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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    The Twins didn't just overlook packaging Duran and Bader. Philly or any other team trading prospects is going to do everything they can to avoid trading their very best prospects. They are not going to combine two deals for the benefit the other team. They have options like trading for Duran and getting an outfielder from another team. It makes no sense from Philly's perspective to combine the deals and give away their best prospect. In other words, it's very likely they did not choose what they got over getting painter. It's far more likely Painter was never an option.
  2. Major League Ready
    If Houston is not here by 2029, he won't be good enough to matter.
  3. Major League Ready
    A couple reasons. Banking on one prospect is mighty risky. Two, we still don't know what to expect from Lewis. One of Culpepper or this theoretical acquisition could play 3rd. Three, SS is a high value position. If we end up with too many, we can find a trade.
  4. Major League Ready
    No, I am with you on the importance of depth and you have a point they are really thin at SS. I am coming at it from the angle that Lee is a place holder but is already proven to be a competent back-up. Below average but tenable in a team no expected to contend. I am also thinking they will trade established starters and target a SS in one of those trades.
  5. Major League Ready
    They have already committed to a rebuild. They have the potential to rebuild far faster than we normally associated with a rebuild but trading away Correa, Duran, Jax, Stewart, and Varland committed them. To half-a$$ it now would be a real shame. I also expect they will make every effort to trade Ryan/Lopez, and or Ober this off-season. A 2 WAR veteran is of no consequence, and it offers no solution to the problem. If Culpepper bombs, a mediocre veteran does not resolve the problem. Not if the problem you are trying to solve is building a real contender.
  6. Major League Ready
    It's just a little early with Keaschall but you gotta love the guy. I want to see the investment risk taken with extensions as opposed to Correa type free agents. LA or NY can sign 6 and fail on 3. The Twins just don't have that luxury. I don't see it at all with Ober. They are in a rebuild phase. They do not need him in 2026-27 so pass on the return he would bring now makes no sense. Take the return. You still have the money you didn't spend on Ober. Spend the money on a guy like Ober if you have not produced his replacement internally. You also eliminate injury risk. What if he needs TJ halfway through the 2027 season?
  7. Major League Ready
    I am starting to see a path for Fedko. He is a RH bat that plays all three OF positions and 1B. The added ability to play 1B could make the difference in him getting a shot. He is more versatile and has more power than Austin Martin. I might be over thinking this but if Clemmens continues to play well, Fedko and Clemmens are an interesting pair in that they would provide coverage for a lot of positions.
  8. Major League Ready
    You and I were not on the Bader bus alone last winter but there were plenty of open seats. The difference this year is there is no illusion of contending. IMO, we should avoid signing any vets (except perhaps RPs) for 2026 because they take up a roster spot that could be used to audition players that could be part of the solution.
  9. Major League Ready
    What really highlights your point is that you included very objective measures in the form of his baseball savant rankings. Yet, somehow 4 posters looked at the facts and gave you a thumbs down. The numbers are not just bad, they are pretty brutal. We even know for a fact the result of these measures by looking at wRC+ that shows his offensive production is 24 percent below league average. So, we know the result has been a well below average hitter. Yet, people are giving you thumbs down. I don’t get it either. It’s a refusal to acknowledge all the measures by which we evaluate players. The only way I can explain it is he's a guy you want to root for. Culpepper is a very important prospect because we don’t have other SS prospects anywhere near ready. He has the potential to be a big upgrade and Brooks Lee becomes a back-up at 3 positions which is a role that suits him very well especially given he is a switch hitter. He would have value in that position. Hopefully, Culpepper is here before the midpoint of 2026.
  10. Major League Ready
    Lee has a career wRC+ of 76. That does not "stack up pretty well with the rest of the league." I have said I hope I am wrong since he got to the majors but so far he is a well below average hitter. I have never understood the love for Lee.
  11. Major League Ready
    As presented here their best pitchers are being used traditionally. The 3-4 inning guys are pitcher who don't cut it as a traditional SP or is an average #5. They would be used piggyback or when the starter goes 5 or even 6 innings. If they can deliver more innings pitched as effectively or more effectively than the average RP, they have more value. They may even grow into a traditional SP role. I guess the question would be do they have more value than a #5 starter. If this type of role produces 80-90 IPs and a player is good in this role, I would tend to increase their odds of having a major league career at worst and could maximize their earnings.
  12. Major League Ready
    I am going to go with Morris / Raya going to the BP and Klein or Culpepper as less obvious choices. I think they see how Taj Bradley measures up to the numerous prospects they have and he could end up in the back of the BP. The flip side of this question is who are the most likely to make the rotation.
  13. Major League Ready
    1) it's not much different at all and may very well work out that way. 2) Two things. One, impact players and sustained success. Ryan has the highest probability by far of bringing back a star that can carry the team. Two, positioning for sustained success. We have an incredible amount of young talent that needs to be transitioned to the big leagues. That means 2026 is a transition (lost) year and 2027 is still a long shot. In other words, the probability of the big three contributing to a playoff run is very low. For me, winning 72 or 78 games next year makes little difference. The point being that passing on the return provided by trading these players offers very little value and most likely diminishes our chances for several years after 2027.
