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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Twins talked in news story other day they are contacting season tickholders first to see if they want to get tickets, and they will get first picks. I assume the higher ticket plans will get first options, and as people opt in or out, they will move on down the list. Many season ticket holders will not get their normal seats to start for social distancing requirements. What I am wondering is the 25% based on how social distance seating needs to work, or based on risk level of having 10K people all in one place? Meaning, as season moves on will it go to 30%, 40%, and so on, or will it just go to full open? My guess it will be slow increase and as long as numbers in the state stay stead or decrease more fans will be allowed. Really in the past couple weeks we have made huge strides to getting back to some level of normal, only 1 year later.
  2. Agree with comments on Lewis, how are guys that are barely in top 20 Twins prospect list above someone who is top 2 on every list? I get it is specific to hit tool, but how can you be top 2 on a team, 17th overall by MLB top 100 not even in top 5? Where did you find these projections? I see MLB list has Lewis at a 60 hit tool, which is tied with Kirilloff and ahead of the rest.
  3. Kiriloff swing looks so nice. I have high hopes for him. When I read the Buxton story to my wife her response was, "keep him in a bubble" I mean the man misses time for so many reasons. He cannot even eat food without risk of missing games. I hope it is only injury he has this year, but sadly I do not think it will be.
  4. I get LF and RF are different positions, but at Target Field, RF is harder to play I think than left. It has much harder angles and harder surfaces to allow ball to bounce differently. I do not know if Kirilloff lacks range and that is why been in RF, or because his arm was better suited for RF. Either way I would not expect there will be much fall off defense wise with him in LF over RF.
  5. Personally, I do not think Broxton breaks with team. He is hitting hot, but he has 5 years of mostly backup. I would not put much stock in him doing a whole lot over a regular season.
  6. I sure am looking forward to Big Mike pitching a full year. I believe we have one of the best 3 man rotations of anyone, when healthy and pitching to full potential. Anyone of of Berrios, Maeda, and Pineda can shut down a line up. Berrios has always been the most polarizing, Maeda has not had the chance until last year, and Pineda has never been all the healthy. If we can win division I would be very happy if all three are healthy ready to go. We just need them to pitch more than 5 innings and not have our offense fall asleep like last year.
  7. Velo is not everything. It can help, but hitting spots and movement will always be best way to get guys out. Mixing up locations and pitches. MLB hitters can hit 99 or 100 if it is always straight. I cannot that is for sure, but MLB level guys can.
  8. Personally I like Arraez at leadoff, but understand why Twins have gone the non-traditional approach. What I like about Arraez at leadoff is he normally gives you good long at-bats without giving away anything. He gets on base at high clip. He does lack speed, but we never steal anyways. The Kepler option gives you good chance for extra base hit, but he also loves to attack first pitches, which is not traditionally what one wants for leadoff guys. However, times are a changing and the Twins love to buck the traditional roles with this FO and manager.
  9. I think Simmons is low risk pickup. If needed Polonco and slide back, or put in Gordon. He helps add depth and if he is shell of former self we are not tied to him for years. If he has bounce back year we could look to extend or move on as well.
  10. I personally was not surprised by Odo deal and taking so long. I agree with fact that market thinned out which should have helped. However, with teams still wondering about COVID revenue and CBA for a guy like Odo is a risk. Odo has put up decent numbers over his career and at stretches was a top guy. However, he also will never be a top guy in a rotation. He throws too many pitches to go much more than 5 innings most games. Meaning even if he makes 32 to 33 starts he will still only pitch about 165 innings. He has been healthy most of his career, but he is turning 31 this year, and really that is the time that pitchers need to make changes in their game. Will he stay healthy, and will he make the changes needed to adjust for change in velocity that will happen as he ages? I hope he can pitch well, but combo of his lack of innings and age are a big reason in my mind he did not get to cash in. I think teams have decided spending top free agent money for non-top guys simply because market is thin is not good way to spend. Next year will have a lot of top free agent guys next year, and many teams would not want to spend big on a middle rotation guy.
  11. I would not say any need to be traded this year. If the right deal comes along they would be dealing from a position of depth, but just because you have depth does not mean you need to sell it for less than you deserve. I do agree we have too many top prospects all playing similar role. Power bats with limited defense. Specifically Rooker, Sabato, and Wallner. Kirolloff and Larnach are not know for defense but I have not read they are terrible either. I am big on defense and unless you are super elite on offense to make up for lack of defense I find it hurts teams even more. OF defense is so hard to judge by the eye, but doing much better with systems gaging OF defense.
