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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    $20M won't even get you a premier starter. Verlander and deGrom might get double that per season. Scherzer is making $43M. Cole is at $36M.
  2. DJL44
    They don't need salary relief to sign a SS or SP. They have plenty of room in the budget for the next several seasons. Arraez might win the gold glove at 1B. He's not a terrible fielder. Love the line about Bonnes.
  3. DJL44
    Polanco was terrible at 2B in 2022. UZR/150 of -9.2 which was the second worst (to Gavin Lux). Second worst in Outs Above Average (-9) to Nolan Gorman. Below average in every defensive rating system and one of the worst fielding 2B in baseball in some of them. Carlos Correa's defensive numbers at SS started to climb at the end of the season when Polanco's injury kept him out of the lineup. This is the biggest reason why it would be difficult to trade Polanco. Nobody wants to downgrade their 2B defense that much. If Polanco is really this bad defensively then the Twins should trade him now before he becomes unplayable. Arraez and Gordon both graded out as average at 2B - Arraez slightly above and Gordon slightly below.
  4. DJL44
    Let's just be clear - Julien hasn't proven anything yet. Pitching in the Arizona Fall League is lousy this season. I would like to see a half season at AAA before he debuts. They can afford to move Polanco because they have another All-Star 2B in Arraez on the roster as well as plenty of MLB caliber depth (Gordon, Lewis, Miranda) and several interesting prospects (Martin, Lee, Julien, Schobel, Miller and the surprising Dalton Shuffield) in the infield. The upcoming free agent market is actually pretty lousy for 2B. Jean Segura and Brandon Drury are the top talent. Both are older and less desirable than Polanco. I wouldn't even target anything in particular for Polanco. Get the best overall talent you can find. If that includes a catcher even better. The reason NOT to move Polanco is he is coming off a down year with bad defense and time lost to injuries, If they can't find a good return he can absolutely help this team in 2023.
  5. DJL44
    Is there an increased risk of injury pitching in the rotation versus pitching in the bullpen? Is pitching back-to-back games more or less stressful than pitching 5 innings every 5th game?
  6. DJL44
    I saw today that Zach Eflin is about to be the father of twins. Seems like fate to me. There is actually a lot to like there - he's young (28) and he's been a shutdown reliever down the stretch for the Phillies. There is a chance he hasn't yet had his best season in the big leagues. He also shouldn't require more than a 3 or 4 year contract. The Twins seem to have a lot of pitchers to choose from but Mahle, Gray and Maeda are all in the final season of their contracts. Archer and Bundy pitched a lot of innings for the 2022 team and replacing them all with unproven rookies would be a mistake.
  7. DJL44
    The Twins are going to have to decide next season whether to keep Balazovic in the rotation or try him as a reliever. He's getting to the point in his career where they can't carry him on the roster if he isn't able to contribute to the big league team. Sands and Enlow are arms I would say are already destined for the bullpen.
  8. DJL44
    They actually used Duran for multiple inning stints quite often and rarely had him pitch back-to-back games.
  9. DJL44
    Who both ended up battling injuries and played fewer games combined than Gary Sanchez.
  10. DJL44
    They have a player who throws 100 MPH with two different nasty breaking balls. I think they should try putting Duran in the rotation. Worst case they put him back in the bullpen where he has already proven he can contribute.
  11. DJL44
    Drafted and signed? Not very many. There are a lot of high school players drafted after 539 who didn't sign and went to college. You can do the data search yourself, I'm not interested in going any deeper down this rabbit hole.
  12. DJL44
    I thought it could be interesting to trade him to the Rays for Manuel Margot. He's RH and a good fielder but underwhelming at the plate just like Kepler. The Rays want to add more lefties to their lineup. The Twins need more offense vs LHP.
  13. DJL44
    Yes, but not as often as they would with someone else.
  14. DJL44
    When you throw 101 you can afford to lose a little velocity. He'd still be unhittable at 98 MPH. Imagine a world where Johan Santana never left the bullpen. That's the kind of stuff Duran has. It's a shame to only use it 60 innings per season.
  15. DJL44
    I think they could make an ace if they let Duran start
  16. DJL44
    I wish they didn't even publish dWAR. Use RField to compare players defense at the same position. Games spent as a DH will lower a player's dWAR (because dWAR includes the positional adjustment) but not affect their RField number.
  17. DJL44
    Just looking at Twins 18th round players who signed and made the big leagues the list is 1982 Frank Eufemia (448 overall) 1978 Scott Ullger (456) 1968 Jerry Terrell (412) 19th rounders 2016 Sean Poppen (573) 2006 Danny Valencia (576) 1982 Marty Pevy (474) 20th rounders 1999 Travis Bowyer (599) 1990 Damian Miller (544) 1984 Gene Larkin (504)
  18. DJL44
    Entering this season Jose Miranda was in the 90s on top 100 prospect lists including MLB.com. He played 101 games at AAA.
  19. DJL44
    Arraez and Kepler would both be deserving.
  20. DJL44
    It's a totally different throw. Different mechanics.
  21. DJL44
    There are no position players drafted at 539 who signed and made it to the major leagues. Julien would be the first.
  22. DJL44
    Well, he appears on exactly zero top 100 prospect lists. I didn't even include Royce Lewis, Austin Martin and Brooks Lee as players who are probably ahead of Julien on the depth chart long term. He's also fortunate the team traded Spencer Steer. He's going to go to Triple-A next year and try to earn his playing time.
  23. DJL44
    Because he's not at the top of the depth chart at 2B or LF. Polanco, Arraez and Gordon are ahead of him at 2B. Larnach, Kirilloff, Celestino and Gordon ahead of him in LF. He's buried and hasn't played a game at AAA.
  24. DJL44
    He's pretty certain to make his MLB debut next season since he'll be on the 40 man roster. He will likely spend 2023 in St. Paul with trips to Target Field when needed to replace an injured player. I don't expect him to get consistent MLB playing time unless they sell veteran players at the deadline.
  25. DJL44
    Dave St. Peter should overrule if they try to front load the contract. It's a terrible business decision. Would you be willing to give up $1M just to keep the rubes on KFAN quiet?
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