensive sub they need someone who is going to get that stolen base against Clase every time.
  4. I thought about it. Paddack over his career has a lower OPS against (.678) facing a batter a third time than second(.788) and slightly lower than the first (.681). Most pitchers have a greater OPS the third part due to the skew of facing only the top of the line up the third time. It could mean nothing. It could mean that on Paddack’s good days you stick with him longer and have less patience on his bad days. If they aren’t going to stick with him on his good starts I don’t see why he is in the rotation.
  5. You are likely correct but I am not confident that Keaschall will stick at 2B. The better defense might be Lewis at 3B, Lee at 2B with Keaschall at 1B or Julien at 2B with Keaschall in LF. Ultimately 1B, 2B, 3B and LF need to go to the best hitters among the group and then slot them in defensively.
  6. Twins signed him to a two year minor league deal. I hope that he gets that shot at being healthy in 2026.
  7. Don’t the Angels have a .500 record when not playing the Twins? It was a nice sweep of a major league team that was 12-12 when they came to town.
  8. Do you think they need both Bride and Clemens?
  9. I can’t. I can tell you that the Dodgers have more innings from their bullpen than any other team this year. Last year it was the same. The Twins are 7th but in front of them are two other teams having a good season with the Cubs and Mariners joining the Dodgers. Individually Varland’s 14 innings would rank in the 22nd to 32nd spot. Second on the Twins by innings is Duran and he slots in 96 to 105 by inning use. The leaders in games played at 15 pitch for the 17-11 Dodgers (Yates), the 17-10 Giants (Rogers) and the 12-15 Cardinals (Maton). Varland several others are next. There are 77 relievers that have pitched at least 12 games and 158 that have pitched at least 20 games. By team the top 3 in games from the pen are the Dodgers, Mariners and Cubs. The source for this data is Fangraphs.
  10. Did they need an infielder? They have Gasper and Bride on the bench. The only position that Keaschall could play is 2B and they both can play there. It is Keaschall’s bat at DH that will be missed. I think they should have replaced him with the best bat they could add within or outside the organization.
  11. Bride’s history of reverse platoon includes the minors from the time he hit AAA and the difference seems significant. Clemens hit right handed pitching better in the minors over the last three years. It seems more likely that his major league reverse split is a function of only 62 plate appearances. His strike out walk ratio was 15 to 1. I think they are both better against right handed pitching and seem pretty redundant.
  12. With Keaschall out they need a bat. They still have three guys that can play the left side in case on goes down in a game. They have enough that can 1B and 2B. I don’t see the need for both Clemons and Bride. I would have preferred they call up McCusker and put him at DH. They still can do that. They can option Gasper and bring up McCusker but now they need a 40 spot. Instead they can DFA Bride which will create the 40 spot and maybe he will pass through waivers.
  13. I guess they want him to sit around until there is an opportunity to use him to pinch hit for Julien against a left handed pitcher.
  14. It is hard for a contending team to carry a player on the 40 that will not be ready for the majors this year. That player needs to be a really good prospect in order to protect him. On the other hand teams where contending is not realistic should retain upside over players in expiring contracts. It is like investing in a rule 5 player but instead you have to keep him in the 40 rather than the 26. Is contending in 2025 still realistic? Does Cartaya still have upside? I think Cartaya should still be given time and the Twins sure aren’t trending towards contention. It is quite possible the Twins asked Cartaya to make some changes in his swing. Any change is likely to cause struggle before growth.
  15. Baseball drafts are always about failure. You can virrually always find someone in hindsight they should have drafted in that spot unless of course you draft Bailey Ober in the 12th round and he has the 4th most WAR in the class. There will always be players that need more time than options allow and end up making it with another team. If there was a redraft today would Royce and Bailey be in the top 10 picks? That would seem a success. If you summed the WAR of the players selected and signed where would the Twins rank? I think the DBacks might be number 1 with Varsho and Caballero though neither is in the organization any longer. They do still have Lourdes Gurriel in trade for Varsho. Nothing for Caballero. The Twins might slot in number 2 in total WAR of drafted and signed players. I think that I would need to go way down the list of mistakes the Twins organization has made in the last 8 years before I would put 2017 draft on the list.
  16. For McCusker the risk is the 40 man spot. If he struggles in the majors and needs this full year of AAA either that 40 man spot is unavailable or they need to DFA McCusker to open it up. They really need to be pretty certain he is ready. The same would be true if they wanted to take a look at Morris or Eeles. It might be worth the risk.
  17. Jonah Bride’s platoon splits (versus right/left) Career in majors .711 in 384 PAs/ .522 in 228 PAs Majors and Minors combined last three years. 2024: .890/.735 2023: .959/.648 2022: .797/.719 Is the Twins plan to use him against left handed pitching? Maybe he has just had a three year run of bad luck against lefties.
  18. Jonah Bride’s platoon splits (versus right/left) Career in majors .711 in 384 PAs/ .522 in 228 PAs Majors and Minors combined last three years. 2024: .890/.735 2023: .959/.648 2022: .797/.719 How would you utilize him on the roster?
  19. I am saying the Dodgers used 565 relievers last year not including the 10 relievers I used as an opener.
  20. The Dodgers used 565 relief pitchers last year. That is 3.5 per game. The 10 openers they used (most pitching 1 inning) should be added to that bullpen use also.
  21. Wouldn’t Julien DH if Keaschall gives them a better glove? I don’t know which glove is better or how often they would play Keaschall on the field coming back from TJS. I will take whatever I can get on the field as opposed to waiting in AAA assuming his bat is ready. If Julien and Keaschall give them a line up with the best bats I hope they are both in the line up.
  22. If he is ready to hit above league average I will take whatever defense he can give them at 2B.
  23. He can also consent to be optioned. I am not sure where the motivation would be other than he would remain on a 40 man roster. In waivers he could risk no one picking up his contract and then not be on a 40. Would that be any motivation?
  24. I am sure you are correct but I see he has 2 options with 4.165 years of service on Fangraphs. I guess he must have reached 5 years now and the 4.165 represents the service time entering the year. I think he would have needed 7 days and now would have to give his consent to be optioned.
  25. I don’t think I have ever griped about the Twins not having a second replay and it costing them the game. I am sure that they have been on the other side in the past. The last thing I would want is more replay. Give a manager a second replay and there will be more frivolous first replays. That will be followed by a cry for a third replay when the two are used up. One is enough. I would hope the takeaways for both teams would be… Be judicious about using a replay early in the game. You need to be absolutely certain of a reversal or the win expectancy change in turning it around is very significant. If not trust your team to get out of the situation. Keep playing baseball in the face of a bad call. The play was not over at the moment of that bad call. In this case be aware and throw the guy out at home.
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