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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Richie the Rally Goat
    PREDICTION
  2. Richie the Rally Goat
    One week later, lost 5 in a row and the plus 4 run differential became -21. The starting rotation is firmly a mess, and they’ve cut a ton of chaff. woof
  3. Richie the Rally Goat
    The Twins striving for viability. I’m so thoroughly whelmed.
  4. Richie the Rally Goat
    I feel terrible for Ober, I hope he makes a speedy recovery!
  5. Richie the Rally Goat
    Paredes had his contract selected today. Timing
  6. Richie the Rally Goat
    You are right, but why cut bait now? if this is about long term, and because they needed help in the bullpen, why DFA a 25 year old starter to avoid optioning a 28 year old reliever, or DFAing a 35 year old washed vet? Sim earned this, I don’t have a problem with it, except that it doesn’t make any sense in the context being shared. In 3 days Sim could have been throwing inning at a time, demote Orze, bring up CJ Culpepper (or whoever) to throw 4 innings as a piggyback demote him and bring up Fundy. They were at 39 players on the roster. then they’d have been back at full strength in the bullpen, decent rest, and they could still DFA Sim or trade him, or whatever.
  7. Richie the Rally Goat
    DFA a 25 year old who was a decent starting pitcher for 210ish innings to avoid optioning a 28 year old reliever with 30 total ok innings in his career? nope, this isn’t about the bullpen
  8. Richie the Rally Goat
    38 players on the 40. All season long the 40 has been too heavy on the hitting side. 18 pitchers, 20 hitters time to rebalance. should be 21 or 22 pitchers on the 40
  9. Richie the Rally Goat
    Trades have to be viewed through the lens at the time. They didn’t have a contract with him past a year and a half. But the opportunity to extend him was traded away as well. overall 1.5 years plus opportunity to extend Berrios for Austin Martin and a couple decent seasons of SWR is meh ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  10. Richie the Rally Goat
    In the same way that Joe Pohlad did, sure. Zoll was the top of the org chart for people with only Baseball Operations in their Title. Falvey had Business in his title as well, meaning he was likely not in the weeds as much. Zoll is still top of the org chart for baseball operations but there isn’t anyone between him and a Pohlad. Zoll’s job has added duties, no doubt about it, but from what I’ve read it’s not a night and day thing.
  11. Richie the Rally Goat
    He was GM last year for the sell off and ensuing dithering 2 months and offseason. I wonder if Shelton might be forcing things a bit. Then again, Outman is still on this team
  12. Richie the Rally Goat
    A cap decreases the spend at the top, but if no one forces the bottom of the league to spend money on talent, the talent won’t magically balance itself. The Dodgers would just get more creative on contract structure
  13. Richie the Rally Goat
    Yup, all local broadcast rights are shared in the MLB proposal
  14. Richie the Rally Goat
    This! The DFA is facilitating a trade at a non-peak trading period.
  15. Richie the Rally Goat
    Taking care of Bradley is critical to the immediate future. As far as Rojas, injuries happen, it sucks. Sim didn’t perform and was on thin ice as it was. I don’t agree that pushing back Bradley is biting them at all. What’s biting them is an absolute failure to invest in this team last August/September and the offseason. They wasted prime trial months on washed DFA fodder, and spent money on adding to the glut of DHs rather than the bullpen or actual fielders.
  16. Richie the Rally Goat
    This is where I am too - I think the trust part was a big impact on his on the field results this season, and why he snapped out of it so fast on demotion. Nothing to worry about anymore. if they bring him back up and he craps the bed again, his trade value is zero because his demotion didn't fix anything. Him batting well in AAA, he might be able to get something in return.
  17. Richie the Rally Goat
    The League (not necessarily the Owners) wants to change the incentive structure for the teams. Sharing TV revenue equally means the way to earn more money is getting fans in the seats. Today, revenue sharing model incents teams outside of the top tier, to not try to win. The murky middle loses the most in our current model which is largely why the mlb is failing. The murky middle is where competition should be the strongest! the ceiling gives the top end owners a reason to sign on, the floor gives the players something to sign on to. while the two sides are a loooong way apart, I’m encouraged in the direction. edit to add, throwing more money into the player pool will be interesting. Will there be more or less service time shenanigans? Will the top end contracts get bigger relative to the league like quarterbacks in the NFL? Will players reach free agency more or less frequently?
  18. Richie the Rally Goat
    Remember when Brooks Lee was a shortstop?
  19. Richie the Rally Goat
    Putting balls in play increases the opportunities, which should stabilize to a bell curve if the outcomes are completely random. agreed, the outcomes are not completely random, the Twins do have an impact via running, steals, etc but the pendulum swings both ways. Those outcomes can go badly just as much as go in the Twins favor.
  20. Richie the Rally Goat
    The Twins have been beneficiaries of absolute dog crap fielding from their opponents. https://www.aarongleeman.com/fact-or-fiction-have-the-twins-opponents-played-horrible-defense-against-them/ I have to believe -21 runs prevented against them will regress to the mean as the season wears on. The Twins +4 run differential looks really different were they to play against league average run prevention. color me skeptical of the resilience
  21. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed, usage has a lot to do with Banda’s improvement. I also think it’s the high variability he and all the other mediocre relief pitchers go through. He’s had similar bad stretches and good stretches in the past, but his overall stats look pretty similar to his career. look for Banda to crap the bed and be lights out over a few more stretches this season
  22. Richie the Rally Goat
    100% agreed the most disappointing part about 2025 is that we didn’t see last August and September as development time for post-hype starters converting to relievers.
  23. Richie the Rally Goat
    Agreed, quick to judge, but encouraging start
  24. Richie the Rally Goat
    Gray reinstated Gabby back to St Paul
  25. Richie the Rally Goat
    I read it as a coaching staff caricature, that hasn’t had an answer for Sim or most of the bullpen.
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