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DJL44

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Everything posted by DJL44

  1. DJL44
    This is not necessarily true. If the Red Sox sign Montgomery then they might be interested in moving Nick Pivetta, who only has 1 year and $7.5M left on his contract. The Angels have 3 lefties in their rotation already and would probably move one of them if they signed Montgomery or Snell. Neither team is expected to contend in 2024 but they might want to do some bargain shopping as two of the few remaining teams with payroll flexibility and room under the luxury tax. They would be looking for prospects, not immediate help, in any trade.
  2. DJL44
    You were the one who appealed to Falvey's authority. If you're going to outsource your opinion to not sign him to Falvey then you should approve if Falvey eventually does sign him.
  3. DJL44
    The Twins haven't spent money on ANY starting pitchers this offseason. That's likely the reason the Twins won't sign him - he would cost money.
  4. DJL44
    Still waiting for the team to throw Kirby Puckett out of their Hall of Fame. I'll be patient.
  5. DJL44
    Good to know you will approve of his signing if Falvey okays it.
  6. DJL44
    I am against that. The Twins have plenty of minor league depth in AAA. Varland, Woods-Richardson, Headrick, Canterino, Festa, Dobnak is a full rotation. They need upside, not a warm body. edited: Forgot SWR and he might be the best of the bunch. There are already too many pitchers for St. Paul's rotation. Someone is going to be stuck in Double-A.
  7. DJL44
    It's likely that the teams who eventually sign Montgomery and Snell will need to open up payroll room by trading away one of their current starters. The Twins should be calling to check the prices.
  8. DJL44
    Rayne Doncon Minor Leagues Statistics | Baseball-Reference.com
  9. DJL44
    I see a lot of people disparaging Clevinger as a "bad clubhouse fit" with no explanation which is a pretty bad way to smear someone's character without any evidence. If they actually have a strong clubhouse then it can survive one person with a prickly personality. If they can't survive that, then they have a fragile, weak clubhouse culture.
  10. DJL44
    Noah Miller = Nick Ahmed.
  11. DJL44
    I'm with you that the Twins are pretty slow to make adjustments. That tells me they're relying on the stats too heavily. It takes a bunch of time to gain statistical confidence in a player's poor performance. The players actually get more reps in practice than they do in the games and good coaches should be able to tell if a player is struggling to perform in practice. If bat speed is poor or they can't recognize a breaking ball anymore AND someone is tearing up AAA then it's time to cut them loose. Part of the reason the Twins have kept players past their expiration date is there wasn't anyone obviously ready to replace them in the minors.
  12. DJL44
    No, your bench player should be on the bench because he can do something better than one of your starters. Margot is a good fit for the roster because he hits lefties better than Wallner and plays better defense. There is no sense having Larnach on the roster, even if he may be a marginally better choice than Margot because, unlike with Margot, there will be no matchup situation where you prefer Larnach over Wallner. Bench players complement the starters. If your bench player is bad, why is he on the roster at all? To become successful in the major leagues takes many at-bats and repetitions to make the necessary adjustments. I would rather have a veteran on the bench who has made those adjustments already and needs fewer reps to maintain his level of performance. A young prospect on the bench will take a long time to make those adjustments because they are not getting the repetitions they need to develop.
  13. DJL44
    I don't think they wanted to trade Farmer.
  14. DJL44
    Then someone will be screwed over because they won't be getting enough playing time. As of now there is no evidence at all Lee will be better than Farmer, Martin will be better than Margot or Miranda will be better than Santana. If one of them is one of the best 50 players in AAA they can make a move. Until then, they need to earn a roster spot.
  15. DJL44
    If Martin plays every day then Wallner is sitting the bench. If Brooks Lee comes up then Lewis or Kirilloff or Julien sits. Which young player do you want to mess with? I'd rather tell Margot and Santana to sit.
  16. DJL44
    Momentum is the next day's starting pitcher - Earl Weaver
  17. DJL44
    Be one of the best players in AAA. Play better than the veteran non-roster guys who couldn't find a job this spring. If you're not one of the 50 best players in AAA then you're probably not good enough yet.
  18. DJL44
    If you're a defensive replacement and the short side of a platoon that's your outlook. I would rather have Margot and Santana on the bench and Martin and Miranda in AAA playing everyday. I really don't want Brooks Lee turned into a platoon player. Playing time matters. 10-12 extra at-bats a week is 40 a month or 250 over a season. If a starter gets hurt, then call up the rookie and give them a bunch of playing time.
  19. DJL44
    I would rather have a potential future starter play every day at AAA than have them play 2 times a week on the MLB bench. If it's a player like Prato or Helman who has probably maxed out his talent and is unlikely to be more than a bench player in MLB, then fine. If they're going to sit the bench in AAA then sitting the bench in the big leagues is a step up.
  20. DJL44
    That would stunt the growth of your prospects AND make sure you don't have any depth when some of them inevitably fail to meet expectations. Then you'd be searching the waiver wire for discarded veterans.
  21. DJL44
    Fielding stats are subject to small sample size variation just like hitting stats are. Players at many positions get fewer fielding chances than at-bats. Most plays are routine and it is only a small percentage of difficult plays that separate players on the defensive metrics. An analogy would be if hitters hit off a tee for half their at-bats and a live pitcher for the rest. If players are good one year and bad the next there is often an injury (Correa's foot) that explains the difference.
  22. DJL44
    The whole point of the trade is to free up playing time for a rookie. Why would you want an immediate contributor in return? You'd want Lee or Larnach or Martin or Funderburk or Varland or Woods-Richardson to get the innings.
  23. DJL44
    They aren't going to send down a starting position player just because they have options. If Wallner or Kirilloff end up in AAA this season it will be due to poor performance. Spots will naturally open up due to injuries (I don't think any team has their top players all healthy at the same time) and if someone like Lee or Larnach shows they are ready to be a contributor as a starter then they will open a spot for them with a trade. The Twins have several veteran players with 1 season of team control remaining (Kepler, DeSclafani, Thielbar, Margot, Farmer, Santana). Those players are pretty easy to trade off at the deadline.
  24. DJL44
    I don't think he would be claimed but I think the Twins could work out a trade where they don't have to eat all $10M.
  25. DJL44
    Yes, pinch hitting Santana for Kirilloff improves the offense in that at-bat and the defense for the rest of the game. This is why they bring in Farmer for Julien. We're likely to see Margot do this with Wallner, too.
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