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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    I agree, frankly, I think Miranda could hit .450 this Spring and not make the 26 man roster. Santana signing sealed his fate ………if he’s really good they may trade him but doubtful. He’s a perfect offset for Kirilloff at 1B starting in ‘25. Bubba Thompson has speed…….been released multiple times. Gordon had a terrible start last year and broke his leg May 16. 2022 Gordon hit .272 - 28 doubles - 9 HR in 405 AB’s with the Big Club. He started at 3 positions regularly. Not sure what’s not to like there. Much better than anything I saw in Thompson’s history. He may not fit the Twins roster but he’ll get a shot if he’s at any reasonable level of offense in Spring Training. Martin hit .260 in AAA with no power. I like him going forward but don’t see any definitive distinction for him over Gordon.
  2. JD-TWINS
    The # of starts for Martin aren’t there in Mpls. - I think 3-4 a week is a real stretch with Castro & Farmer ahead of him………..Gordon is out of options……biggest reason. He either makes the Team or they move him. 405 AB’s in ‘22. He had 28 doubles & 9 HR & hit .272…………..All in the Show, not, AA or a Fall League. Started at 2B much of the beginning of the season then played LF & CF. Started 43 games in CF. Experience and belief in a guy that’s done it in the Majors. He deserves a shot. I don’t think Gordon is necessarily ahead of Martin but there’s no reason to put Martin ahead of Gordon until they both get a look this Spring.
  3. JD-TWINS
    Sounds like he at least matches up to Ober in Mph - right? Ober is very effective with 3 pitches, principally. SWR supposedly has 4-5 pitches. Seems his command is what will make or break him. Facing essentially all guys older than him leaves me with some optimism that he can continue to refine and be better.
  4. JD-TWINS
    Gallo hit terribly from late May through the year. He wasn’t going to be on the Playoff roster (obvious by early July) but hung around as insurance. He played 4 positions and a lot more 1B than expected with Kirilloff’s problems. They had a couple extra spots in September & he played some as needed. They were paying him either way so why not use him to the nth degree? Not a great signing is probably an understatement at $11M but he contributed with his glove regularly & with his availability…….handful of exciting HR’s.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Pretty sure Santana had 23 HR in ‘23 & Gallo had 21 last year…….one is considered a HR guy. Santana is less versatile but every bit as good at 1B. Similarity is that he’ll be available! $6M less money spent. Absolutely no problem with signing Santana. Great history posting in the lineup whenever needed combined with way better defense than Miranda at 1B. Good power and good history v. LH pitching. Miranda has options if there’s an opening. He needs to prove he’s a major league hitter once again - big reduction on pressure to make that happen immediately with addition of Santana.
  6. JD-TWINS
    Making a Pennant push & there’s no signs that Severino will be ready for that on Opening Day. Miranda is an offensive crapshoot that doesn’t play very good defense so reducing that risk was wise. Martin’s not playing any 1B in the near term. Anybody can be worse than expected. Hope he holds together! Hasn’t missed extensive time since 2014 - another reason to have him paired with Kirilloff. He lines up with Farmer & possibly Martin as guys that can be plugged in v. LH pitching and excel.
  7. JD-TWINS
    Seems Kirilloff owns 1B v. RH pitching, so maybe 70-75% of games. That leaves 150-180 AB’s minimum for Santana at 1B. Also, he seems to be the probable DH when Buxton plays OF so Castro can be ready in a flex role off the bench as needed……,another 150-180 AB’s. Pinch hitting - some starts for rest……he may pick up another 60-80 AB’s. 350-400 AB’s and that’s with perfect health with Kirilloff……maybe more? Hoping for 15 HR and some good 1B play. Good clubhouse guy as well! Nice pick up to mitigate the risk with Miranda.
  8. JD-TWINS
    It seems that there’s room for improvement with Festa but he just doesn’t have 3 pitches - they All grade out toward Plus pitches…….that’s my assumption of a difference.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Gallo hit poorly for sure - tough to justify, but he was a professional with experience and had the ability to play 4 positions as others healed & he posted whenever needed. There’s value in the lack of disruption & worry amongst the team - a real value. Gordon is a cheerleader type. - Totally Agree though, guys gotta perform & then the intangibles can be factored into their value.
  10. JD-TWINS
    Correct - gotta be able to add value between the lines - no charity on the 26 man! Santana v. taking a risk with Miranda for 1st, quality of play & then, secondarily, experience & leadership tips it to Santana.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Sounds like Sgt Hulka………..
  12. JD-TWINS
    He can’t hit anymore so I think that’s the Yankees real rub with him!…?!?
  13. JD-TWINS
    Hoping they still pick up an arm! If they do that, it’s reasonable to have Varland, DeSclafani, & Paddack all in the same roll. Fill the 5th starter spot & throw in 2-3 inning relief spots. Paddack & Varland are sure effective in short burts.
  14. JD-TWINS
    Pablo seems to have an advantage on the #1 spot based on last year’s results……..am hoping he’s challenged by Montgomery after Twins sign him. Fingers crossed.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Ober threw approximately 4-5 starts (around 21 innings) in St Paul so those innings, with similar results to the 144 would get him awfully close to the 3.3 WAR posted by Lopez. Good supposed #3 guy!!