  12. How does having a 6 man rotation help Happ get ready? It makes little sense to me. So he pitches every 6th day, but that does not get him ready any faster. Not sure if they can have him start at alternate site getting pitches in to stretch out. If not, then stick with 5 man and be ready for a long pen game when he pitches first time or two. I mean if he can only throw 50 to 60 pitches his first time out, how does having a 6th starter help?
  13. Broxton putting up impressive spring. I doubt he breaks with the team, but he may get another team interested in him.
  14. His contract is one of the hardest to figure out for long term. He has never had a full healthy season, and even when he is healthy he has had such polarizing stretches as well. His defense is best in the game, but that will regress as he loses some speed. His long term value will greatly depend on both his health, and his ability to hit more consistently. As he loses some speed he will have even less value on offense if he does not pick up his hitting overall. I would be open to a long term deal, but would not be willing to invest big money over long years for him. I do not know the Twins thoughts, but I would not be willing to throw a number out until I had good idea on what his side is thinking. Reason why is I would not want to insult him, but my thoughts would be 4 to 5 years for 10 to 12 mil a year max. I would be willing to do more money per year with less years. That is much less than what Springer just got at age 31, but it really limits the risk of injuries and regression of speed. My guess he will balk at that offer and will want closer to what Springer got. Who knows though. I still enjoy him as a player and hope his prime years put up huge numbers.
  15. I hope it was the injury causing issues. I feel in baseball injuries can be a huge issue. Unlike in some other sports where you can overcome certain things and adjust game to work around injury. Baseball, the difference between hit and no hit is so tiny and when an injury affects your swing it can have huge results at the plate.
  16. Here is to hoping Thorpe is that unexpected guy to help a ton. Dobnak did that the first half last year. You always need under the radar guys to step up during a year to help carry past the finish line.
  17. At some point you just have to say his BABIP is what it is and will not improve. I get annoyed when everyone always says people or teams will move to the average. Why? Why must every thing move to the average? There is always outliers in all stats. Sometimes people that go all in on advanced metrics forget that, or they assume no one is the exception. Yes, it is odd that he hits ball as hard as he does but his BABIP is well below what is expected. It is what it is. Had it been this for a single year okay maybe the year is the outlier, but he has played long enough that he is the outlier.
  18. That is an interesting class. All will be looking for mega deals and think a couple will need to settle for less. Not enough teams will be throwing huge amounts of cash out there for them. If money is number one thing, some should look for signing now if they can. If 5 top end talents are on market at same time, only a few teams will be looking to sign huge deals. I think with CBA coming up though few teams will spend huge not knowing what next CBA looks like.
  19. The issue with Donaldson is his calf can act up at any time. When on the field he is huge help, but he can miss weeks out of no where just for being him.
  20. Agreed, I never take stock in spring training numbers. When I was younger I used too, but after seeing so many do well in spring only to fall flat on face in April, and vice versa.
  21. I have high expectations for the kid. He has a nice swing and willing to drive to all fields. He makes solid contact and from what I read rarely expands the zone. He does not walk much so far, but that can be a product of putting ball in play early in counts. To me as the walk to strikeout ratio is more important than how much of either they have. He will not be some 40 plus HR hitter, but I see him putting up some serious numbers over his career. I think if he would not have needed tommy john a couple years ago he would have been up sooner.
  22. When Buxton gets hurt this year I hope we see this kid. If he can be close to Buxton's defense and hit average. I would strongly look at shopping Buxton in trade market. As much as I love Buxton when he is healthy and hitting well, that is just not often enough to want to commit large money to him for a few years, when you have possible replacement.
  23. Sano will always be streak hitter. I think when he slows down and just tries to make solid contact he does big things. I think when he presses and tries to make things happen he struggles. Once he starts to struggle it just snow balls, because he just tries to power his way out of it. I wish he would watch tape of Miguel Cabrerra in his prime. He would drive the ball to right field with the best of them. When Sano is doing that he crushes. Sano loves to get arms extended, but he gets into pull happy mode and does not look to drive liners over RF wall. In terms of his defense I was surprised how well he did. He still looks like a dog chasing a shiny object when he is going after pop ups over his head, but for most part he did well. Not gold glove but not terrible like I was expecting.
  24. Location and movement is pretty much the key to any pitcher. If you can locate well and move the ball to stay of barrels. Velo can help, but pupping 100 up there if it does not move and is down the pipe does not always work out too well.
  25. I am not trying to discredit Rooker, I am saying I am sorry for him because if he does not get time to show what he can do, it will limit his earning potential. It is great for the Twins to have him for cheep during prime years. If Rooker does not get chance to play much maybe they trade or release him, but it limits his earning ability. That is what I was getting at. Of course when he gets his chance if he tears it up he will get paid, but right now that does not look like he will get that chance with Twins.
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