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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    Adjusting to breaking pitches was going to be the number one thing for him to work on over the offseason. Last year he came up crushed FB then he saw nothing but breaking pitches and he failed. The fact that he is hitting sliders well, and he his hitting them to all fields is nice to see. It was nice to see him slap a few base hits against the switch, which is best way to deal with a slider low and away. I know it is easier to say it than do it. I was not big on Larnach after last year, but he is making me look a little dumb right now, and I am okay with that. I hope he can start getting a little HR power as year progresses, but he is showing he will make the needed adjustments.
  2. Trov
    If things continue the way they are I see no reason it would not be Lewis. Yes, his normal position is SS, but he can play OF or 3b. His bat is doing great, and reports are he has been good at SS, but I think next injury at MLB level, unless it is a catcher will be Lewis coming up.
  3. Trov
    I for sure would have went SWR number 1. As pointed out he is young for the league, A full 3.7 years below average and only 1 hitter was younger than him. He did not allow a run, was at the higher level, better WHIP, Yes, Stankiewicz had the better K rate and K to walk ratio, but he is older than just about everyone he is facing, or at least close in age. SWR is 2 years younger than Stankiewicz but two level above him. It is close, but I would give SWR the edge overall as a more impressive month. Both are pretty good though, hope Stankiewicz can do it at high A now.
  4. Trov
    Unless he comes out crushing the ball I bet he is only here until Gray is ready to come back into rotation. This is not some sign of him coming up for good. Remember last year we had guys get called up and not even get an at-bat before being sent back.
  5. Trov
    I just hope he actually gets to play and not a few games at the MLB level only to get sent back down when Gray is ready to come of DL and he gets not playing time. We have been known to do that bring up a guy only to not play them an inning for several games. The offense has been coming around, Urshella had a terrible weekend, and Arraez had a rough stretch too. I think Miranda should get at least 1 start. I doubt he will be here long, barring additional injuries, or he just rakes and forces his way into line up.
  6. Trov
    I am not sold on CES yet. He has been putting up crazy numbers, but he is on the older side of the league being he is a college bat. I have not personally seen him play, but from everything I read and see on paper is that he has a big question of chasing too much. The question will be is he a guy that will strike out too much at bad pitches and get himself out at higher levels. I cannot tell if he just crushes fast balls right now and the breaking stuff is just not good enough against him right now. The big question for him is how will he handle better stuff as he rises up the levels. Despite his huge numbers he is not considered a top prospect, and maybe he is one of those that slip through or maybe he is just one that can crush bad pitching. I will like to keep checking on him, hope he makes jump to AA this year and see how he does there. He may just be a guy that will swing at most things thrown up there but still can hit it hard. I am not saying he will be that guy, but Vlad was a guy that would never take pitches for the most part and could still get hits on bad pitches. Eddie is a more recent example, with less success but still MLB level guy. We always got upset at his chase rate, but he still managed to get some nice hits and balls no one else would. Maybe CES is the exception to the rule, but only time will tell.
  7. Trov
    Kiriloff will have to hit his way out of St. Paul at this point. Larnach is heating up and looking good doing it. He is hitting to all fields, hitting lefties, and hitting the ball hard. There is little reason to bring Kiriloff back if Larnach is hitting well. Kiriloff may force his way back if he is hitting well and wrist healthy to take over 1st if Sano continues to not produce. Sure, Sano may break out as his numbers seem to indicate hits may start coming, but he has not done that yet. Pitching always works it way out as injuries happen, guys will come up and go down. Rarely is every pitcher on the 40 man healthy at the same time to really worry.
  8. Trov
    Woods-Richardson could work on that K-walk ratio, but you cannot argue with the fact he has not give up a run this year. If he can continue this he should be up to St. Paul later this year and if needed make a start or two for big club. Hopefully he will not be needed, unless he just forces the hand. With how our rotation is looking and how both guys we got for Berrios, I am saying the trade is a win for us so far. Still very early to tell, but Berrios is not doing anything too amazing that you would say he should be starting over any of our current starters.
  9. Trov
    The central is weak, and I personally am not surprised by that. I felt the Sox out performed last year, in a weak division. They have been a terrible defensive team for years, and have done nothing to help that. They can have a good offense, but their defense is always going to be an issue. Also, their pitching is thin. They were counting on aging pitchers to do what they had been doing, but have little depth. Detroit did better than expected last year with some young guys out performing expectations, and vets having good years. Their break out rookies, ie Badoo, has not performed anywhere close to last year so far. Baez has been hurt, but the rest of the line up has not done much either. They have the pieces and could break out but so far they have not been impressing. Cleveland has no offense and doubt they will. KC if their young talent comes around could be a challenge, but they are counting on a lot of young guys. I fully agree we have depth, and most importantly at the pitching position. That will go a long way over the season.
