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Trov

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Everything posted by Trov

  1. Trov
    I fully agree. Prior to Falvine coming in our team laughed at advanced stats and doing things like shifting or playing against norms. Now we go full 180, and they are all in on advanced stats. I am of the thought that mixing the two is best practice. Sometimes players do not fit into the math mold or the norm and that is not a bad thing. To me the advanced states and thoughts on bunting or stealing only looks at the whole game but not at the player. Because players get told you cannot bunt because history shows it is bad, they never learn to do it well. Some guys bunting will get them on base, and if they have the ability to steal they can get the double that you want him to hit. Sure not every guy can do this, but why have a 100% never for all players? Same with the third time through rotation, not every guy follows that general rule and some do better if they get to a third time because they have figured out what is working that day well. Some guys have breezed through the first 2 times, why not let them see a third time. Not every pitcher will have it going each day so if the guys is going well, no need to pull him for a pen arm just because math history says so, let the game develop for each game.
  2. Trov
    I still think Dobnak can contribute. I think his success with the slider in spring made him use it more than he should. He is a sinker ball pitcher and his success has been with getting soft contact on ground. What had kept him from going too deep into starts was he did not have a clear out pitch. The slider is meant to be that, but it appears he started using it earlier in at-bats. I hope rest of this year and going into next year he gets back to his basics with the sinker. Then when at 2 strikes use the slider. He should not be throwing the slider at 33% clip. It should be a surprise pitch mainly as it will break different from the sinker. Really good sinker guys can keep throwing the same pitch and the hitters know it is coming but it moves enough that they will not barrel it up. With the slider, if he throws it for a strike it will get crushed. He needs to always throw it to the edge or out of the zone to not get hit hard. He was hanging the sliders or leaving them up, which books on sinker pitchers are if the pitch is up swing, so if the slider is up they will swing.
  3. Trov
    I would be fine giving Gant a chance next year, but no matter what he does the rest of the year I do not say he has a spot for sure. He has pitched several years, will be 30 next year and has never established himself as a starter. Some of his numbers may be connected to pitching in new league for first time and once hitters see him again they will adjust. Maybe the Twins figured something out for him, but I am concerned this is SSS. Should we give him an invite to camp next year if he wants, sure, but if another team is willing to give a full MLB level contract as a starter I would not stand in his way.
  4. Trov
    I am hoping Ober can carry this over into next year and he is not another flash of rookie ability only to fall flat later on. It tends to happen with some pitchers that once video comes out on them and more scouting they get lit up later on. The fact his velo is up and he is doing better than when he started gives me some hope.
  5. Trov
    Personally, I hope they do not go out and try to sign trash heap guys like Happ and Shoemaker again. If you are going to fill rotation with vets please make them guys that are not just castoffs. I would like to see them go very heavy on internal guys. Maybe one signing or one trade but not like this year where we had two bad signings pushing everyone back. I get they had no clue what to expect with minors not playing last year, but next year that will not be an issue. Let the young guys in our rotation go.
  6. Trov
    Judging who won a trade is very hard to do. Mainly, you cannot just look at players in versus players out on a pure number comparison. First, sometimes players get dealt from an area of depth, not that Gratoral was in an area of depth, but you also need to look at possible replacement people. For example, who would have started last year or some of this year if not Maeda? Who would have Gratoral replaced on the roster. Would Gratoral been that much better than the guy who replaced his roll versus who would have replaced Maeda?
  7. Trov
    The one caveat I would throw in is we do not know how either Ray or Rondon would have done here. In particular with Rondon he was with Sox for years and they clearly figured something out with him, we may not have and he would have been as bad with us as he had been for years with the Sox. Ray K numbers have been the same, but his walks have never been this low in the past. For the price I would have went after Ray first over Happ for sure, but he may not have had the same reduction in walks this year with Twins either. In terms of Wong, he was never a thought because of the playing second and we had a second baseman if we were keeping Polonco so only reason to bring in middle infielder was to upgrade defense at SS.
  8. Trov
    I will be honest, I have not watched a ton of games of late for the Twins. However, the little I have seen of Ober he has looked decent. His FB is not super fast but hitters seem to miss it when it is up. I am thinking the release point is causing them issues. I have liked the development so far with him and hope he carries it into next year. Could be one of those under the radar guys that just gets things done until people say he has it.
  9. Trov
    Martin has up week in power, down week on OBP. not that 333 is anything to sneeze at, but when he has been doing well over .400 for awhile. However, the small power burst shows he has it in there somewhere and maybe the Twins will seek a hitting change somewhat to get more power out of him.
  10. Trov
    If the Twins missed something so did the other teams that have taken him and DFA him. Clearly he has potential with the high K rate, but he also clearly has issues giving up runs. If he left Twins and started doing great like Anderson did in Tampa I would say we missed something for sure, but going to three teams after us already is not something to say we missed something.
  11. Trov
    They are waiting until Saints are either out of playoffs or season is over for Saints. What is point of brining them up prior to that to have a couple more meaningless games in the majors? They can get some experience playing meaningful games late in season at the minors at least.
  12. Trov
    What evidence do you have that he will stop getting hurt? I have said that Buxton contract is hardest to judge over anyone because of his long history of different injuries. Do you pay him on the, "if he stays healthy" pay or on the "what has he show pay"? If he is healthy he should get paid like top 10 guy, becuase he has shown he can be that when healthy. Although in very small samples. Personally, I would not sign him to mega long term deal. I do not expect he will ever stay healthy for a full season, and eventually his greatest asset, his speed and defense, will start to drop to normal player levels as he ages. When that happens may be affect by his injuries. I would not pay full time mega money for a part time player. I also do not think other teams will be willing to take that big of risk on outside the Yankees, Boston, LA's as they can afford to pay someone to not play on a mega deal, Twins cannot. As much as I want him to stay and actually play a full season, I would shop him around for a decent return, if they can get it.
