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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    Royce Lewis
  2. DJL44
    Ohtani can play the field in RF or 1B. Even if he can't pitch he's not just a DH.
  3. DJL44
    After 100 ballots we'll have a good idea of whether Mauer has a chance
  4. DJL44
    He did have that track record back in 2020. Since then he has a FIP around 5 and nearly the lowest fastball velocity in MLB. He doesn't strike anyone out and is only average at limiting walks. I'm not sure Gonzalez would beat out Louie Varland for a rotation spot.
  5. DJL44
    The good news is they don't all need to be healthy to win the division. They can win in the playoffs if they can all stay healthy for one month. They are at least one starting pitcher away from a good playoff roster even if the hitters are all healthy.
  6. DJL44
    It's actually embarrassing that the Twins have ever been outspent by the Brewers considering the Twin Cities market advantage over Milwaukee. That means the Twins are spending at the level of the 27th largest market in baseball when they're really a mid-market team.
  7. DJL44
    You know the Pohlads own a bank, right? If they borrow against the team they're going to borrow from their own bank.
  8. DJL44
    I picked Ford and Clase because they're blocked by Quero and Rodriguez for the Mariners but both fill needs for the Twins. I would do that deal for Polanco even though the trade website thinks it is an overpay for the Twins. Dobnak is an interesting trade chit for a deal with a large market team because he's dead money but he doesn't count against the luxury tax.
  9. DJL44
    That's unfortunate because from a talent perspective that would be robbery for the Twins. 3 potential starting players for a backup catcher is an amazing deal.
  10. DJL44
    You outlined why Robbie Ray has negative value, but he still does have value. Harry Ford, Jonatan Clase & Robbie Ray for Randy Dobnak and Christian Vazquez - who says no?
  11. DJL44
    Makes me wonder what Seattle would give up to get rid of Robbie Ray.
  12. DJL44
    There is also a postseason advantage if you can get your wins from an elite starting pitcher. That is something that can be leveraged in the playoffs when you drop the worst pitcher from your rotation.
  13. DJL44
    So they mismanaged Dobnak by trying to turn him into a good pitcher? They should have left him alone to be a bad pitcher instead? The end result was the same - pitching lots of innings in AAA.
  14. DJL44
    I agree that Yamamoto will set the market but Snell might sign before it is completely settled. Everyone else should sign soon thereafter. I think Cease and Glasnow both move before Burnes on the trade market. This is exactly what you want to avoid in offseason planning. They need a pitching staff that is competitive if everyone hits their median projection. Then there's the conundrum that if you want to win in the playoffs it's better to concentrate that pitching performance in one or two dominant pitchers than spreading it out among the whole staff.
  15. DJL44
    He hasn't done that since his debut season in 2019. It's possible but an ERA of 4 is more likely.
  16. DJL44
    They're bidding on Yamamoto, not on Ohtani.
  17. DJL44
    Actually those teams will spend closer to $250M and the difference will be that the Twins want a payroll at about half of the top 10 spenders. That will force the Twins to buy talent with prospects and make the rebuilding seasons between contending windows worse or settle for never really building a team that can be expected to win in the playoffs. Consistent mediocrity or boom/bust - that's the choice. They can't be consistently excellent with a payroll in the bottom third.
  18. DJL44
    I'm lucky I don't get bruises from slapping my forehead every time Dan Gladden talks.
  19. DJL44
    This is correct. I get so tired of seeing people's take that every single free agent contract makes the player "overpaid". The percentage of revenue that goes to the players has been falling for over a decade and the value of MLB teams has been increasing faster than inflation for even longer. It's long overdue to make the MLB minimum salary $1M.
  20. DJL44
    Herb's mentor was Ernie Harwell and Ernie was terrific.
  21. DJL44
    I think the Brewers are a good trade partner for several reasons. First, they seem to have what the Twins need to compete in 2024. Second, the Brewers are going to value players at about the same level as the Twins. Third, the Brewers should be targeting 2025 as the opening of another competitive window so they will be interested in the Twins upper level prospects. I would love to see the Twins acquire Burnes. The Brewers are going to be hesitant to let him go because he will return a first round pick in 2025. The Twins have a competitive balance pick in 2024 they can trade in exchange for Burnes. That would align better with Milwaukee's plans for contention by bringing in talent earlier. It's a way the Twins can exchange draft picks in a trade. I doubt the Brewers will be as interested in Polanco as another team. The Twins may be better off selling Polanco to someone else.
  22. DJL44
    No, it's never a good idea to give away surplus value. If they want to give away either contract they can put them on waivers at any time and they will at least get the waiver claim money.
  23. DJL44
    If Atteberry as the main guy convinces Dan to leave that would be a win.
  24. DJL44
    If I didn't trust my POBO to buy free agents I would FIRE him.
  25. DJL44
    If they offered games for free the ad revenue would skyrocket. Twins baseball would be the #1 rated show on TV locally all summer long. They can probably offer games for free and have nearly the same payroll. Vikings games get a share around 80. The Twins should be able to get a share of at least 30.
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