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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    I'm 100% in favor of this. Max goes for the best prospects available at the deadline.
  2. DJL44
    I checked, my take holds up - signing Santana prevented them from signing someone better. Brandon Belt - who outhit every Twin except Royce Lewis in 2023 - is sitting at home waiting for someone to give him a job. Jose Miranda is showing that he's a better option as a RH platoon bat at 1B. Even if we assume a bounce back for Santana from terrible to mediocre. this is a simple move to make. Bench him until they can work out a contract with Belt and then release him. Could be worse, see the Astros and Jose Abreu.
  3. DJL44
    He has a 5.20 ERA in AAA since the beginning of 2023 which would project to > 6 in the big leagues. It would likely be a long, drawn-out story of failure.
  4. DJL44
    In the least surprising development of the season, Matt Canterino is still injured.
  5. DJL44
    With hindsight, they should have put more emphasis on the going forward part of the trade.
  6. DJL44
    Do nice guys finish last?
  7. DJL44
    Maybe they can bring Polanco back next season after Seattle declines his option.
  8. DJL44
    It appears that 2024 has seen another drop in offense around the league. Batting average is down. The rates of 2B and HR are also down. K rates are steady. Pitching velocity usually affects the oldest players the most. Judging just by age I think Willi Castro is the best bet to bounce back from his early hitting woes.
  9. DJL44
    We will see how good 36-year-old Seth Lugo is at the end of his contract but he has been a good signing for Kansas City so far. For me, the answer was to bring back Sonny Gray. It is telling how he specifically mentioned the Cardinals organization as a draw to sign there as a free agent.
  10. DJL44
    Only if you can get someone else to pick up the contract on waivers.
  11. DJL44
    That, and adjust at the deadline if needed. It's not a plan with a high likelihood of success. I also don't think the dollars they spent on the veterans at other positions were enough to actually bring in a good starting pitcher. Those guys cost closer to $100M in long-term commitment and they don't have the stomach for it. Given the fact that they didn't even give the young, cheap players team friendly contract extensions I don't see this team spending any future money until their TV broadcasting revenue is solved for the long term. Then they're morons who don't understand anything about hedging a bet and shouldn't be entrusted to run a baseball organization. Fire them before they make trades at the deadline and hire someone who knows how to manage risk. It would be gross incompetence to expect DeSclafani to put together a completely healthy season at this point in his career.
  12. DJL44
    He's been dealing with injuries for two seasons and averaged 12.5 starts and 60 innings pitched over those two seasons. Why would they expect him to go from providing 12 starts a season to 35 starts? They had to expect him to spend time on the injured list this season. They were just hoping it wasn't the entire season. Likewise, if they're expecting 35 starts from Paddack this season they're fools.
  13. DJL44
    I agree that if they're not good after trying SWR and Paddack the cupboard is bare and they need to look at trades but the trades would be selling rather than buying at that point. With the poor performance of their short-timer veterans I'm not sure if the Twins have much to sell that anyone else would want. There's no Nelson Cruz to trade for the next Joe Ryan. Getting Max Kepler going is a priority.
  14. DJL44
    If anyone in the Twins front office actually believed DeSclafani would take 20% of the starts this season they should be fired. I think they acquired him to be 10% of the rotation.
  15. DJL44
    They seem to do well on this every other year and bomb out entirely the next season (Logan Morrison). Can't they roll sevens instead of snake eyes and box cars? You would expect one or two of these veterans to go bust but not ALL of them.
  16. DJL44
    He was giving up a lot of home runs when he threw 94 and the trend was getting worse rather than better. Adding movement, rather than velocity, is probably the right answer if he wants to stay in the rotation. Movement pitches are going to be harder to throw for strikes. Varland seems to have stuff that plays up in a relief role where the extra velocity makes up for his tendency to miss his spots.
  17. DJL44
    He's swinging less often in pitcher's counts and even counts. That could mean that once pitchers get ahead on him they throw the ball in the river and he's not chasing those pitches. I agree that they may need to move him up to AAA to get at-bats against pitchers willing to challenge him.
  18. DJL44
    Pitchers often need to work on both at the same time.
  19. DJL44
    The dropoff from Sonny Gray to Louie Varland has been very steep.
  20. DJL44
    It's probably a good thing that they negotiated a TV deal with a channel nobody has access to. This is not the team to roll out to a broad audience.
  21. DJL44
    Pitching decent in 17 of 32 starts is not solid, it's pretty bad. That means half your starts your team is trying to overcome the starting pitcher giving the game away. He had a 2022 season that was basically no value at all and he was paid $11M to do it.
  22. DJL44
    Yes those newfangled analytics of hits and runs allowed.
  23. DJL44
    His FIP is 3.63, so you're probably right.
  24. DJL44
    Would you really have given Berrios a huge contract extension after his -0.6 WAR 2022 when he led the league in both hits and earned runs allowed?
  25. DJL44
    Conversely, then they should get credit for what actually DID happen. Berrios was awful the next year, tanking his trade value at the next season's deadline and making it unlikely the Twins would tender a qualifying offer. Toronto is only getting any value back from that trade because they were able to negotiate an extension. If Berrios had gone to free agency the Twins would have been the clear winners just by not having to pay for Berrios that following season.
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