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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    The escalating relief arms race has made a big difference. 30 years ago a team wouldn't have multiple relievers throwing 95-100 MPH fastballs and wipeout sliders. Now that's the expectation. If you have 6 relievers who can do that you're going to use them. That means fewer innings for the starting pitchers.
  2. DJL44
    Royce Lewis was a clear upgrade to the defense at 3B over Jose Miranda.
  3. DJL44
    Players don't usually get healthier in their 30s.
  4. DJL44
    I doubt any team wants to pay Max Kepler $21M for 2025. The Twins certainly don't and won't offer him a QO. If there is another team who believes Max Kepler is worth a QO the Twins should find that team and trade him now. A team valuing Max that highly is sure to give something good in return - first round pick level talent. I don't believe that team exists.
  5. DJL44
    You're wrong. 10.5 B divided 30 ways is $350M per team. The $10.5B includes all the revenue MLB is generating so it is inclusive of local revenue. The way it's divided now each team gets at least $210M from the central pool plus 50% of their local revenue. Instead of the $350M each they would get if things were divided evenly they get $250-$550M in revenue per team divided unevenly. I don't think dividing things evenly would be helpful. Teams need an incentive to try to win to appeal to fans.
  6. DJL44
    Their biggest need is a pitcher better than Lugo.
  7. DJL44
    I think Kepler's value will be nearly as high at the trade deadline as it is now in the offseason. If the team falls apart or if the young outfielders take a step forward they can deal Max at the deadline. There is no urgency to trade him this offseason.
  8. DJL44
    Athletes (and entertainers) have to pay taxes where the games are played each season. It's not where you live or even where you play your home games. Here's How Professional Athletes Pay Taxes (fool.com) If the deferrals mean he doesn't have to pay taxes until later and only where he lives then he's really dodging Minnesota (and other state) taxes by deferring the money.
  9. DJL44
    Both MLB and the union want the established star players in the largest markets. It's good for everyone, including the revenue sharing recipients, because it maximizes overall revenue. Everyone wants the Yankees and Dodgers in the playoffs as much as possible. Fortunately, the randomness in baseball makes their playoffs much more like the NCAA basketball tournament than the NBA postseason. Any team that makes the playoffs has a chance to win the World Series.
  10. DJL44
    The Dodgers also have to compete against the Giants, Diamondbacks and Padres who are trying to win. The Twins get the gift (curse?) of being placed in the "nobody's trying to win" AL Central division.
  11. DJL44
    Envy
  12. DJL44
    Ohtani's probably worth more than that. There was an article that the Angels are losing $25M in yearly advertising money from Japanese companies because Ohtani is gone now. He's clearly worth $40M in on-field performance. The Dodgers are getting a bargain.
  13. DJL44
    It shouldn't be either/or. Twins games should be available through cable AND streaming.
  14. DJL44
    Ohtani becomes the highest paid player but it's more like $46M a season than $70M. Big market teams like the Royals and the Reds scooping up all the relievers. The Twins will just have to wait until the rich teams have their fill.
  15. DJL44
    You have your economics backwards.
  16. DJL44
    A good option if you live south of Target Field but I live north and I'm not driving all the way through metro traffic to get to MoA and then all the way back through town when the game's over. Paying $5 extra saves me an hour of driving which is well worth it.
  17. DJL44
    Except the net present $ value is the same as if they had paid Ohtani just 46 M now. It's really a 10 year $460M deal. It is structured in a way to benefit Ohtani later by moving some dollars to after his retirement from baseball (when his endorsements will be less lucrative). The Dodgers will have to pay luxury taxes on the present value of the contract. The whole $700M contract value is basically a lie.
  18. DJL44
    Unless he wants to give a team friendly discount I'd focus on cost certainty through arbitration. I think I'd rather get a 1st round pick with a qualifying offer than pay any reliever market rate in his 30s.
  19. DJL44
    I wouldn't give anyone a long-term contract until after I had to add them to the 40 man roster. Giving Royce Lewis a contract that early would have burned 2 years rehabbing knee injuries. For me the extension priorities are Duran and Jeffers. Ober and Ryan are already controlled into their 30s. Julien and Lewis aren't even eligible for arbitration yet.
  20. DJL44
    Second base
  21. DJL44
    I don't see the Twins as short on outfielders. They're short on pitching. I would trade Nick Gordon for Tyrone Taylor because I think Taylor is a better fit for the Twins roster.
  22. DJL44
    There are more playoff spots available than large market teams. The Dodgers can buy one spot but they can't buy a championship. It's probably a good thing for MLB to have Ohtani marketed to the largest possible audience.
  23. DJL44
    I can find parking near Target Field for $10, not sure why you're paying $100. I also have no problem finding tickets for less than $100. If you really want to go on the cheap you're also allowed to bring your own food into Target Field. Going to a major league game isn't cheap but it doesn't have to be $500 for 3 people.
  24. DJL44
    Are you on commission?
  25. DJL44
    That's $100M more than I thought he would get
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