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KirbyDome89

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Everything posted by KirbyDome89

  1. The last 2.5 years have been pretty bad. We'll see how the next 3 months go. If sweeping changes are made, and they start rolling in the 2nd half, maybe it'll be time to readdress things. We spend the entire 162 game regular season preaching patience and not getting too wrapped up in single game(s) results, that shouldn't change because the calendar flips to October.
  2. I'm not going to take the time to look up where the farm system was ranked at the time of takeover, but guys like Buxton, Sano, Kepler, Polanco, ect were all breaking in with the Twins right around that period. The FO definitely wasn't inheriting an organization devoid of talent.
  3. It makes perfect sense if you care at all about the context in which those results are achieved. I'd argue the exact opposite, that putting so much stock in a hollow division title or winning a 3 game series in October is the emotional response.
  4. I'm not a fan of the FO's employment being contingent on postseason or division results. We've seen enough after 7 years; winning an awful division, breaking the 18 game losing streak, or even winning a 3 game series shouldn't be a life raft that saves their jobs.
  5. If I told you on March 29th that the rest of the division was going to be so awful even a 36-38 record on June 20th would've been good enough for 1st place I'm guessing the expectations for where the Twins would be right now would've shifted dramatically.
  6. There's a difference between going through a rough stretch, or a slump, and being overmatched. That's the point that the article is making, and that nuance seems to be lost in these comments. Also, hard pass on having Lewis or any of these young guys up but not playing consistently.
  7. Sometimes it's just as much about getting somebody in the everyday lineup/rotation that isn't actively hurting the team as it is about "resetting," the struggling player. Continuing to run out somebody who is overmatched is also a losing strategy. Of the 6 names you mentioned (I'm not counting Gordon in with this group) only Larnach is pushing into that awkward zone of becoming a roster issue. The others are either tracking normally (Wallner & Julien) young and still have some MLB experience (Lewis and Miranda) or are playing well at the major league level (AK).
  8. What's the overreaction here? Lewis got a "breather," yesterday after not starting Sunday either, he went 3-16 with 8 Ks last week, and he's a few IF singles away from posting a pretty ugly slash line. Is he not chasing pitches and failing to draw walks? Is he not being overpowered by FBs? Does this team not desperately need consistent offensive production? You can disagree about swapping out 3B without trashing the article. There's plenty of click bait garbage flooding this site, most of which can be dismissed out of hand. A well written, measured piece that makes solid points to back up the premise shouldn't be lumped in with that.
  9. In March it was the cold weather to begin the season. Then it was wait and see around mid May. It's almost July and this team is literally forfeiting the DH during games to keep Buxton away from the OF, but we're supposed to believe that in 4 weeks things dramatically change? Room to keep shifting these goalposts has to be at a premium now. They've been slow playing the season? For real? You think they're capable of turning on the burners but they're just choosing to be a sub .500 team in late June? Detroit at home was supposed to kick start that easy schedule. Did they just play those games a bit too slow? I honestly hope this was a joke that I didn't catch.
  10. Dollars to WAR is lacking a ton of context here. Also, is anybody really lamenting the money? It was praised (rightfully so) as a financially team friendly deal from the jump. The issue, as has been pointed out, is all the shuffling that goes on around locking Buxton's .722 OPS into the DH spot when he's healthy. FWIW 1.8 WAR would be his lowest total since that abysmal 2018 season where he totaled fewer than 100 PAs. The only other "full," season comparable to the pace you suggested is 2016 where he was essentially a rookie. It was an investment worth making, but the early results haven't looked good.
  11. You think they'd cut Pagan at this point instead of optioning Balazovic? I don't. There's no reason to believe this FO doesn't still view Pagan as an asset, which means they're not going to DFA him when they can simply send Balazovic down. That means it's Moran and Pagan as your mid leverage guys, or you're committing 3ish innings to one of those two on a given day. In any decent pen you'd be trying to limit either as much as possible, and now they're a step closer to high leverage. I agree on Maeda; he doesn't deserve a spot in the rotation, but he'll get one. Maeda for Pagan in the pen is the real swap, but that's fantasy land. I don't think Varland is a step up from Maeda as far as consistency or reliability is concerned, so Idk why we'd want to carve out another rotation spot, at the expense of a usable bullpen arm, to keep both. Yeah, it's just not the strategy I'd roll with for the next 3+ weeks.
  12. Correa as truly and fully awakened? Yeah, the HR against Milwaukee was big, no doubt. Then he points to his imaginary watch and promptly goes 3-15 in 4 games vs. Detroit with one XBH. I mean....
  13. Hard pass on a 6 man rotation or committing to piggybacking 2 or 3 SPs. When Pagan and/or Moran start imploding in any sort of moderate to high leverage situation you're f***ed. Either the piggyback strategy gets scrapped and you're stuck trying to squeeze innings out of starters that can't hang on, or you're sticking with piss poor relievers in key situations and eating losses. Rock and a hard place yada yada but I'd roll with 5 starters (not opposed to Varland going down as I seem to be lower on him than a lot of people around here) rather than bump everybody up a rung in the bullpen hierarchy and commit specific pen arms to specific days.
  14. Mystery solved. Pagan hasn't even been decent for 3-4 years now. Lopez was an AS last year and Jax was pretty solid. This isn't hard.
  15. Except he's bad when, ya know, it matters the most. The salary is a sunk cost, it shouldn't dictate Pagan's spot on the roster. He offers nothing as far as future value. Run a revolving door of AAA/AAAA guys in low leverage situations and who knows, maybe somebody sticks.
  16. Huh? Don't bring empirical evidence to back up what your eyes are telling you? I don't understand why this is the hill to die on. The guy had a 1.052 OPS in high leverage last year. This year it's 1.500 in smaller SS. It's already been explained that it's impossible to shield guys (particularly in the Twins pen) from higher leverage situations. There's no zag while everyone else is zigging here, i.e. there's no defense for continuing to roster a guy like Pagan.
  17. If Cimber wasn't really damn good for Toronto last year you could maybe have that conversation.
  18. I'd argue that continuing down a dead end road is a worse option that making a change and potentially getting it (more) wrong. I'm speaking specifically about the FO here, but I'd imagine a bulk of the staff is also out with a change at the top. Who knows, maybe Rocco and a few others get the Paul Molitor treatment. The Pohlads are part of a very small group of MLB owners, and they're undoubtedly very well connected in and around baseball. They hired a consulting firm the last time they brought in new management at the top. Is it remotely reasonable or fair to ask even the most locked in fan to give you a wishlist of candidates?
  19. A blown lead isn't just a Twins thing. Handing Pagan a high leverage situation, despite the fact that he has proven time and time again he'll implode, certainly is.
  20. I highly doubt Chicago or Cleveland fans fear the Twins, nor should they. There are plenty of warts on this Twins squad and opposing fans (similar to your view of Chi and Cleveland) are looking at them and thinking their team will win the "race."
  21. "If you remove a few rough outings Pagan has been really good...."
  22. He wasn't really all that far off on No. 2 was he?
  23. No team in this division should be feared.
  24. There's no quick fix for sure. Absolutely, if they're selling in July there's no world in which this FO should be retained but I don't see the Pohlads having the gusto to make that move either. Honestly the fact that this conversation is taking place is a pretty good indicator or what should be done.
  25. If they're selling in July the FO should be gone correct? The worst case scenario would be to stand pat, eek out a hollow division title, and forge ahead status quo. The Twins are in a weird place.
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