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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    Throwing breaking pitches in the zone does not mean throwing hung breaking pitches in the zone. The old term, pitching backwards comes to mind. If you can throw a breaking pitch early in count for a strike hitter is more likely to take it. Then later in at bat you can throw fast ball for strike when ahead in the count, or breaking pitch out of zone for a hopeful chase. The reason sliders are in right now is they are about same speed as fastballs, but with movement. The hope is hitter cannot tell it is a slider, I know Buxton never can tell a slider away is a slider and always thinks it is a fastball. However, if you never can get them for strikes hitters will try to sit on fastballs all the time.
  2. Trov
    Rocco and front office has said for years they do not subscribe to "closer" role. Rodgers did kind of fall into that roll second half of 2019 and all of 2020, with a few exceptions of others getting spots. However, I do believe them when they say no "closer" because they know if a string of lefties are coming up in 7th or 8th that rodgers would be best to get out they would bring him in. They know to not let your best option sit on bench because it is too early in game. Of course, there will be one or two main late inning guys that will start to come in. It is not like they will go on a rotation of who pitches 9th inning, but it will be game specific each game I believe.
  3. Trov
    Puig's off field issues aside, which is likely to lead to long suspension, Puig has always been know to be a headache for managers. He may play hard, but he has been known for long time making decisions many managers are not happy with and does not take direction well. The fact that his numbers have been falling since his early years also adds to teams not willing to pick him up. He plays corner OF spot with slightly above average power, but has a ton of headaches on and off field. I can see why no teams are willing to take a waiver on right now.
  4. Trov
    I have high hopes too, but we have had a hitter with power and average the last 2 years. His name is Nelson Cruz. Yes, a few of our guys have been all power no average or higher average no power, but Cruz has been both the last 2 years. Your comment makes it seem like we have not had any high power and average guys at all.
  5. Trov
    The fact that Castillo has 3 years of control means the Reds have the leverage in any trade. They are not forced to make a deal or risk losing for draft pick, that will be the comp when he is FA. Either way they have at least this full year and next year until trade deadline to make a deal. The deal proposed here I would hate if I was a reds fan. Your best asset and you get back a SS that was shifted to 2b because of his lack of defense at SS, and a draft pick and low level prospect. I would not stomach that as a reds fan. I am not a follower of the reds farm system, and do not know when they think their window will be, but this deal offered would seem to move the needle for reds. The reds will sit and wait until this trade deadline and see which teams will pony up bigger prospects moving forward. Their only risk is Castillo injury or poor pitching.
  6. Trov
    Twins talked in news story other day they are contacting season tickholders first to see if they want to get tickets, and they will get first picks. I assume the higher ticket plans will get first options, and as people opt in or out, they will move on down the list. Many season ticket holders will not get their normal seats to start for social distancing requirements. What I am wondering is the 25% based on how social distance seating needs to work, or based on risk level of having 10K people all in one place? Meaning, as season moves on will it go to 30%, 40%, and so on, or will it just go to full open? My guess it will be slow increase and as long as numbers in the state stay stead or decrease more fans will be allowed. Really in the past couple weeks we have made huge strides to getting back to some level of normal, only 1 year later.
  7. Trov
    Agree with comments on Lewis, how are guys that are barely in top 20 Twins prospect list above someone who is top 2 on every list? I get it is specific to hit tool, but how can you be top 2 on a team, 17th overall by MLB top 100 not even in top 5? Where did you find these projections? I see MLB list has Lewis at a 60 hit tool, which is tied with Kirilloff and ahead of the rest.
  8. Trov
    Kiriloff swing looks so nice. I have high hopes for him. When I read the Buxton story to my wife her response was, "keep him in a bubble" I mean the man misses time for so many reasons. He cannot even eat food without risk of missing games. I hope it is only injury he has this year, but sadly I do not think it will be.
  9. Trov
    I get LF and RF are different positions, but at Target Field, RF is harder to play I think than left. It has much harder angles and harder surfaces to allow ball to bounce differently. I do not know if Kirilloff lacks range and that is why been in RF, or because his arm was better suited for RF. Either way I would not expect there will be much fall off defense wise with him in LF over RF.
  10. Trov
    Personally, I do not think Broxton breaks with team. He is hitting hot, but he has 5 years of mostly backup. I would not put much stock in him doing a whole lot over a regular season.
  11. Trov
    I sure am looking forward to Big Mike pitching a full year. I believe we have one of the best 3 man rotations of anyone, when healthy and pitching to full potential. Anyone of of Berrios, Maeda, and Pineda can shut down a line up. Berrios has always been the most polarizing, Maeda has not had the chance until last year, and Pineda has never been all the healthy. If we can win division I would be very happy if all three are healthy ready to go. We just need them to pitch more than 5 innings and not have our offense fall asleep like last year.
  12. Trov
    Velo is not everything. It can help, but hitting spots and movement will always be best way to get guys out. Mixing up locations and pitches. MLB hitters can hit 99 or 100 if it is always straight. I cannot that is for sure, but MLB level guys can.
