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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    If they do this again in 2025 expect another 15% cut in revenue. That's how fast cable companies are shedding subscribers. Ultimately the league has to end this by ending the regional sports network model. All TV rights should be negotiated nationally and shared 100% for all teams.
  2. DJL44
    First, 50% of the revenue is shared with the league. That means they went from $27.5M in local TV money to $23.5M or a local revenue decrease of $4M. If 50% of revenue goes toward player salaries (hint, it doesn't) they should be able to run a payroll $2M less than last year. Payroll is currently down $40M from last season.
  3. DJL44
    No, it cannot. The majority of people have already dumped cable TV and millions more are cutting the cord every year. In 5-10 years the market for cable will be nursing homes and hotels. I am about ready to start streaming Cardinals games out of market instead of following the Twins.
  4. DJL44
    Yeah. They also have something called AT&T UVerse. I'm not sure how they are the same or different.
  5. DJL44
    They don't have the rights for streaming. Right now the Twins retain the rights for streaming the Twins in-market but they also agreed not to sell them to anyone who would compete with Diamond Sports. It is still possible they get additional money from Diamond/Amazon for streaming but that's the only option.
  6. DJL44
    This is the entire list Cox DirecTV DIRECTV STREAM Fubo Mediacom Optimum Spectrum Suddenlink Xfinity WOW! Doesn't include the #1 provider - Comcast, #2 Charter, #4 Verizon FIOS, or #5 AT&T. Doesn't include Frontier or Dish Network, YoutubeTV, Hulu Plus or Sling. No options except $100+ per month. Edit: thanks to others for pointing out that Comcast and Charter are on that list under other brand names. That means they are probably reaching 75% of cable/dish subscribers or about 36% of households in Minnesota (and none in Iowa).
  7. DJL44
    It looks like they like Jensen even less than Balazovic which means he must be pretty bad. I keep waiting for them to find a pitcher BETTER than Balazovic for the 40 man roster.
  8. DJL44
    Which, after revenue sharing, ends up being a $7.5M drop in local revenue. That will probably be offset by the additional revenue sharing from teams that are paying higher luxury taxes. Local revenue stays mostly the same, payroll goes WAY down. The Pohlads make more money and fewer people watch the games on TV.
  9. DJL44
    So the Twins negotiated a bad TV deal with a TV channel that nobody can actually access. What's the good news?
  10. DJL44
    Duarte has an option left according to Fangraphs.
  11. DJL44
  12. DJL44
    I agree with the broken promise but I'm not shocked at all at by how badly this negotiation was botched by the Twins. There's a reason they had the worst TV deal of any team prior to this season.
  13. DJL44
    I am always skeptical of amateur radar gun readings. There is a big difference between hitting max velocity in a showcase and doing it over the course of an MLB season while hitting your spots consistently.
  14. DJL44
    I don't expect either of them to be really good at hitting LHP just due to natural platoon splits but they shouldn't be as bad as they were in 2023.
  15. DJL44
    Since I left cable several years ago, I have only been able to watch Twins games at home on Apple TV. I am hopeful that there will be an option to subscribe to MLB.tv and see the Twins this season at a reasonable cost ($20/month or less). I have no interest at all in going back to Dish/Cable or a cable-similar streaming package like YouTubeTV.
  16. DJL44
    Assuming there are no injuries they will need to move someone (Julien or Kirilloff) when Lee comes up. Lee is going to start every day, not sit on the bench.
  17. DJL44
    Making decisions based solely on spring training sample sizes is rarely a good idea. That said, if Gordon looks terrible, he'll end up on waivers. If not, he'll hang around a while. Injuries will make the roster decisions.
  18. DJL44
    The latest rumors have Blake Snell likely to go to the Angels and Jeff Montgomery waiting for Texas to finalize a new TV deal. That would make each rotation very lefthanded. The Angels have three lefties in their rotation already (Detmers, Sandoval and Anderson) and the Rangers have two (Heaney and Bradford). Both organizations would likely be willing to deal from their new starting rotation depth if they add to the top.
  19. DJL44
    Never front load a contract. Understanding the Time Value of Money (investopedia.com)
  20. DJL44
    He wouldn't have made $90M because he was cost controlled through arbitration most of those seasons. It was more of a choice between $26M now and a possible $50M later. It is interesting how everyone has pretty much forgotten his PED suspension. Does that keep him out of the Twins Hall of Fame?
  21. DJL44
    Right now the depth chart at Fangraphs has Willi Castro starting at DH. There's room for a bat.
  22. DJL44
    No, he turned down 1 year $13M. Two years $26M would be better.
  23. DJL44
    Another factor is they already have someone like Duvall on the 40-man roster: Austin Martin. They don't have anyone like Soler with his 1.080 OPS against LHP. That was an sOPS+ of 186 (he hit lefthanded pitching 86% better than league average).
  24. DJL44
    Career numbers: Soler is +11 RBat and -10 RField over 162 games. Duvall is -2 RBat, +10 RField over 162 games. 2022-23 numbers: Soler is +17 RBat -6 RField (89 games fielding). Duvall is -1 RBat and -7 RField (170 games fielding). Duvall gets dinged mostly because he can't handle CF anymore, he's still average in the corners. 36-year-old Duvall is still likely to be a better fielder than 31-year-old Soler. It matters how you deploy them. If you're looking for a bench outfielder then you probably want Duvall. If you want someone full time and more for DH you want Soler. The Twins need another bat more than they need another glove.
  25. DJL44
    Merrifield doesn't hit lefties much better (OPS below 700) than any of our LH batters. They already have Willi Castro to be a utility guy. They need someone who can hit for power off lefthanded pitching. I also don't see many relievers left to add. They're pretty picked over and what's left won't cost much anyway.
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