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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Joe Ryan is an anomaly. With the exception of top of the rotation starters and back of the BP relief pitchers, expiring contracts do not generally bring back high ceiling major league ready players. Would you give up Zebby Matthews for Coulombe, Bader or Castro? Teams don't give up players they expect to have an impact in the next season unless they are getting a combination of impact and years of control.
  2. That would be great but seems a little steep. I sure hope we get a nice surprise or two.
  3. The Dodgers have 7 RHP with a 45 FV. That would seem like as much as we are going to get for Bader. Seems like a good fit.
  4. I would be interested to hear why you believe 2B is so much more likely. I have only seen him in the OF a handful of times but he looked better that Larnach and Wallner. Where does Lee play because Lewis has improved significantly at 3B to the point where to me he looks like a better 3B defender than Lee. Clemmens has been good at 2B. It's Martin's best position and Julien has been raking in AAA. He is in the mix too. That's a lot of guys that can play 2B. With Bader gone, they have one good defense OFer on the current roster. Two if you count Clemmens. I think Larnach is a prime trade candidate this winter. In short, they need Keaschall in the OF more than they do 2B. If Larnach is gone, I see them as six deep in the OF. Buxton / Wallner / Rodriguez / Keaschall / Clemmens and Martin. However, within that group, Wallner is the weakest defensively and he ends up DHing a lot.
  5. Keaschall has not played a lot of games at any position because he has played several positions including CH. If he can handle CF, he can handle LF.
  6. What strikes me most is that they have rarely traded away players that would be expected to return players of any consequence. The return on good players has been very good. This year they have a number of good (not great) players expiring. What is the expectation for expiring players like Casto / Bader / Coulombe and Paddack? I saw a couple posts suggesting prospects that had a 50 FV which seems high. What should we expect?
  7. Stewart and Topa are under team control next year. Why not trade Coulombe, get value, and then sign them like the Tigers did with Flaherty.
  8. Just spit balling but they might see Winokur's greatest value in a Willi Castro role. His bat does not look like that of a starter at the moment. However, a guy that can back up SS and CF is valuable. He could end up providing the greatest value by competently backing up several positions. There are all kinds of options if the bat gets better.
  9. I think any team trading for Stewart is thinking more of winning in the post season than getting innings. I also doubt they see a 25 IP pitcher given he is on pace for 50 IP.
  10. I maybe like Stewart a little too much and don't believe the return will be worthwhile. However, if another team believes in his health and value over the next 2 1/2 years, cash in that chip. The return for that type of RP has been very high in recent years. It's going to be an interest next few days. Let's hope the future looks better 5 days from now.
  11. Castro has been good and I have been shouting his praises the last couple years. However, I would go with Nelson Cruz. Nelly raked in a Twins uniform, was a great leader and we got Joe Ryan for a 1/2 year of Cruz.
  12. Zebby for me. Better fastball although he did leave quite a few fastballs over the heart of the plate last night. He won't get away with that with good hitters. I think he has the potential to be every bit as good as Ryan and Festa looks like at least a 3 to me if he commands his pitches. No way in hell I would trade either of them. I would trade Ober before either one of them or perhaps Pablo if the money was spent wisely.
  13. I would not trade Ryan unless it was this kind of haul. Wood's production is currently pretty much identical to Soto for $50M less and they got two other very good players. Let that sink in. That's a game changer. The other side of this coin is that they need to trade 1 of Ryan / Lopez or Ober by the end of next year. Turning over 3 starting pitchers in one year is very poor roster management and to some degree payroll management. My inclination would be to move Ober but that is probably done this off-season. Move Paddack for now.
  14. How are you counting? Honest question because Bader likely won't be back and he started more games in a corner OF spot than Larnach and Wallner. (74 vs 53 & 45) If they keep Wallner and trade Larnach, they will be down 2 corner OFers. To start next year, they start with Buck and Wallner with some combination of Martin / Clemmens and Keaschall. They will still have Rodriguez / Jenkins & GG waiting in the wings. I guess you count Eeles in that group too. Normally I would agree they would not get rid of 2 corner OFers but they already have replacements that are ready and a few that are close. I could see waiting until the off-season to move Larnach for a couple reasons. First, it gives them the rest of the season to evaluate Martin / Keaschall and Clemmens. All three of those players play multiple positions so they retain flexibility. Second, they would be selling low on Larnach. Waiting until the off-season could net a greater return.
  15. My initial thought was he simply is not part of the solution so open a roster spot and bring up Rodriguez if they think he is ready or Martin. However, if we trade Bader and Castro, we could bring up Rodriguez and Martin and keep Larnach around to see if he improves his value. This would allow Jenkins and Gonzalez to move up to AAA position Jenkins and Gonzalez to be ready for call ups in 2026.