  13. Trov
    There are many guys on 10 day IL that they could shift to 60 day to make room for any of them. I doubt Martin gets put on 40 man just for a September call up. I could be wrong, but once on it they have to pass waivers to get off it so most teams will only put a guy on it when they have to, or the player is 100% ready to be called up and go. They have plenty of pitchers to take of the 40 man during the off-season to make room for just about anyone they want.
  14. Trov
    The only thing that will keep Luis from getting batting titles in the future is health, and teams wanting more power. He will never be a power hitter, not that he cannot hit one out here or there, but some teams trend to wanting so much power he would never fit on their team. The way I see it, I would rather have 3 to 4 guys like him, and future Martin, with then power guys to hit them home. I love to watch him hit, and think he will be hitting singles for a long because he seems to actually look where they are playing him and he looks to actually try to hit where they are not.
  15. Trov
    I think people forget he had two ankle surgeries over the last two off seasons. This leads to many issues when hitting. You use your whole body to hit, not just hands and arms. If you lower body is not right, it will throw everything off. The power and the contact. We are dealing with the fraction of inches on a swing being the difference between a hit and an out. He has showed in his career when he is healthy he can hit. Also, as teams adjusted to his offense, I am sure it too time to adjust to them. Baseball is also a game of continued adjustments.
  16. Trov
    He clearly needs to work on hitting the off-speed, or identifying them better and staying off them. This is not rare for many young hitters. Once at MLB level and they show they can hit FB pitchers will just keep tossing soft stuff until they show they will make them come back with FB. Baseball is all about adjustments and Larnach needs to make his now.
  17. Trov
    To me, this article loses all credibility when you mention José Iglesias as a possible signing at SS, but LOL Simmons. Yes, Simmons has no offense and Iglesias has some, but this year Iglesias has a -21 runs saved per 1,200 innings. Simmons is plus 13. Simmons has a positive WAR of 1. Iglesias has a -.07. I am fine wanting upgrade over Simmons, but Iglesias is not an upgrade at SS.
  18. Trov
    If only we could have played like this all year. It makes you wonder if Happ and Shoemaker would have not been signed or made the team if our season would have been different. Not saying the young guys would have been MLB ready out the gate, but we sent the two of them out wayyyyyy too much early in the season. We only 16 games back now, if Buck comes back and plays like he did in April, we can go on a tear and catch the Sox. Lets do it. It would be greatest comeback ever, but not by much. Only a few games. I really doubt we will, but could be a fun end of season if we just go on a tear.
  19. Trov
    There are plenty of players they can leave off the 40 man, or DFA, that if we lose I will not be upset about. Position players pass through rule 5 easier. Pitchers you can stick at end of pen all year, but hard to not have a position player play most of the year. I would not risk have Enlow open for rule 5 because we can also quickly put him on 60-day after the rule 5 draft as well is my understanding.
  20. Trov
    It is still early in their careers to say any of them will do much. However, I agree with the premises that they could be a sign of what to come. Many fans looked at this year and say the FO has failed need a new one. These young guys are the first real example of guys being brought up, and some drafted, by the current FO. I am excited to see what some of the other guys will bring.
  21. Trov
    I am super high on Martin. He is putting up insane numbers, yes with Wind Surge, it is very small sample, but if you look at his season, each month he is improving. Since beginning of July, over a 25 game span, he is getting on base over .500. I do not care if he is only good for 5 to 10 HR a year. If he is reaching base anywhere near .500 and can be replacement level defense, he will play a major roll in the future.
  22. Trov
    Miller may be the solid mid-west find from high school that got passed over. Time will tell, but some scouts overlook players in mid-west due to lack of playing or lower competition. It makes sense, but that leads to some guys getting passed on, from time to time. Here is to hoping he falls into that category and comes out next year turning heads, but he does not need to rush it either if he will take a lot of time.
  23. Trov
    Personally, I am done with Rooker. He cannot play defense, and his bat is just not doing it. Maybe he makes some adjustments in offseason, but for me he is not going to provide much going forward.
  24. Trov
    In terms of Sabato, I would like to know more about what is behind the numbers. Meaning, is he missing strikes, or letting strikes go by that a possible adjustment could change things. I am not expecting much based on his first season, but the league he is in tends to drain power from players. Is he having warning track power that maybe a small adjustment can turn him around or is he just having weak contact when he is making it? He better figure it out soon else he will get passed by quickly as his only tool is power is my understanding.
  25. Trov
    Good article. The thing many fans that are calling for the FO to be fired, either do not know, or forget how long it takes an organization to really see results of a new FO. Unlike in football or even basketball where drafted players will make impacts very quickly, and FA can make huge changes. Baseball needs time to let the changes really take affect. Draft picks take several years normally to make it to Majors, and when a minor league has been striped of prospects for short term gains, ala Smith, it takes years to bounce back normally. Ryan tried to rebuild it up but Smith did such a terrible job that Ryan had little to work with, and he swung and missed too. I agree with Major League Ready above, that it is not just the moves made, but what moves were available. We can harp on the signings made, but unless we can point to clear moves that could have been made it is hard to say it was a bad move. Twins are not the only team that FA signings or trades did not work out. Just as it takes all players to have great years to normally win a title, if all your players have down years or several stints on DL, not that Twins are alone in the DL issue, but at one point their top 4 or 5 OF coming into the year were all on DL. I fully support the FO because I think overall they have done a good job. You can point to single moves that were wrong calls or did not pan out, but if you look at the big picture, I think they are building something to really look forward too.
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