  10. Trov
    We are just starting the 4th trip through our rotation, and so far everyone has looked good. I am very happy with this, but I want to give some pause to saying we will be great all year. Many of the guys have either not pitched a full season, new to AL, or coming off of bad years with injuries. I have long said that does not mean they cannot do well, but we have seen in the past new additions that make changes to approach have early results, only to have the league adjust later in the year and the pitchers regress. Now of course Bundy will not have a sub 1 ERA all year, and each guy will have a dud of a start, all pitchers do. To me, we need to see how they do around trip 6 through 9 of the rotation to get a gage of what we have. Take Paddack for instance. He has really added a third pitch, he talked about as such. Does this added pitch help him long term, or is the league just not scouted it, and after they do they will start rocking him? I believe other guys have changed up their pitch usages as well. If the league starts to see the new usage and adjusts to it, will the pitchers adjust to that or will they fail? Lets enjoy the run they are getting off to, but I will not assume they will be like this all year. Baseball is a game of adjusting and readjusting. If we can stay ahead of the other teams I have high hopes for the team. Our offense will get better, and if our starters can start getting into 7th on the regular with 1 to 3 runs allowed we should put up a lot of wins.
  11. Trov
    My take away from that crazy last play is that this year maybe we will get some breaks our way. Last year early in the year we were the team blowing leads on plays like that. We were the team throwing the ball away on stupid plays and losing close games. Right now, we are getting the other team to make bad plays get wins. Lets not forget Anderson and Abreau giving us a win in Sox series. That being said, I want to comment on the running play. Larnach first I feel played it bad. I do not know if he was looking to tag, or was playing half way like I think he should have. Yes, it hit the glove, but if he is playing half way he did not need to sprint back to bag he could have confirmed the catch or not and get back with plenty of time. Then Urshella should have never left second when Sano came running to second. Urshella should have seen Larnach on third and just stayed on second, like Larnach saw Urshella coming and stayed on third. Sano could have easy returned to first base as no one was covering there. Of all the players Sano actually was the best of them. He saw the throw go to home, he does not know if a runner is going but assumed they were, and he should follow the runners to the next base. He also could have always returned to first with no issue once he sees Urshella on second. Now, I will admit Sano took way too long to notice the other runners and should have returned sooner, but it all worked out.
  12. Trov
    Good to see our top hitters producing. I would not be surprised if we see any of them cycle in through the season if injuries happen, or if some struggle enough. 3rd base, 1st base, Dh, and LF are not locked up by anyone. If Sano does not start getting hits, Sanchez or Urshella struggles or any of our rotating LF not step up, I could see Miranda and Lewis, and if needed Martin all getting up to MLB level.
  13. Trov
    I know still early in his MLB career but I am very impressed with everything I see from Joe Ryan. He gets it done with location, movement, and throwing all his pitches for strikes. His FB is not overpowering, but because he gets the rise type movement he strikes out so many people on it. Now, will hitters learn to adjust as his career goes on and they see him more often, maybe. However, the early returns on the trade to get him is a huge win for Twins. We gave a up a guy that had no value to us last year, at the end of his contract, for a guy we will have for 6 years minimum, barring any trades, and has looked great.
  14. Trov
    I remember Giolito fell in draft because of injury, he has panned out fine. I would lean toward Lesko if he drops to 8. From what I read his change up elite, which is always one of the pitches that takes time to develop. If he is advanced with it, then less likely he just got by with velo in high school.
  15. Trov
    Kepler has always been on the cusp of being great, but never gets there. Analytic people love him and keep saying he will break out. He is who he is. He has tried to make adjustments over his career that has not worked well. He said last year he tried to work on more oppo hitting, but then that led to a funk in his swing. I like him as a defender, and he is serviceable as a hitter, but do not expect him to carry the team on offense. He is a good piece but just that a piece. He will do some good things, like last night, but he will not carry us.
  16. Trov
    I was not watching super close, but Paddock looked pretty good tonight. It is nice to see these starters all doing well overall, and would like to see them go a little deeper this next time through order. I am hoping Ryan can go at least a full 6 if not 7 tonight.
  17. Trov
    First, I am all for sitting him, cutting him or whatever. I get the writers point that his numbers should be higher overall, but he had an at bat where he never swung. So he did not chase or whiff, but he struck out on 3 pitches. Hard to whiff or chase if you never swing, but hard to get hits too. However, I would point out Sano actually did not have a bad base running play, it was Urshella that did. Why do I say that? Sano reacted to the throw to plate, he was assuming either a runner was going home or had already. It is smart to follow the runners in this situation. Also, there is no 1st baseman behind him so he can get almost to 2nd with no issue of getting back. He was not going to get into a run down. Was he thinking this? Maybe, maybe not. It was Urshella who took off to third when he should not have. He should have stayed on 2nd and told Sano to run back to 1st, instead he thinks Sano is forcing him to 3rd and never realizes until he is almost to 3rd that Larnach is standing there. Who made the worst decision of them all in this case? The catcher for Detroit. Other than the terrible throw, he was not going to get the lead runner out, and tying run in Larnach as he was on 3rd alone. So maybe he can get Urshella in a run down, and get him out, but that could have left Larnach a path to get home, to at least drawing a throw home. Yes, getting that 2nd out would have been good for Detroit, but the catcher should have just let the runners return to their bases and play it safe. Thankfully he tossed the ball to middle of left field letting 2 runs score.
