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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    I sure hope Pablo and Zebby get healthy so we don't have to find out.
  2. Major League Ready
    I just hope they are not caught in the middle and do nothing with a team that might make the playoffs but go nowhere. That’s an opportunity missed to invest playing time for young players that might be part of the solution. If they are sellers, the only non-rental I see as likely to be traded is one of Larnach or Wallner. I could see them banking on some combination of E. Rodriguez / Jenkins / GG and Martin. I guess I would not be shocked to see Pablo go if the return was great. Coulombe would be the most likely player on the entire roster to be traded but I don't see them selling of any RPs under team control next year. Duran is not a FA until 2028 so it would have to be an enormous return. If they are not legit contenders, I would like to see them sell as many players on expiring contracts as possible. Move France and give Julien another shot a 1B or even Sabato if the FO believes he is ready. So far he has not skipped a beat going to AAA. Move Bader and insert either E. Rodriquez or Austin Martin. It’s a stretch but maybe they could trade Vazquez and throw Cardenas in the deep end if he plays well between now and the deadline. On the pitching side, Matthews / Festa and perhaps Morris or Adams get established. On the position side, Lewis and Keaschall are back along with the prospects mentioned above and it would be more interesting to watch than a 500 team with no legit chance in the post season.
  3. Major League Ready
    Right there with you, Mike. Apparently a 21 y/o old with a 929 OPS in AA is bad. Who knows, he could tank again but right now he looks like he is going to move up considerable in our prospect rankings.
  4. Major League Ready
    I agree on replacing France. That's why I qualified with "if they don't make a run soon". It makes perfect sense to move an expiring contract and give a prospect a chance if we are out of the race.
  5. Major League Ready
    Good to see Martin back. He was good out of the gates this year and picked up where he left off. Sabato? It's only been 11 games at AAA but he has been better than AA. His wRC+ is 1.044 now. I don't know what to think but I am loving it. I was so down on him it seems like a gift. If they don't make a run soon, and he keeps this up through July, do we see France traded and Sabato getting a shot after the deadline? He would have a total of 150-175 PAs in AAA around the deadline.
  6. Major League Ready
    Not likely but possible. I think there could be a team that believes the 1st half of this year does not reflect who he will be going forward given his track record. The takeaway and I believe your point is that they are not getting much back.
  7. Major League Ready
    Below is a ranking of Twins players wRC+ over the past year. (2nd half 24 & 1st half 25) It seems unwarranted to be real down on Wallner. Keep him away from LH pitching and he should be fine. I do wonder about his stance and swing for that matter. It's easier for me to have confidence in Larnach. He has good mechanics and a nice compact swing. Hopefully, they are going to have some good OF options by this time next year or sooner. I am hoping to see two or three guys among E. Rodriguez / Jenkins / Martin / McCusker & GG make the OF construction a real strength. PAs wRC+ Byron Buxton 430 160 Matt Wallner 385 145 Kody Clemens 136 129 Trevor Larnach 532 121 Kyle Farmer 101 115 Carlos Correa 365 115 Harrison Bader 226 111 Carlos Santana 291 109 Willi Castro 530 103 Ryan Jeffers 452 102 Ty France 317 102 Max Kepler 171 87 Brooks Lee 431 86 Austin Martin 139 84 Jose Miranda 224 79 Royce Lewis 338 73 Manuel Margot 160 73 C. Vázquez 286 72 Edouard Julien 211 62
  8. Major League Ready
    Don't go throwing around this much common sense. It ruins a perfectly good opportunity to be mad for no good reason.
  9. Major League Ready
    All five deals look great. Maybe a little too good and does Correa really have any excess value? I just don't see anyone giving up a premium prospect unless the twins eat a bunch of salary. Would Correa waive his no trade without considerable compensation? If I were trading for Correa, I would not give up much more than taking on his salary.
  10. Major League Ready
    If Correa has a problem, he should simply agree to waive his no trade clause and the Twins should find him a new team. Clemens has .9 bWAR vs 0 for Correa. This is not a perfect measure but it does provide some perspective. Correa is the last guy that should be saying anything.
  11. Major League Ready
    You say this repeatedly without any specifics. Which expenditures exactly to you find problematic? The most debatable expenditure is Correa which was popular here and a lot of people continue to support keeping him. The only big salary is Pablo. He is paid under market. Buxton is a great value. Granted Vasquez is bad but he was just slightly under league average ibn terms of WAR per dollar spent and it's not a big contract. Last year, most people including me wanted Hoskins. They got better production for 20% of the cost from Sanatana and France, Bader has been great. I would be great to hear the specifics of your problems with how many has been spent. I am the fence with Correa and always have been so I get that one. Gallo was not a great deal but it was one year and a modest amount and I fully expect some FAs won't work out. Who where are the other great failures in spending.