  16. Did someone from the Twins say they were going to continue to increase payroll well beyond a record high? I did not see anything that suggested a significantly higher budget. $10 or $20M would mean very little. Do you think it's realistic the Twins were going to spend $180M+? I think fans really obsess over increase spending and they search for some form of logic that means they can spend more. For example, they spent $33M/year for Correa so payroll will continue to increase as opposed to they have $150M to spend at this level of revenue and they decided to allocate 22% to Correa.
  17. I would 40% on the front office and development staff. They have certainly not been a complete failure because the roster is filled with guys that should be at the major league level. However, they have failed to produce difference makers outside of Buxton and Ryan. Yes, I give them credit for Ryan because that kind of acquisition has been nearly as instrumental to success as drafting for the most successful low revenue teams. I put 40% of the revenue disparity. If the Twins are equally proficient to the Dodgers / Yankees in terms of drafting, and developing, the revenue advantage means the Dodgers advantage in terms of building a roster equates to adding Ohtani, Yamamoto, Snell, Bett's & Freemen. Should we pretend this is not a factor? 20% is on the players.
  18. They spent $150M Correa's first year (2022). In 2023 they had a record payroll of $156M. Of course, they had a $50M windfall from BAM that year so I think it's safe to assume they did not expect to have the same budget going forward. They are at roughly $149M this year or roughly $1M less than their highest payroll in a year when they did not get BAM money. The assertion that a spending reduction of $1M of previous levels is responsible for this year's failures is yet another attempt to support a narrative that unwillingness to spend is the problem. Apparently, every team in this division has the same problem.
  19. At $150M his salary this year would be 24.6%. The Twins were never going to be much over $150 and we can't use the year they got $50M in BAM money as a benchmark. With $150M it will drop to 21% the next 3 years which will still be an anchor if he continues to perform at this level.
  20. Agree but I took a lot of crap for this position in the past when trying to make the point that production per dollar spent is essential when there are teams with literally double the revenue of the Twins. Many posters told me they were not interested in winning the award for production per dollar spent. There were a significant portion of posters here who were adamant the Twins sign Correa even when it looked like he might get a 12-year contract. There were impassioned posts suggesting the twins were cheap / unserious if they would not pony up for Correa. Even at the start of this year, it sure seemed like a significant percentage of posters were dead against trading Correa if they could find a trade partner. The tone has sure changed now that he is underperforming.
  21. I think there are a few variables outside of his performance that will determine when he gets a shot. Rodriguez is already at AAA. He is a very good defender, can back-up center field, and hits both LH and RH pitching. If Rodriguez performs, he is getting a shot ahead of GG. Jenkins is also a more complete player. He will probably start 2026 in AAA. If Jenkins crushes AAA pitching, he could be in the big leagues before GG. Of course, there is also the possibility they pick-up a major league ready OFer in deadline trades. I think the emphasis will be in other areas, but you never know. Of course, there are areas within his own performance that could expedite his ascension to the big leagues. He could improve physically in the off-season. A little more speed and strength would help defensively and could also produce more HRs. That would change his ceiling. Like Jenkins, GG most likely is in AAA to start 2026. A slightly faster / better fielding GG showing a little more power in 2026 could be in the big leagues by the all-star break.
  22. If that's what you got from this there is no point in further discussion. How is a team in Minnesota going to generate revenue even remotely close to LA / NY or Boston? It's reality. They can adopt practices that mitigate the disadvantage inherent to a smaller market or the team (and fans) can stick their head in the sand by not recognizing the need to operate differently than teams in higher revenue markets.
  23. It's so hard to predict what happens. The easy call is Coulombe gets traded. Castro and Bader will be available but we will see if they can swing deals for both. Duran is not going anywhere without a considerable haul but the Twins and Dodgers lineup nicely on a trade that brings Dalton Rushing + prospects to the Twins. The fact that Rushing is already in the majors, catches, and plays 1B is about as good a fit as we could get.
  24. A lot of us are there with you. There are many questions but we do have potential answers. It's time to figure out which players are part of the solution. Martin is looking better than ever at AAA. It is important to determine if Sabato or Julien can take over at 1B. Keaschall could take over the Castro one of them is the primary 1B. Keaschall could play 1B against lefties and play virtually everyday at either 2B or OF. I am still not sure what to think of Kody Clemmens and they need to figure out if Lewis is a star or a pumpkin. Maybe they get a look at Eeles as well. At least it would be interesting to watch!
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