  13. Trov
    Personally I like Arraez at leadoff, but understand why Twins have gone the non-traditional approach. What I like about Arraez at leadoff is he normally gives you good long at-bats without giving away anything. He gets on base at high clip. He does lack speed, but we never steal anyways. The Kepler option gives you good chance for extra base hit, but he also loves to attack first pitches, which is not traditionally what one wants for leadoff guys. However, times are a changing and the Twins love to buck the traditional roles with this FO and manager.
  14. Trov
    I think Simmons is low risk pickup. If needed Polonco and slide back, or put in Gordon. He helps add depth and if he is shell of former self we are not tied to him for years. If he has bounce back year we could look to extend or move on as well.
  15. Trov
    I personally was not surprised by Odo deal and taking so long. I agree with fact that market thinned out which should have helped. However, with teams still wondering about COVID revenue and CBA for a guy like Odo is a risk. Odo has put up decent numbers over his career and at stretches was a top guy. However, he also will never be a top guy in a rotation. He throws too many pitches to go much more than 5 innings most games. Meaning even if he makes 32 to 33 starts he will still only pitch about 165 innings. He has been healthy most of his career, but he is turning 31 this year, and really that is the time that pitchers need to make changes in their game. Will he stay healthy, and will he make the changes needed to adjust for change in velocity that will happen as he ages? I hope he can pitch well, but combo of his lack of innings and age are a big reason in my mind he did not get to cash in. I think teams have decided spending top free agent money for non-top guys simply because market is thin is not good way to spend. Next year will have a lot of top free agent guys next year, and many teams would not want to spend big on a middle rotation guy.
  16. Trov
    I would not say any need to be traded this year. If the right deal comes along they would be dealing from a position of depth, but just because you have depth does not mean you need to sell it for less than you deserve. I do agree we have too many top prospects all playing similar role. Power bats with limited defense. Specifically Rooker, Sabato, and Wallner. Kirolloff and Larnach are not know for defense but I have not read they are terrible either. I am big on defense and unless you are super elite on offense to make up for lack of defense I find it hurts teams even more. OF defense is so hard to judge by the eye, but doing much better with systems gaging OF defense.
  17. Trov
    How does having a 6 man rotation help Happ get ready? It makes little sense to me. So he pitches every 6th day, but that does not get him ready any faster. Not sure if they can have him start at alternate site getting pitches in to stretch out. If not, then stick with 5 man and be ready for a long pen game when he pitches first time or two. I mean if he can only throw 50 to 60 pitches his first time out, how does having a 6th starter help?
  18. Trov
    Broxton putting up impressive spring. I doubt he breaks with the team, but he may get another team interested in him.
  19. Trov
    His contract is one of the hardest to figure out for long term. He has never had a full healthy season, and even when he is healthy he has had such polarizing stretches as well. His defense is best in the game, but that will regress as he loses some speed. His long term value will greatly depend on both his health, and his ability to hit more consistently. As he loses some speed he will have even less value on offense if he does not pick up his hitting overall. I would be open to a long term deal, but would not be willing to invest big money over long years for him. I do not know the Twins thoughts, but I would not be willing to throw a number out until I had good idea on what his side is thinking. Reason why is I would not want to insult him, but my thoughts would be 4 to 5 years for 10 to 12 mil a year max. I would be willing to do more money per year with less years. That is much less than what Springer just got at age 31, but it really limits the risk of injuries and regression of speed. My guess he will balk at that offer and will want closer to what Springer got. Who knows though. I still enjoy him as a player and hope his prime years put up huge numbers.
  20. Trov
    I hope it was the injury causing issues. I feel in baseball injuries can be a huge issue. Unlike in some other sports where you can overcome certain things and adjust game to work around injury. Baseball, the difference between hit and no hit is so tiny and when an injury affects your swing it can have huge results at the plate.
  21. Trov
    Here is to hoping Thorpe is that unexpected guy to help a ton. Dobnak did that the first half last year. You always need under the radar guys to step up during a year to help carry past the finish line.
  22. Trov
    At some point you just have to say his BABIP is what it is and will not improve. I get annoyed when everyone always says people or teams will move to the average. Why? Why must every thing move to the average? There is always outliers in all stats. Sometimes people that go all in on advanced metrics forget that, or they assume no one is the exception. Yes, it is odd that he hits ball as hard as he does but his BABIP is well below what is expected. It is what it is. Had it been this for a single year okay maybe the year is the outlier, but he has played long enough that he is the outlier.
  23. Trov
    That is an interesting class. All will be looking for mega deals and think a couple will need to settle for less. Not enough teams will be throwing huge amounts of cash out there for them. If money is number one thing, some should look for signing now if they can. If 5 top end talents are on market at same time, only a few teams will be looking to sign huge deals. I think with CBA coming up though few teams will spend huge not knowing what next CBA looks like.
  24. Trov
    The issue with Donaldson is his calf can act up at any time. When on the field he is huge help, but he can miss weeks out of no where just for being him.
  25. Trov
    Agreed, I never take stock in spring training numbers. When I was younger I used too, but after seeing so many do well in spring only to fall flat on face in April, and vice versa.
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