  12. Major League Ready
    Right there with you. I have been disappointed with the lack of focus on athleticism for a long time. If nothing else it's just a lot more fun to watch players like Buxton and Bader. Hopefully, that is going to change with Keaschall, Jenkins, E. Rodriguez, Culpepper and DeBarge. Ideally, the guys mentioned above become our core of our position player roster over the next couple of years. If a couple of these less athletic guys become middle of the order bats, that's a good thing to go along with these other players offering speed and defense. The more guys that develop the better. We can always trade guys like Rosario and GG if our OF is filled with great all-around players.
  13. Major League Ready
    I thought Rosario looked really good in spring training, so I was keeping an eye on him. He had a really tough time in April and I was doubting him. Since May 1st, he is sporting a wRC+ of 162. Count him as another guy that is back on the radar along with GG and Sabato.
  14. Major League Ready
    I totally spaced on Gray. My question was qualified with "established and consequential" SPs acquired via trade. Hill and Pineda were free agents and neither were all that consequential. Paddack is also inconsequential. Odorizzi was a steal acquired for nothing He also could have fit into this type of role. Ryan had not thrown a major league pitch. Acquired by trade while still a prospect is very different than signing Pablo Lopez or Sonny Gray. They can change or mold plans for any prospect after acquiring them. I suspect one of the reasons for this approach is to eliminate the need to acquire relatively inconsequential pitcher like Paddack. You also avoided the more important question which is why every pitcher would have to fit into this mold. This discussion is pointless unless we can come up with reasons why every pitcher has to fit this mold if we have some pitchers in this mold.
  15. Major League Ready
    Two questions. How many established pitchers of any consequence have they signed in the past 10 years? Pablo and who else? Why would every pitcher need to follow the same innings strategy? If they have someone that can pitch deeper effectively, why would this strategy prevent a couple SPs from operating in a more traditional way?
  16. Major League Ready
    Culpepper has played 2 games at AA. He is not getting promoted to the ML level in 3 weeks even if he crushes AA.
  17. Major League Ready
    How about Berrios? He was not at all effective.
  18. Major League Ready
    It's not quite as bad as it seems. He only has 3 year guaranteed remaining at 96.5M. His contract after 2028 consists of team options. YEAR AGE SALARY 2029 34 $25M 2030 35 $20M 2031 36 $15M 2032 37 $10M They could eat the remainder of his salary this year and he becomes tradeable for a decent but not great return IMO. The bigger obstacle might be that he has a full no-trade clause. Should they trade him? Probably. As constructed, this team is not a legit contender. They don't need a tear-down but a reboot is looking like a good idea at the moment.
  19. Major League Ready
    They already have 5 OFers. (Buxton/Wallner/Larnach/Bader/Castro) Who is coming off the roster? Should we DH him over Wallner or Larnach? They also have a top prospect (Rodriquez) that is eventually going to get a shot and their top prospect (Jenkins) hopefully here sometime next year. See if he can be taught to play 1B and he might have future value.
  20. Major League Ready
    Julien's last 70 ABs ... OPS 1.148 / wRC+ 200 I think we will see him back with the big club by the deadline if he continues to produce at an OPS over 1.000. Keaschall will be playing 2B so the odds go up if they can get something for France at the deadline. Of course, this assumes they continue to suck or even if they are playing 500 ball.
  21. Major League Ready
    A "good story" specifically about an analytical metric is "run amuck" by including discussion of analytics? There was little focus on the actual analytics and how they are measured. The focus was how our players compared to the rest of the league. Do you have a better way of illustrating how our players compare than providing how they rank in the league? It looked to me like a pretty darn succinct article. Nice job Cody.
  22. Major League Ready
    We have quite a few free agents at the end of the year that could bring back a good prospect but I don't see any 55 FV prospects coming back and probably not even 50FV guys. While we would like to bundle a couple guys for a high value prospect, that's a bad strategy for the buyer so it's unlikely. They would be better off splitting the transaction between two teams and keeping the high value prospect. Hopefully, they go on a run the next six weeks against some good teams and prove they are worthy contenders. If not, establish players like Keaschall, Rodriquez, and maybe Eeles / Cardenas. Give McCusker a shot. Morris and Adams could get an audition. I would continue to watch most games if some young guys get a shot.
  23. Major League Ready
    This post aged a lot better than a lot of recent topics on TD. You nailed this one!
  24. Major League Ready
    It's rather inconsistent to suggest we talk to / listen to these athletes and then when a girl (Riley Gaines) does express her dissatisfaction, you call her a "loser". She is an elite athlete, intelligent and articulate. You are on the 20% side of an 80/20 issue. The vast majority of people understand there is absolutely no question that biological males have a big advantage. Sports are supposed to be a fair competition. If you have not noticed, there have been many polls and overwhelming majority find the solution very simple. Athletes should compete against others of the same biological sex. BTW ... I saw an interview with Sarah McBride where she said pushing this type of 20/80 issue is counterproductive to advancing Trans rights and acceptance that she has championed as a Trans politician.
  25. Major League Ready
    I am thinking in terms of prospects that have been quite ordinary in previous seasons but have broken through this season to perform at the top of their respective league. Another way to look at it would be players that have substantially elevated their ranking within the organization. DeBarge and Culpepper have looked good but they were high draft picks just last year. They were already highly ranked and expected to perform.
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