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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    Why would farmer start if Polanco is traded? Are you assuming Kirilloff is not able to return and Julien moves to 1st?
  2. Major League Ready
    Is my memory off because I could swear last off-season there were a lot of people praising Gordon and calling for him to be the starting LFer?
  3. Major League Ready
    I have been talking about Stewart.
  4. Major League Ready
    Did he look average to you? A .65 ERA and 12.9K/P does not seem average to me.
  5. Major League Ready
    I think Polanco gets traded to the highest bidder. Kepler .... I just don't know. Do the Twins believe his turnaround is sustainable. They are thin in the OF so I don't see them trading him if they believe. My guess is that Kepler only goes if they really like the return but they take the best offer available for Polanco. Farmer is the biggest mystery to me. He fits really well in a platoon with Julien and he provides flexibility. I think they hold onto farmer unless they get an offer they really like.
  6. Major League Ready
    I believe someone reported 125-140. Of course, we are all hoping for the $140M. Thus, we have decided payroll will be $140M. 😎
  7. Major League Ready
    He did not look easily replaceable last year. We have 4 years of control in his prime. Not high on my list of guys to get rid of.
  8. Major League Ready
    That seems about right given three years of control with 2 of them club options at only $8M. How about this comp. Berrios has averaged 2.7 WAR over the last 3 years. He gets $17m/year. Peralta has averaged 3 WAR. Berrios is at $18.3M. It would take a significant prospect package to get Peralta but is he the guy we need? He gives you a chance to win a lot of regular season games but he is not a replacement for Gray. BTW .... I too do not believe Lee has looked like an elite prospect. Very good prospect but not elite. Peralta for Lee + another decent prospect is one of the more reasonable trade suggestions I have seen here.
  9. Major League Ready
    Can Falvey / Lavine convince another team that Gordon’s 2023 was purely a product of injury and the real Nick Gordon is the 2022 version. He finally got over his medical issues in 2022 so it’s a plausible point of view. Gordon still has four years of control in his prime and we have seen him be a solid contributor. He could appeal to other cash strapped teams or a contender needing bench help. He is not going to bring back a starting pitcher but a decent prospect seems possible.
  10. Major League Ready
    Makes sense. I just think where position players are concerned that bat should be a RH OFer or Jung-Hoo Lee / Kiermaier would be fine even though they are LH. Martin could sure change this equation but he has some more proving to do. The other big potential improvements are already here in the form of Correa and Buxton. How good would our offense be if those two guys are healthy and play to their potential. I know, big IF but wow would that be great.
  11. Major League Ready
    Obviously, if you assume they make a bad signing the dollars don't help. That risk obviously exists for any team. Just look around the league at all the free agents who are mediocre or worse. BTW .... There were 150 position players with a lower WAR and 230 with a lower wRC+. The whole "one of the worst" players in the league is way over the top. There is a bright side or upside of giving some young guys a shot. It's definitely the silver the lining.
  12. Major League Ready
    You might be right. I am of course reading between the lines of the comments. It seems like most here are very aware of the budget considerations which is why I assumed they were thinking in terms of reallocating the money. I think the bigger disconnect is that many hope Polanco is traded for high-end established pitching. That's not going to happening. At least not where Polanco the headliner. It would take Polanco plus one of Lee / Jenkins or Julien and another decent prospect.
  13. Major League Ready
    Andres ranked because of a very strong season in 22 when he was 33. He produced 1.1 WAR last year in his age 34 season. I doubt any team would project Andrus in his age 35 season to produce as well as Polanco.
  14. Major League Ready
    Farmer might be the last guy they need to extend. He will turn 34 next season and they have multiple players that can replace him for $6M less. He also would be competing for playing time with our number 2 rated prospect as well as our #7 rated prospect (Schobel) who probably has a higher ceiling. Of course, Lee has a much higher ceiling.
  15. Major League Ready
    I appreciate the positive point of view but there is nothing positive about reducing payroll. All of these options exist without reducing payroll. It's not as if they could not utilize these options and also find a way to improve the team while remaining at the same level of payroll.
  16. Major League Ready
    I don’t think anyone is arguing Polanco would not get ABs. The argument is that the dollars would be better spent elsewhere given the payroll situation. In other words, we are looking at a different equation than what you have illustrated. The equation is Polanco’s replacement + 9,760,000 will provide a better net result than Polanco. For example, they are going to sign another SP. I would rather have Castro/Miranda/Severino or Pratt take those PAs IF Julien or Lewis are injured and sign a SP for 21.76M instead of $12M. If neither or those two are injured I would rather have Julien or Lewis getting as many PAs as possible. We also have Brooks Lee at AAA with a reasonable expectation he will be ready half-way through the season. Do you want to keep him stashed at AAA or invest that playing time in him to make us better for the next several years? It's also worthy of noting that Polanco has been injury prone himself.
