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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    Martin has not played in over 3 weeks but that does not change the viability of sending Lewis down. They can play Lee, Castro or Bride to 3rd. They have Castro, Clemens and Lee for 2nd. Castro is not needed in the OF when Wallner gets back.
  2. Major League Ready
    I will take "Things with absolutely no chance of happening" for $1,000 Alex.
  3. Major League Ready
    My first thought was until Keaschall gets back. However, if they get a decent offer I could see Castro getting traded and Bride staying. It would be nice to see Will Holland play really well and get a chance to replace Bride or Castro. I thought he was going to get a shot last year before he got hurt. It would be nice to see more athleticism and defense on the bench which he could provide.
  4. Major League Ready
    Lee has never provided any offense and Castro had a wRC+ of 87 the second half of last season so it’s been awhile since he has been part of the solution. Lewis was also horrible the 2nd half. The three guys that carried the offense last year were Wallner, Buxton, and Correa. None of them are contributing right now and that’s why the offense is relatively unproductive. Wallner and Buxton were looking good prior to going out. It would seem they are the most likely players to boost the offense. Correa seems like the next most likely. He is simply better than he has been playing. I am not sure what to make of Lewis but this will be a different team if 2 or 3 of these four can perform consistent with their ability. Keaschall is the 2nd half wild card. He looked great but he was not around long enough to find out what happens when pitchers adjust.
  5. Major League Ready
    Kiersey ranks 377th of 379 hitters with 50 PAs. It's not like he is below average. He is in the bottom 1%. This is not a last place (rebuilding) team. He is a detriment every day he is in the line-up. I can't wait for Wallner to get back! Promote Holland if we need a defensive role player later in the year. He has more speed and the ability to back-up several positions including CF and SS. Gett Wallner back on tomorrow. I don't want to see Kiersey in the batter's box.
  6. Major League Ready
    Let’s think about your statement. How many starting spots are filled by players that broke into the majors as a Twin. RF – Wallner CF – Buxton LF – Larnach 3B – Lewis 2B – Lee C - Jeffers 6 of 8 position players and 3 of 5 starting pitchers and 4 of 5 by next year. The only one not developed was acquired in trade for a player we did develop. Of course, Ryan was not exactly developed and drafted but he was acquired for nothing before making his debut. Our top RPs (Duran / Jax / Sands) all developed here. They failed to develop players? They are playing as well as any team in the league with a team primarily developed from within. Their big free agent splash is not a big contributor, at least not yet. Not sure that spells failure.
  7. Major League Ready
    That appears to be enough rehabbing for Wallner. Get him back in the Twins lineup very soon.
  8. Major League Ready
    We have ignored any discussion of the options. Most would have chosen Christian Walker. His wRC+ is 68 vs 98 for France. We were not going to get Alonso from the Mets. That's where he wanted to be and Goldschmidt was not coming here over the Yankees. We could have gotten Santana and he has been slightly better than France. Bell was another option but he has been terrible.
  9. Major League Ready
    Cardenas only has 74 Abs. It would make sense they want to see a bit more before promoting him given he did not perform offensively last year. I can see them waiting a month. They need to promote the right guy because the player they promote is going to be their best internal candidate to replace Vasquez. I would like to see Cossetti's ABs come at 1B until they decide who gets promoted. That would increase the ABs for Cardenas and give Cardenas and Olivar more reps behind the plate.
  10. Major League Ready
    For as long as he remains hot or even measurably better than France, you look to Clemens and sit France.
  11. Major League Ready
    He doesn't get more games behind the plate because they have 3 catching prospects all getting roughly equal time. Like you, I would like to see a scouting report on Twins catching prospects or better yet, one of the player development staff interviewed on a podcast. Twins catching prospects could be question #1. Of the AA catchers, Olivar and Cardenas seem to be better prospects than Cossetti. Hopefully, we will see one of those two moved up to AAA by mid season. That would at least give them a shot at earning the back-up role when Vazquez becomes a free agent. My limited knowledge of their defensive ability is that Cardenas is the better defender but that comes from a very SSS watching them in Milb TV. Perhaps someone who has seen them more can weigh in.
  12. Major League Ready
    I wouldn't worry about this too much. The only reason France is hitting 4th is because 4 guys who would hit in front of him are out. Correa is back today. Wallner will be back any day with Buxton right behind him. That pushes France to the 7 spot and if Clemens keeps going anywhere near the way he has been, France is on the bench and perhaps DFAed when Keaschall gets back.
  13. Major League Ready
    Absolutely not but that also has absolutely nothing to do with the point of my post. I have often seen people make snide remarks like " Maybe they will start giving out a trophy at the end of the year for most WAR per payroll dollar spent." as if it's irrelevant when in fact it's essential.
