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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. From the article I found, $51 is the average fan spend inside the park after buying tickets. The average ticket is $37, that would be $88 x 350,000 =$30.8m. Plus of course there’s tv revenue per subscriber and advertising revenue.
  2. this team is better than the August 25 Twins but worse than the May 25 Twins. That was a 70 win team, no flukey injuries, Buxton had his healthiest season in years. That 70 wins is the baseline. If López tears his UCL opening day, there’s no way this team wins 67 games. If Buxton doesn’t have an extremely healthy season, there’s no way this team wins 67 games. If Ryan and Lopez both get devastating injuries early in the season, this team might compete with the Pale Hose for historic ineptitude. If there’s better than average health and a ton of things go right in developing a bullpen and seeing Royce and Wallner return to form, absolutely they could be a 500 team. .500 could place them competing for the division. Far more likely we see injuries and the usual development pendulum
  3. They also share the away games, baseball as a whole was up 10%
  4. If this is accurate https://larkletter.substack.com/p/how-the-mlb-hit-record-revenues-from gate revenue is about 1/3 of revenue, average ticket $37 x 350k $12.9m x 3 = $40m plenty to sign Sonny Gray
  5. 350k is 18% growth over 2018. Target field seats 39,500. 81 home games max capacity is 3.2m. 350k is 10% of maximum capacity. That is FAR from a drop in the bucket.
  6. I think most of us had that figured out on August 5 when Lee looked like a statue both in the field and at the plate while all of the prospects were either butchers or 5 years away. It’s just amazing it took this long for a national writer to say it.
  7. That was reactive to two passive offseasons in a row that should have been more aggressive (buy or sell).
  8. The aggressive approach from the beginning of Falvey’s tenure that I loved, corresponded with Thad Levine’s tenure too. Mysteriously when Levine left so too did the aggressive moves. From the outside, Falvey’s largest failure is in managing up and aligning the ownership team, something TR was very good at. It led to stagnation and underspend, but from the outside it looked like TR always had a clearly aligned directive. It probably wasn’t because the disfunction of ownership we saw over the last couple years didn’t just crop up. Falvey’s legacy appears to me as transforming the FO, becoming more modern. That’s a huge success. While marred by significant failure, the success outweighs the failure.
  9. I think the idea is a good one, strengthening the rotation and bumping a starting prospect to the bullpen or trading for a position player makes a lot sense. As others point out, the Twins need a fly ball pitcher not a ground ball pitcher to make that work. Not Valdez but I like the concept.
  10. Isn’t trading established players for prospects that you haven’t shown the ability to develop impactful?
  11. at least according to SI, Tom was chairman of Pohlad Companies. SI is not what it used to be, now a lot of AI garbage, but this is what I based that on. https://www.si.com/mlb/twins/onsi/minnesota-twins-news/we-have-lost-trust-tom-pohlad-on-replacing-brother-joe-atop-the-twins clearly the chairman shouldn’t be in the weeds on The Twins, but should have a pretty good idea of the Twins executives and was a part of the sale process for the Twins that ultimately ended in retaining them and bringing on another investors. That process should have illuminated far more than 6 weeks of sitting at 1 Twins Way.
  12. So the CEO of the parent company had no idea how his largest asset was ran but stepped down to run it himself with zero idea of what needed to happen?
  13. If it’s a “mutual parting of ways” it’s absolutely a half measure. The guy that’s supposed to go big or go home can’t let a guy he doesn’t trust quit on his own 2 weeks before pitchers and catchers report. If he was to be fired, it should have been weeks or months ago. to that end Tom was the CEO of Pohlad company. It took until December 17 for him to fire his brother. A decisive leader would have fired him and Falvey in early November or during the season.
  14. Effectively Tom went from CEO of Pohlad Company to VP of a division of Pohlad Company. Looks like he got a demotion too
  15. agreed, My complaint about Falvey has been his indecisiveness, especially since Levine left that man has been incapable of making a direction, getting worse with the full financial weight on his shoulders. then he and Zoll traded away 40% of the roster, very decisive, but then using the remainder of the season on scrap pickups rather than prospects (back to the dithering). This offseason has illuminated just how toxic the Pohlads are and how badly they handcuff their Twins leadership. No wonder Falvey has been incompetent! How could anyone succeed with this level of chaos in the ownership. while I feel for Falvey being out of a job, glad to see him gone. He was on his way out anyways.
  16. Me too, and agreed, my read is they’re going back to a business lead and a GM and eliminating the POBBO
  17. He wasn’t the final decision maker, he still had Falvey and Joe above him, but the reports are that he led the process.
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