  18. Trov
    The situation you speak on is one where I would not draw too much inference from. You had a catcher hitting with both others on roster banged up a little. Sure, Jeffers most likely could have caught the rest of the game, but why force it? It is not like Correa has been on fire this early season. Sure he is getting paid to hit well, but he is not right now. Why put out your banged up catcher leaving no one to fill in if he gets banged up more, for the maybe better at bat of Correa?
  19. Trov
    Assuming he bounces back, it will take a lot of money to sign him long term, if struggles this year I bet he opts in and we can discuss this next year. I would point out that so far most of the top FA have not preformed well. Yes, still early, but Seager, Seimian, Story(who many wanted the Twins to drop a ton on), Baez have all got off to slow starts. Clearly the team can afford a 30 mil a year guy, the question for a team like the Twins is can you afford them over a 7 to 10 year deal? Also, how will a subpar performance affect the teams ability to compete in the future? Specifically, in 5 years Ryan, Ober, and possibly Duran, Winder, and others in minors will be reaching FA. Will 30 million to Correa in his year 8 through 10 affect our ability to bring them back, if we want? That is what the FO always have to keep thinking about, not just this year or next, but 3 to 6 years down the road.
  20. Trov
    The Tigers offense is not very good. Not that ours is either. Outside of Meadows, Torkleson, and Cabrerra, who is only hitting singles, they have bad offense so far. The steal of the rule 5 draft that so many Twins fans have been crying about, Badoo, has been down right terrible at the plate. Baez back and healthy could help their offense, but outside of the few guys no one really scares you. Torkleson is really a 3 true outcome guy too. We really need someone other than Aaraez and Buck to step up at the plate though. Hopefully we can get some guys going soon.
  21. Trov
    Well if he still is standing by the 10 year 300 mil plus he was seeking, he better starting doing better. I am pretty sure he has hit into more DP than anyone else on our team. He has 5 already in 14 games. Well on pace for most of his career. I doubt he will continue to hit like he has, but at negative WAR, we could put just about anyone out there to hit and they could do better. I am still happy he is hear, but I would not be talking long term at this point. If he plays like this all year, he will not be opting out at all, he will the next season to bounce back.
  22. Trov
    I have not seen Encarnasio-Strand hit yet. He is putting up crazy numbers when he makes contact. That is most likely not sustainable, but not sure if he is getting lucky sometimes or everything he hits he just hits hard. The question is how will he adjust as teams adjust to him over the season. Is he a Rosarrio type that will swing at everything but still make decent contact or will he just start whiff as more and more breaking pitches are thrown his way out of the zone. I have a strong feeling he will start to struggle as teams make him show he will take out of the zone. Maybe not, but he is at just A ball right now. I am excited of what he could bring, but until he does it at higher levels and for a long stretch I will just keep wondering.
  23. Trov
    I do not know how much of a difference he makes one way or the other. This year so far all the starters, have been good to decent overall. Archer and Paddock have had some rough innings, but nothing terrible. The pen has had some rough points but again nothing terrible. Last year none of the new guys did much. Was that Wes? Maybe. Is the results of Bundy, and Archer Wes? Maybe. Sometimes you can tell guys all the time what to do, and either they ignore you, because they think they know better, or they just cannot follow through. Maybe last year everyone did what Wes asked but failed, and maybe this year they are not listening to him. I doubt that is the case though. I think with Bundy and Archer, much in past was pitch selection, and much of that comes from the team plans. Yes, the pitcher is the one that throws it, but much of the time the scouting report has plans for hitters and how pitchers should pitch to them. I have liked Wes, and think he is good at what he does. Just because he had some flops, which may not have been his fault, it may have been mostly the vets ignoring his advise.
  24. Trov
    When he is healthy, I would say he is one of the best overall, when you include his base stealing/running, and defense. His double the other day was a single for just about every other player, but he knew the right fielder would be throwing toward home, and even when hitting the cut-off Buck got all the way to 2nd without a throw. It was crazy, and really should be talked about more how good a play he made there. 99% of guys would have just jogged out to 1st and maybe round it just in case the throw was getting airmailed. However, now teams will have to decided, should we throw just to 2nd and not even think about drawing a throw home because Buck will go to 2nd even if you throw to cut. The question for the last couple years is can he stay on the field. The fact that he got hurt sliding into a base really raises concerns. Hopefully he will be on the field for 150 games because he is a huge difference maker.
  25. Trov
    I sure hope that if Urshela, Sanchez, Sano, and Larnach do not produce the Twins will not hesitate to make some changes quickly. Larnach can go across the river if needed to work on whatever is leading to his issues, but the others, DFA or trade if they continue to fail. We have guys that can come up and do at minimum what they are doing. I could see Lewis or Miranda at 3rd, and Lewis or Martin in LF with just about anyone at 1b and DH with someone filling in as backup catcher. The 4 listed do not offer enough defense to make up for below average offense. They are in the line up for the offense and if they cannot do it, do not hesitate to try and find someone who can.
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