  16. JD-TWINS
    Thompson for sure……..he’s fast………seems to be his top attribute, maybe only attribute? Staumont - Duarte are the only potential options to release……….Duarte has been with team for a week, so I think he’ll probably get exposed to other clubs. Maybe other clubs roster spots are or have filled & they can hang on to Duarte?
  17. JD-TWINS
    The Tigers traded Lorenzen at the deadline & lost Rodriguez to free agency. They were replaced by Maeda & Flaherty……..certainly not a net gain there. They have 2-3 pretty good young guys that are on the come. Twins were 14-5 against the last 4 teams standing last year. Astros - Rangers - Diamondbacks - Phillies. Gray’s starts in ‘23, the Team was 15-18. Those were the real outcomes that they need to match or better in ‘24. ERA is great - quality starts are great - they both definitely give a team a better chance to win! However, between Varland/Festa/DeSclafani slotted in #5 spot, they have a very good chance at going .500 in a combined 36 starts……fair? Gray picked a guy off 2nd on a terrible base running play by Guerrero to escape a jam. He threw 5 innings for the W. His start v. Astros was sub par. ……….fair? Paddack needs to be good & needs to hold up. …….if there’s an issue they’ll have to make a move for an arm at the deadline. Am still holding out some hope for a pitching move over the next 4-5 weeks. Any reasonable health from Buxton (100 games between CF & DH) a mild rebound from Correa (.265 BA & 20 HR) the 3 young guys at 2B - 3B - LF available from the season’s start all point to a much better offensive year. Am assuming Kepler & Vazquez will be hitting above .220 at mid-season in ‘24…..this will help as well. Gotta be a top 6 team in the AL……..can’t control where we sit in the NL. Have potential to win the Pennant with one Starter addition to the Staff.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Not too many trades for a $35M SS with 5 years left on contract, coming off his worst season at the plate. SF & Mets already turned him away & nobody outbid the Twins just 12 months ago when he hit .290 the previous season……..He’s all ours! IMO, Lewis goes to 1B & Kirilloff to LF so Lee can play 3B ……OR Lewis goes to LF & Kirilloff stays at 1B. Lee-Lewis-Kirilloff-Julien all need to be in line-up by the Playoffs or worst case by Opening Day ‘25. Gotta assume either Buxton or Santana will be slated at DH this season, so that’s probably not an open slot for those 4 guys. Dont understand the WAR concern, if the guy isn’t in the line-up regularly, regardless of where he plays, his WAR isn’t budging. So, either we play the best guys to maximize offensive WAR for all individuals concerned and live with whoever gets the Defensive WAR credit…………it’s about scoring more runs than opponents and winning games, not maximizing a specific player’s WAR & associated value.
  19. JD-TWINS
    Twins moved $10.5M with Polanco deal - & took on $18.25M between ($1M/$12M/$5.25M) Topa/DeSclafani/Santana …….received $8M from Seattle……….essentially a draw and we have 3 players v. Polanco. …….correct?
  20. JD-TWINS
    $138M source??? Cody says it in paragraph 4 above & Jon Becker says it in a tweet above………just assuming that between them they are at least close. Is Witt getting $$ this year that may not be in your total yet?
  21. JD-TWINS
    The Royals spent $92.5M in ‘23 & had Zack Grienke in their rotation last year…..that’s embarrassing. They have a great young guy that they need to push into Stardom locally for fan interest, they invested, and they brought in $45M in OK Free Agents to help. They’ve elevated to $138.5M & with some fiscal uncertainty the Twins have gone from $154M back to $124M as of today…………one signing or trade over next 5 weeks & our roster is even more superior. I don’t think spending randomly when you have a solid roster makes sense. Doubt that the FO is on vacation after the Santana signing.
  22. JD-TWINS
    They got better and more stable with Lugo - Wacha - Smith on their staff………they have the kid they got from Texas, he’s apparently top of rotation talent. Pitching is the start - Bobby Witt can’t score 4 runs a game but they’re better. Agree!!…………Hunter Renfroe & Adam Frazier aren’t going to propel them to the Division title.
  23. JD-TWINS
    It’s February 5th…….not in favor of trading our roster for their’s I assume? Just signed Correa for $35M per year 12 months ago……..,we’ll have to pay Lewis - Jeffers - etc. - etc., numerous pitchers, over the next 2-5 years. Still have an opportunity to solidify the Staff before the end of Spring Training. Everyone needs to calm down.
  24. JD-TWINS
    Gotta ACT!…………..or it will be……….”couldn’t get anything done” because other Teams wanted too high a price in trades. He’s the best FA available if Montgomery can’t be signed - right?
  25. JD-TWINS
    Snell’s ask is 9 years at $30M….. not 1 year at $30M. He turned down 6 years at $30M from Yankees. Montgomery’s ask is $25M for 6 years …….these statements have been published. ………………… I’d like to try and sign Montgomery for 5 years at $26M and let him have option after 3 years. Gives him security & independence later in the deal. Worst case, Clevinger for 2 years at $16M to stabilize the Staff.
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