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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Mod note: keep to subject. Ranking of Royce Lewis
  2. Agreed, I don’t think he is a sink or swim prospect yet. The FO might even give him a quick week or two in high A if ST wasn’t enough to knock the rust off (or if there is no ST in ‘22)
  3. I don't think the pundits really matter, but it makes sense that his status would drop to the pundits. Recent draftees are usually ranked higher, Lewis is no longer a spring chicken. I think what matters is value to the Twins relatively to other Front Offices. Clearly he's still valuable to the Twins, it's unclear his value in trade to other FOs. As has been floated in the thread that Lewis may start the year in AAA, does that signal relative value of Lewis? In other words, would the Twins risk overwhelming him, if they really valued him that much? He's hardly played in 2 years, only played 39 games in AA, the jump immediately to AAA would signify to me he's a sink or swim prospect (at risk of no longer being a prospect)
  4. If Levine extended him and traded him in the same offseason, Levine would lose all credibility and struggle to sign or extend players the rest of his front office career. No way that happens. If a trade is not in the works, I too, would extend Arraez for all the reasons listed in the OP.
  5. Do you have to hit home runs to DH? Why? Was Paul Molitor a bad DH because of that? I understand liking Rod Carew alot, he's a high bar to clear, one of the best to ever don a Twins Uni. Isn't that a complement? What's so wrong with that?
  6. I like Arraez, don’t trade him because you have depth, but… 1) The Twins are woefully short at pitcher, especially starting 2) very few options in free agent starting pitching 3) need to give value in trade to get value in trade If Arraez really is “under valued” as the OP states, hang on to him, he’s more valuable to the Twins than in trade. if another team values him enough as the centerpiece of a deal that brings back good controllable starting pitching that doesn’t part with too many prospects, pull the trigger. as others have mentioned depth is critical, that goes for pitching too. There’s even less depth pitching than hitting.
  7. “Va” means “go” en espanol so “No go” as an outfielder is less exciting but I do like “Johnny Shoe” Juan Zapata has a very big league feel
  8. I gotta think we’re a decent substitute For a customer focus group. I mean we all care enough to debate this stuff in January during a lockout.
  9. I get this and to an extent agree, except Donaldson and Sano have bad contracts in the current CBA/market. Offloading those two means paying a large portion of their salary and so there isn’t much savings or sending prospects with them, which I sincerely doubt this FO would ever do. If universal DH comes in, the calculus for Sano changes. At the trade deadline, the calculus for Donaldson might change. For now those two have more value playing for the Twins than in trade. Also, which pitcher is still a free agent that you wouldn’t classify as a dumpster dive? Signing both Rodon and Pineda would still result in a payroll under $120m with Sano and Donaldson on the books. Those are the two highest $ FA’s left… Arraez is one of the most valuable and tradeable assets the Twins have
  10. I agree, a disengaged fanbase would be very detrimental. The pitching, as it stands will put this team very much at risk of just that. the free agent options for pitching are very sparse. A trade for pitching seems like the best way to make ‘22 a competitive one. Trade inherently means someone of value leaves to return someone else. I think trading Arraez makes sense, but as others have pointed out, depends on return. As a package for a very good starting pitcher, I would be very happy. As a stand alone for a low level prospect, I would prefer to keep him.
  11. Miranda has played 25 innings at LF and 1B vs 1400 innings at 2B and 1800 at 3B. I wouldn’t consider Miranda a part of the 1B/LF/DH mix.
  12. I believe the word you’re looking for is “necessity”
  13. I can’t wait for the next installment! Great work!
  14. Ha haha! I can’t wait for the next installment!
  15. Bert was absolutely dominant as a pitcher and one of my favorites along with Ryan. The surly attitude helped his cause as one of the greats. He was not my favorite announcer and I really disliked the teleprompter schtick.
  16. I think you nailed it here. "Hope" is not a plan, but hope is what we're being fed. I think what's not being said is that the team plans to drop payroll for 2022 and beyond. They don't want to call it a rebuild, but a rose by any other name smells just as sweet.
  17. I would not bring Miranda up to be a bench player. He’s too good to ride the pine. He needs to play every day. Assuming health of JD I’d start him in STP. I’d look to trade Donaldson at the deadline, and plug Miranda in as starting 3B there foreword. Donaldson and his contract have more value to the Twins than other teams. In 2021, JD had his healthiest season in a long time. Assuming he stays healthy doesn’t seem like a good bet for other GMs. In the off-season, no rational GM is taking on that contract. It would cost the Twins half his salary or more to offload him before the season. Thad Levine reportedly bristled at the idea of rebuilding… off-loading JD at a cost to the Twins would be waiving the white flag. With a couple teams looking to make a playoff push, Donaldson could be one of the best hitters available at the deadline. Necessity might not only unload that contract in full, but throw in a low value prospect too.
  18. Ober pitched 108 innings last year, do you really think he could increase his innings 150% of last year? 120 to 130 tops Same for Ryan.. As for Bundy, trot him out till his arm falls off Nick referenced a non-traditional rotation article from November that seems prophetic... I bet we see a 6 man rotation or even 8-10 man rotation with extensive use of piggybacking pitchers scheduled to both pitch 4 innings in the same game.
  19. Agreed - I really like Nick's analysis and always appreciate that @Nick Nelson frequently engages in the forum. I really doubt we see a trade for starting pitching. It would likely cost the prospects that the FO has been working so hard to collect and is banking on to be in the MLB pitching staff. I would guess they'll sign Pineda (or another 1 year $10m-ish starting pitcher)
  20. 2020 is not an excuse. 2020 happened two years ago, I know, I've been working from home for two years and not working in my factory. Thad Levine knew 2020 happened two years ago when he watched all of the good free agent pitchers go the last week of November and he knew at the time that he had a plethora of pitching prospects that were injured or still building stamina in September 2021... that wasn't going to change in April 2022. There's no plan B, the guys that should be plan B, getting their taste of the majors when injuries strike in 2022 are getting thrust into opening day, while still recovering from lost time. To that end, I agree with your assessment Nick, I think you are right, it's just terrible execution of a good strategy
  21. Last year was an absolute disaster. If the OP was the plan all along, why didn’t more of these guys get a taste of the bigs? At least some long relief… instead we watched Albers et al get hammered
  22. And to cap it all off: Twins Daily Winter Meltdown guest of honor he was awesome! Really great anecdotes, lots of fun! He started my love of the Twins back in ‘84
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