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Major League Ready

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  1. Major League Ready
    These 7 are expiring ..... Sonny Gray / Kenta Maeda / Tyler Mahle / Emilio Pagán / Donovan Solano / Joey Gallo / Michael A. Taylor. José De León will be cut. Kepler's option is probably not executed. Ronny Henriquez and Gilberto Celestino would be no big loss. The depth at 2B makes it logical to move one of Farrmer / Polanco / Julien. Gman's statement of the potential to cut 10 from the 40-man is well-founded and quite reasonable. However, adding one probably does not change the equation because we probably give up someone off the 40 man in trade to the addition.
  2. Major League Ready
    We just disagree. For starters, Max has had many of these little hot streaks and with the exception of 2019 has never maintained a high level of play so the benefit of keeping Kepler is far from assured. He is just as likely to regress to the same inept hitter he has been for the past 3+ years. More importantly, this club is not a serious contender and there is an opportunity cost in keeping Kepler. One in the form of whatever he brings back and another in taking up a roster space that should be used to develop our players of the future. It's very easy to maximize the present. It's much harder and takes a more disciplined approach to build a true contender. Would Tampa keep Kepler. Now way!
  3. Major League Ready
    Brandon Marsh was far from an established ML player when he was acquired. They basically traded a major league ready player for one with 1 year of service time. Marsh is not a free agent until 2028. This is a far different scenario than trading prospects for a rental or a player with an extra year of control. This is not an example of a marginal team trading prospects for short-term players. The Twins trading Wallner for a major league ready catcher is a very different scenario than trading him for a rental. Edmundo Sosa produced 1.2 WAR in 22. Is he really an example of the type of player that would elevate the twins into contention? Kepler is highly unlikely to bring back an established player. Any team looking for someone like Kepler to help short-term is not looking to give up established players in return. At least not an established player of any value.
  4. Major League Ready
    Glad you mentioned this because it's easy to forget about him. He has a pretty high ceiling so it would be a nice boost if we got a couple years of him pitching to his capability. Can we dare to dream he can help in September / October?
  5. Major League Ready
    You are using examples without illustrating if they are examples of teams that made investments or teams that won without investing. I don't know about the Phillies. I don't remember them doing anything. The Nationals traded for a couple RPs and gave up nothing. None of the prospects every played at the ML level. The Braves invested nothing so using these two as an example makes no sense. Are you going to be happy if the twins pick up someone that is performing poorly as the Braves did in 21? Don't we already have that situation? Should we swap one non performing player for another? The teams you site made very modest investment. I don't think that's what you are advocating so these examples actually contradict your position.
  6. Major League Ready
    What were those teams willing to invest in terms of trading prospects for help. I honestly don't know with the exception of the Braves who gambled nothing but came up with two players that played like superstars at the end of the year. I think we would all be just fine with any acquisitions that cost next to nothing. Who did the Nationals and Phillies trade for / what was the impact of those players and what did they give up to get them? Are they example of teams of invest very little and won or are they teams that are examples of teams that won without investing much at the deadline?
  7. Major League Ready
    By various metrics they are about the 15th best team in the league. 1st place and contender are not even remotely synonyms. Many posters used the same "1st place" logic last year. Apparently, lessons were not learned. Being in 1st place is an exceptionally poor measure of the relative merit of this team. The 1st place justification is desperate logic for those fans extremely focused on "this year". That's a very good way to be bad next year and the year after that and so on. Pretty much everyone criticizes the front office when they won't accept reality and move on from a player. This is the same thing, different scope. We can invest in the future by playing the numerous young players we have and perhaps selling or we can throw good assets away on a team with an extremely low probability of post-season success. I would add that they are far more likely to improve from within. They are not one player they are several players away. Their best shot is Kirilloff / Larnach / Julien / Wallner / Miranda stepping up and even then their best chance at success is Buxton / Correa and Polanco performing the way they are capable.
  8. Major League Ready
    So we shouldn't make trades that make us better in the future? I guess we should not have traded for Duran or Ryan.
  9. Major League Ready
    I can see a number of things when considered in aggregate that would persuade the FO to wait until the deadline. 1) The series of events last year that led to an outfield with Contreras and Cave. 2) The hope that the offense does a 180 and the teams has a reasonable shot at postseason success in which case they don't sell off assets. 3) Kepler becomes tradeable which saves the team about $3M 4) Kepler becomes tradeable, and they get a decent prospect back. He has been the team's best hitter the last 30 days with a 905 OPS and a wRC+ of 150. If that falls off over the next month, DFA him. If he continues, he is valuable to both us and other teams. He will bring a pretty decent prospect if he is plays like this for the next 3 weeks.
  10. Major League Ready
    Sands has been quite good recently. I am looking forward to seeing if whatever he is doing translates to success with the ML club. I did see him pitch recently and it looked to me like the same pitches with better command, but we shall see. With Thielbar out and Lopez being unreliable, Pagan remains in the top 8 at least in the eyes of the FO. Hopefully, Lopez gets it together and we get Thielbar back. Anyone know the story with Alcala? The Pagan situation has the same downfall as the OF situation. Let's invest those innings on someone that has a chance to help the team long-term.
  11. Major League Ready
    My question is ... If he stays hot (relatively speaking), will a couple months of good play net a good offer and if so will they take that opportunity to trade him at the deadline or will they hold on to him because he is hot. My hope is the hot streak wins us some games and promotes a trade opportunity that is executed. I am going to be disappointed if they continue to ride this horse after the deadline.
  12. Major League Ready
    Who do you target as the primary piece coming back?