  14. Major League Ready
    Three reasons I am sure. One, when you sell of key pieces with 2 plus years control like Duran, Jax, and Varland, you are not trying to win the next year. Two, Lopez and Ryan have two years remaining after this year. One year is certainly lost and the 2nd year has a low probability. Their trade value is far higher than their value for the possibility of having one year in the playoffs. Three, keeping them would be half-a$$ing it. The entire point of a tearing down a mediocre team is to amass enough talent to move well beyond mediocre to actual contender. Ryan and Lopez have the potential to bring back the type of impact players that are essential to going from good to great. Stopping the rebuild now defeats much of the purpose of going through a rebuild. We would be a little better for 1 year and worse for 4-6 years after 2027. I look for 2 of the three to be traded this off-season.
  15. Major League Ready
    You are making an assumption on the most likely path. I read similar assumptions so many times that it made me curious if this assumption had merit. I heard this over and over again so I really wanted to validate it but I could not find any articles that did anything to actually validate this position. So, I collected the acquisition method for every 1.5+ win player on literally every 90+ win since the turn of the century for teams in the bottom half of revenue. Trading for prospects has produced 4-5X the WAR on these teams. I can tell you with absolute certainty that your assumption is wrong historically. If you have a theory on why this would change going forward, I would love to hear it.
  16. Major League Ready
    I watch 80% of the games but I was losing interest in watching an unathletic, poor defending, and poor base running team. It will be far more interesting to watch all the guys competing for a place on next year's team. Keaschall makes it worthwhile almost by himself. I also want to see if Lewis and Wallner are the guys we have seen the last couple weeks. At some point late this year or next year it will be even more interesting as we start seeing Culpepper / Jenkins / Rodriguez / Gonzalez / Abel / etc being worked into the roster. It might fail spectacularly, or it may be spectacular which makes it compelling to watch.
  17. Major League Ready
    His in zone contact rate in the minors was in the 95th percentile.
  18. Major League Ready
    It would be great if he could make that move given our abundance of outfield prospects, but I seriously doubt he has the physical tools other than being tall. That's why I say give him the entire winter with a coach executing drills on an ongoing basis.
  19. Major League Ready
    Lee would have never entered my mind. He is a below average hitter and that makes absolutely no sense at 1B. I like Mike's idea for Wallner in concept but he would have some work to do.. They have a bunch of OF prospects who are all better fielders but Wallner definitely does not impress me as having goods hands or footwork. They should come up with an off-season program to see if it looks feasible in spring training.
  20. Major League Ready
    I have posted a few times that I am pulling hard for Rodriguez because he is just what we have been lacking. He hits both handed pitching, very good defender, and he can back-up Buxton in CF. Rodriguez stepping up would be huge. That would be an incredible OF. Walner would DH a lot but that's OK. The offense has a very realistic chance of being much improved over this year's team by the half-way point next year.
  21. Major League Ready
    Looking very forward to Jenkins and Culpepper joining the Twins. My over/under is July 1, 2026. The new core will be Buxton/Lewis/Jenkins/Culpepper/Keaschall. That's a lot more exciting group to watch.
  22. Major League Ready
    Getting rid of Correa's salary has absolutely no effect on debt. They did not borrow money to pay for Correa's future salary. Nightengale should consult someone with a financial background before writing something this dumb.
  23. Major League Ready
    I didn't like the Outman deal either. I thought it made the least sense of any of the deals for the same reasons you have stated in various post. That said, the relevance of that deal in the big picture is quite small. We no doubt can debate and grade the various deals, but the wisdom of rebuilding is the bigger issue by far, IMO.
  24. Major League Ready
    Here is what I think gets lost in comparing paths. Staying the course had a milestone at the end of 2027 that to me was an expiration date. Ryan / Lopez / Ober / Duran / Jax would all be free agents. I did not like our odds of getting anything significant done in the playoffs without major improvements in the offense. Even with new owners, there is no way that was getting done through free agency. Our only shot would have been to unload our top prospects to bet on that two-year window. What does the 5-7 year window look like from 28 forward? The difference in that window would be whatever we traded away to bet on 26-27 plus whatever becomes of all the prospects we just traded for plus whatever we get for Ryan / Lopez / Ober. The difference in terms of how the team projects for several years after 2027 is night and day. I understand prospects often fail but the difference in potential is monumentally different.
  25. Major League Ready
    Alot of truth in this except the 2030 part. They have a ton of starting pitching that is major league ready. They also need to completely remake the OF with the exception of Buxton and they have great OF prospects that are ready or will be by next year. They have Keaschall ready and Culpepper close. a little thinner in terms of INF options but this is quite atypical for a rebuild to have this many players major league ready. hey can miss on quite a few and it will take a couple years to completely sort out but this will be a talented young team in 2027. I should add it will be a lot more athletic team that might actually create some excitement and play some defense.
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