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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Concur! My in-laws just sold their house in Fort Myers. I was there 10 of the last 15 spring trainings…. It’s the best! Especially the minor league games and the backfield practices
  2. The Op has Santana as the starter, as do several posters, and Santana has been mediocre to bad for 4 years… I fail to see the difference other than the dollars.
  3. This is why I understand and accept the Santana signing. I don’t love it, but I get it. i still gotta bet on AK because he’s the strong side of the platoon and younger, he’s the most likely, and has the most upside.
  4. True, but the inverse is also has a ton of value, considering there are way more Right handed pitchers than left… At 250 plate appearances maybe not “Elite” but I’ll take an .858 OPS on the strong side of a platoon. those are some damn good hitters just ahead of him!
  5. Honestly, Santana is not where I’d place my bet. If Kirilloff and Miranda are so lost/injured that they are entirely ineffective, my bet would Ed Julien moves to 1 and Lee comes up to play second. id put my money on Kirilloff too
  6. Hi Nick why is the small side of the platoon labeled the starter? I’d think Kirilloff (or Miranda) holds the keys to success here.
  7. Uhhh it’s 100 per season
  8. The evidence says otherwise… he was really good last year. Front of a mediocre rotation good, at very minimum.
  9. This article could have been written without the payroll talk and would have been nice to get a “if your sick of payroll quit reading now”…. The first half was very informative!
  10. I agree on the ridiculous nature and the impact on the fans, but my opinion is this is more of an unprepared MLB, than the Twins going back on their word. in reading between the lines, if the MLB did indeed put pressure on the Twins to take a 1 year deal, it’s because they (MLB) weren’t ready to launch their own streaming package, this current outcome was the best of a bad situation for the Twins. who is going to invest in all the capital expense, cameras and computers, hire all the crew, setup all the infrastructure to broadcast a 162 game season for 1 year? Only Bally because they already had the cash spent on the capital and they didn’t have to set it up from scratch. It was already depreciated out. any competitive bid had to be a multi year deal because ESPN or local Tv station would have had to pay off the capital expense, or… “hey we’ll do a 1 year deal, but you have to pay the out year costs”. my opinion was the MLB was the Twins stop-gap as a stand-alone, but because they would be the only team involved, it might have been really low dollars because of the associated costs the mlb would incur.
  11. @John Bonnes great spot on Fox 9. Excellent last point on the payroll!
  12. Also, if you’re in-range 830 WCCO is streaming the game.
  13. That was my assumption too, but usually that’s when I get proven wrong.
  14. Martin and Castro in the OF is interesting
  15. 100% agreed, I thought James was well reasoned, and he fits with the OP, but I disagree with him, on the history and his qualms with WAR. its not a perfect metric, but its good, and more importantly its easy and accessible. baseball has always been a stat heavy sport, from the earliest days. Our stats have become more complex with access to computers, but keeping the box scores in the paper books, scouting reports… it’s all analysis of data with the tools you have.
  16. I would also guess The Celsius, which is right around the corner and equally “sus”
  17. The great Bill James weighs in: https://www.billjamesonline.com/judge_and_altuve/
  18. Also… I like fangraphs, and it’s my go-to, but baseball-reference has a glossary too https://www.baseball-reference.com/about/ https://www.baseball-reference.com/about/war_explained.shtml
  19. 100% agree on context being extremely important. Sample size is key on any metric, and comparing apples to apples. So WAR isn’t helpful at all for current season in April, I bristle seeing it quoted in May, but when you’re coming up on half a season and discussing trade deadline, it can be useful. As others have mentioned, WAR is a cumulative stat, so I usually try to pair it with rate stats, to try to bring context. Hitters: OPS is my go to. Pitchers, I like WHIP. I tend to measure fielding separately, baseball savant outs above average (also a cumulative stat). Is a nice comparison.
  20. https://library.fangraphs.com/misc/war/ “You should always use more than one metric at a time when evaluating players, but WAR is all-inclusive and provides a useful reference point for comparing players.”
  21. Agreed on the Guardians and Rangers. Being in-line with bankruptcy court gave them a significant lever in the tv contract negotiation. Hard to say how many suitors the Twins had, but according to the Athletic article DSP was quoted in, in his usual very vague terms it sounded like The MLB was pressuring the Twins to take a 1 year TV only deal. I would imagine that might significantly limit the negotiation leverage for the Twins.
  22. Forbes isn’t “Fact”. Forbes is a publication that tries to turn wealthy people into celebrities by sharing information those wealthy people want to share. It’s not GAAP audited financial filings for the SEC on publicly traded companies, it’s estimates
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