  13. Major League Ready
    They way I see it, they can be the best they can be this year which is not all that great or they can do what is necessary to get good and stay that way for a while. Larnach and Wallner might fall on their faces but the chances are good they equal the current production unless Kepler stays hot. History suggests his hot streak will be short lived but who knows. Letting Gray or Maeda go would obviously be a short-term sacrifice. However, the sacrifice seems small given the return pitching generally brings at the deadline. I don't see Gray or Maeda being the difference in a playoff run and getting there will be much more dependent upon our established players (Buxton . Correa, and Polanco) playing up to their potential instead of the abysmal display we have witnessed thus far. I would like to see them cash in one of them. It would be nice if they could find a RP. Once again, we have quite a few prospects with a shot at being major league players that need to go on the 40 man. Perhaps we can pick-up a Fulmer type or better in trade for a couple of these prospects. Maybe a little buying and a little selling.
  14. Major League Ready
    The financial benefit of making the playoffs might be driving the OF situation. They might be reluctant to bet on the youngsters because they want to cash in on the playoff money. It could also be that they believe they can get prospects for Kepler or Gallo at the deadline, so they are waiting it out. It could also be that they just want to play it out as long as possible and see if they can get the offense going. We are a different offensive team with Buxton and Correa playing as they have of late and hopefully we get a good version of Polanco going soon. It's going to be interesting to see what the pitching market looks like in 2-3 weeks. We might be able to really cash-in.
  15. Major League Ready
    I have similar thoughts although I think I would DFA Gallo first and hold Kepler until the deadline hoping he continues to play well. His wRC+ for the last 30 days is 150 with a 905 OPS. Yes, we know this is what he does but if he can do it for another 3 weeks, he might actually bring back a decent prospect because of the team option for next year. I think I actually prefer to keep Castro over Gordon. He is a better defender, especially in the infield and he is a good base stealer. Buxton is scorching. the ball right now. What the heck. He went from horrid to pounding the ball. I don't know what to expect but no way would I IL him now. I am right there with you on the OFers. Time to give Larnach and Wallner an extended look and how about trading MAT and giving Stevenson or Keirsey at shot or maybe Martin at the deadline. The opportunity for a meaningful addition is moving Gray or Maeda or both if the return is right. If Maeda pitches really well he might be a candidate for a qualifying offer. I am not sure what type of offers he will get at 35 years old but a 3 year deal does not seem out of the question if he pitches like he did yesterday going forward. I hope someone makes us an offer(s) we can't refuse.
  16. Major League Ready
    wRC+ of 62 since May 15th.
  17. Major League Ready
    Great to see this many honorable mentions with an OPS around 900. I quit paying attention to Sabato so that was a nice surprise. I am really pulling for Keirsey and Camargo. We need some depth at those positions.
  18. Major League Ready
    They also could have signed Rodon for $160M and got nothing. Wacha is a nice story but to say they should have had a crystal ball and known Wacha was going to perform like a $25M/year SP is a convenient narrative. There is also absolutely way Wacha accepts his end of the mutual option if he continues to pitch close to this level because someone will give him a multi year deal for 2X the AAV.
  19. Major League Ready
    Context is important here. I am not saying Gallo is great. I was responding to a post that rated him as the worst of all our off-season acquisitions. We gave up nothing in trade and it's a one year deal. It's hard for that type of deal to be terrible. I agree with you that OPS is sometimes suspect. I prefer wRC+. Gallo's rating there is 121. Jeffers and Kirilloff are 120 and Lewis is 132. Again, not trying to say he is great. I would be just fine with them cutting him tomorrow to bring up Wallner. I'm just saying no way was he the worst of all the off-season acquisitions.
  20. Major League Ready
    The only player on the team with 100ABs and a higher OPS than Gallo is Lewis. 99 ABs but close enough. He plays good D and 1st and corner OF. Plus, it's a one-year deal. How do you rank that last? I don't understand Vasquez 8th either. He is here to manage the pitching staff and play defense which he has done. Castro's OPS is 684 and his wRC+ is 93. It was 86 last year. What's the big surprise? I would rank him behind Stewart / Solano, Farmer and Lopez. I would rank him above Gallo because we have two more years of control for a pretty ideal bench player. BTW. Haniger was a much higher profile signing. He got 3/$43.5M and his OPS wRC+ is 40 points below Gallo.
  21. Major League Ready
    I see where you are coming from now. The guys with a real shot at making it are generally on the 40 man and shuttled between AAA which gives them a shot at making it. My thought was that the 40 man limitation makes the other guys available to teams that will give them a legit chance at a big league roster. It also forces teams to trade these assets like the Twins did with Steer last year. Maybe I am wrong but the current system seems like it forces redistribution of talent which is ultimately good for the players. This takes more thought than I have given it so I hold no real strong opinions on this one.
  22. Major League Ready
    I wouldn't mind the type of bold changes you list. At least it would be interesting to watch for a while. It's unwatchable right now.
  23. Major League Ready
    No. I meant put Buxton on the IL and replace him at DH with Williams. That seems desperate but that's not the way it would go given Polanco is expected back. Julien would get the DH ABs. I expect Gallo to be the first to go and Wallner taking his spot but will it be tomorrow or July 31st.
  24. Major League Ready
    I am right there with you. My guess is that they felt their best chance for sustainable success was to get the players they already have on the roster going. That was reasonable but it's not working. Gallo is a free agent at years end and he has become a black hole. Wallner is hopefully a long-term solution. Let's find out. Kepler is gone next year too. Same deal. Correa / Buxton / Lewis / Kirilloff / Vasquez and Jeffers are not going anywhere. That leaves very few other possibilities. Putting Buxton on the IL and replacing him with Williams just seems desperate, right?
  25. Major League Ready
    The fact that you twisted what I said to this position is self-serving rhetoric. I said they obviously want more attendance which quite obviously promotes more profit. You can't intelligently argue that point so you changed the context so completely as to make absolutely no sense.
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