  14. Major League Ready
    Given there are many teams that can spend 1.5 - 2.5X what the Minnesota Twins can spend, the Twins must produce 1.5 - 2.5X WAR per payroll dollar spent. I don't know why anyone would debate the need for a below average revenue team to produce more per dollar spent.. You make it sound like it's silly when it's an absolute certainty that teams like the Twins have to produce far more per dollar spent if they are to be successful
  15. Major League Ready
    What if Kody Clemens has an 775 OPS between now and the trade deadline and France continues his pace at an OPS of 675? Do you cut France for trade him for a dozen golf balls and go with Clemens at 1B? Stranger things have happened.
  16. Major League Ready
    I knew he had played some 1B but I don't see them putting a player with Keaschall's athleticism at 1B on a permanent basis. That would deplete his value. Keaschall eventually takes over the Castro role where he plays everyday but in several different positions unless they decide to put Lewis at 1B, Lee at 3B and Keaschall at 2B. The key is probably how well Lewis plays defensively at 3B. He has looked better lately and the throws have been good.
  17. Major League Ready
    Lee and Lewis performing could be key for the next few games but the 26-man roster is going to change quite a bit next week when Buxton and Correa come back. Wallner will also be following close behind. Adding Wallner and Correa getting back in normal form has the potential to be very impactful. Think of it these terms. To this point, they have gotten almost nothing from two of their top offensive players from last year (Lewis/Correa) and their top offensive player (Wallner) will be back by the end of next week. This offense should get quite a bit better.
  18. Major League Ready
    According to BB Reference, The Wind Surge are basically rotating Cossetti, Cardenas, and Olivar pretty equally at Catcher. I would like to see the one with the best chance of catching at the ML level promoted to St. Paul in the next month. That would give the other AA catchers more reps. It would mean cutting Cartaya but his OPS is .367. Make room for someone that has a chance to play at the next level. Nice to see Gonzalez headed to AA.
  19. Major League Ready
    We just are not going to know if this was a good trade for a couple years. Gonzalez has a chance but he needs to produce for more than 6 weeks before we get too excited. Topa could provide a decent amount of contribution over the next two years but RPs are the most unpredictable players in MLB. What we gave up was a replacement level performance. Not a replacement level player but a replacement level performance. We would not have exercised his option and neither would any other team. Therefore, we gave up virtually nothing. One could argue they should have signed him back when Seattle declined his option but that's a different argument. It was not a win for Seattle and it has yet to become a win for the Twins. Now, resigning Polanco for $7M was a win for Seattle.
  20. Major League Ready
    You could say the same for Jose Salas. What's up with him all the sudden? It would be a very pleasant surprise if these two guys were promoted to AA by mid-season and were equally as productive at AA.
  21. Major League Ready
    Would like to hear from anyone that has watched enough of Olivar at catcher to offer an opinion as to his ability to stick behind the plate at least as a back-up. I could see him being promoted to AAA mid-year and playing with the big club next year if he can catch. His ability to play some OF would be a plus. Cardenas offensive numbers look good too. Perhaps he can be the one to fill the Vazquez role next year. Would sure like to see that role filled internally with a replacement that can provide league average or better offense.
  22. Major League Ready
    I get exactly where you are coming from and that's why I pointed out I was not trying to evaluate front offices. Frankly, I think it's the general nature of sports fans to conclude the front office sucks unless the team is absolutely dominant. We also simply don't have the access to acquire the inputs required for such an assessment.
  23. Major League Ready
    I was not trying to determine which teams were the best at drafting and development. The idea came from discussions here about the relative merit of various forms of acquisition. For example, many people here were big advocated of trading prospects for established players. The scope included all acquisition methods to provide a meaningful comparison. The scope including all methods illustrates quite clearly what methods have contributed the most and it also shows which strategies certain teams prefer over a period of time. These are statistics just like BA or OBP and it’s about as factual as batting average. If you look at all of the data it also shows teams that have been successful with a very different set of acquisitions methods, just much less frequently. The scope was limited in that I only looked at teams in the bottom half of revenue. I didn’t think how the Dodgers or Yankees built rosters was particularly relevant to what strategies would be the most productive for the Twins. The Dodgers for example are going to have a very different distribution favoring free agents that is simply not feasible for the Twins. I limited the scope to players that were at least modestly impactful. I chose to use 1.5 WAR for position Players and SPs and 1.2 WAR for RPS. I used the same standard to identify players acquired in trade. If a player had produced 1.5 WAR in any season they were considered to be an “established player”. One could argue this is not an established “impact” player but I purposefully conservative with this definition. If you look at all of the detailed data, there are some very certain trends that make it fairly easy to draw some conclusions. There are also some anomalies that show the wide variety of outcomes possible in MLB which in some ways explains the wide variety of opinions..
  24. Major League Ready
    I don't think SWR would bring back a top 20 prospect like rushing. I don't see many possibilities as I look down the list of catchers in the top 100. I don't see the teams that have them trading them. Chicago, Detroit, and KC all have catchers in the top 100. First and foremost, I want to see a good return. However, it sure would be nice if the return fills a need in the near future. Maybe a 1B prospect that is near ready is more feasible.
  25. Major League Ready
    Seems reasonable even likely. What do you think SWR brings in trade? Can we get a decent catching prospect that will be big league ready by the start of next season?
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