  17. Major League Ready
    Well Tom, If you hate the idea of Polanco being traded for prospects you are likely going to be disappointed. Teams that want Polanco are not likely to trade away well above average pitching or a good power bat. The primary benefit of trading Polanco would be redistributing the salary to a free agent starting pitcher. Obviously, the $10M does not buy a free agent SP but it could provide funding to spend $20M instead of $10M on a free agent SP. Maybe this will make you feel better. Go to Fangraphs and look at how the players on any 90+ win team (among teams in the bottom 2/3 of revenue) in the past 20 years and look at how those rosters were built. Players that were acquired as prospects or players acquired before every producing at the ML level are far and away more important to building a winning team than trading for established players. It's not even remotely close. We want established players because we want immediate gain. However, as we saw with Mahle and Lopez trading for established players is not a certain thing. The Rays and Gaurdians prove over and over how effective flipping players that profile like Polanco for prospects can be we fans still don't want prospects. I will gladly take a good prospect and invest the extra $10M in a very good SP or even a very good bat.
  18. Major League Ready
    No doubt he has been injury prone but right now but the issue at hand is not if he will get injured. He is already injured and his ability to return is very specific to his knee. Any future contribution from Buxton right now is dependent upon this issue with his knee(s) being resolved. We should worry about him being injury prone if he makes it back but right now we should be hoping we get to a position where we are questioning if he can remain healthy. That would be a good thing at this point.
  19. Major League Ready
    He couldn't do it last year is not exactly a great basis for the certainty you profess. It's not exactly unheard of for players to come back from injury. So, unless you are an orthopedic specialist, you are guessing like the rest of us.
  20. Major League Ready
    Castro / Martin / Severino and Larnach or even Gordon fit together nicely as bench players. Castro can play every position except 1B/C. Martin can play 2B/CF/LF. Severino can play 1B/2B/3B and is a switch hitter. Prato can play 2B/3B/LF.
  21. Major League Ready
    What has been reported regarding Buxton's prognosis? Is there any reason to believe that the most recent surgery has a reasonable chance of allowing him to play CF? I am looking for some hope to cling to here.
  22. Major League Ready
    I have already said Martin would be the preferred option but Bader is no joke. A ++ defender and a + hitter against LHP has real value especially the way Baldelli plays match-ups. He would be a nice addition given our need for a RH OFer if Buxton could be counted on for 80-100 games. Of course, that's not the case.
  23. Major League Ready
    I sure hope they don't opt for the low end of the range we are hearing. I have played with the numbers and possible combinations quite a bit and have come up with what I think is a good roster at 137-140M. Of course, you still have to convince guys to come here and we will be up against a lot of big market teams looking for pitching. The part about never having spent does not weigh quite as heavily for me as some others here. We never signed a player like Correa before either. Perhaps more importantly, I don't remember a time when we had so much young (cheap) talent. That significantly changes the decision parameters. My gut tells me they sign Maeda or equivalent but there is a path to a good free agent SP provided the market does not pay an absurd amount this year which is all together possible. I would love it if we could somehow use Polanco to trade for pitching but that is not a likely Scenario, especially for a front of the rotation guy. Teams willing to trade such a pitcher want elite prospects which I am very much against doing. That's a short-term emphasis with a huge potential down-side.
  24. Major League Ready
    Spending is without a doubt advantageous. The Dodgers and Yankees win records will attest to that advantage while Seager and Semien are testaments to your point about picking the right free agents. To your point … there are countless examples of free agents that do not live up to expectations or fail completely. I remember some here being incensed that the Twins did not sign the sure thing that was Madison Bumgardner. Here is the part that eludes fans. There are about 10 teams that generate $100-300M more than the Twins. So, while spending is advantageous, when the twins run out of money, those teams have $100M plus to spend. The collective incremental spending those teams have is probably in the neighborhood of $2B. Those teams are going to take that incremental income and absorb the top free agents. This is an absolute of economics we refuse to accept. By far the most important aspects of roster building for the twins are drafting or trading for prospects and developing them. Ironically, being productive at developing players enables more free agent spending. However, teams with the twins level of income are only going to be able to afford a couple big contracts at any given time where the Dodgers and Yankees can afford several. Our acquisitions better be good and last year they were not. Correa and Buxton produced 1.7 WAR. Semien and Seager produce 12.4. The biggest potential improvement is for the high-priced guys we already have to perform. It is really odd to me that people seem to accept Correa's poor production because they are happy the twins spent a lot to sign him.
  25. Major League Ready
    Given the budget, I might just roll with Martin over Bader or MAT if we can land a good SP. However, I have only seen Martin play CG a couple times. If he can be relatively close defensively, Martin has upside offensively. Bader becomes a more intriguing addition if the doctors are telling the team Buxton has a reasonable chance of playing 80+ games in CF next year.
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