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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. Linus
    I’m not sure that a quote from spring training is anything to hang our hats on. What’s he going to say - “Austin looks a little lost out there”? Could he get better - absolutely but he has to significantly improve at all aspects of outfield play and how do you do that as the 13th guy on the bench? If he is going to get good in CF they almost have to send him to St Paul for 3 months. It would be a shame but it’s the stupid tax they have to pay for playing him at short so much in the minors when we all knew he maybe would play a little at second. Now their evaluation tells them they don’t want him on the dirt at all which is par for the course for player evaluation with this FO. To be a good CF you have to get great jumps, have great burst and take great routes. Not many players can do it. It’s one reason why Buck is still great out there - he excels in all those critical skills so he will remain good out there even after he loses a little speed.
  2. Linus
    I hope he can make it back but I am not counting on it. Forget 2023 - his babip was 373 and the league had never seen him. The league adjusted last year and he did not. It’s a story as old as baseball. The bar is even higher because of his defensive deficiencies. He did improve in basic fielding of ground balls but let’s be honest he was brutal when he first came up. His arm is poor and he lacks instincts. His turn on the double play is slow and he frequently feeds the double play way out of rhythm. They should move him to first ASAP or just DH him.
  3. Linus
    I think you are right about the your guy comment. My apologies. As far as patience, those are plays you learn in Legion ball. The guy is going to be 28 and is in big league training camp - no excuse for that kind of bad baserunning.
  4. Linus
    Plus he is not competing with a Gold Glove. I get letting Santaning a clear shot last year as the difference in the glove was huge. Ty France? He might be worse than Miranda - at the most slightly better.
  5. Linus
    It’s fun to read about all of them. The one I am most interested in is EmRod. If he can hit in the bigs it’s a roster changing move. We improve our defense immediately and with neutral splits we cut down on some of the platoon tomfoolery. While I have concern about his hitting profile he really is a badly needed piece. Plus you could trade Larnach for something decent.
  6. Linus
    They made two outs on the bases - both by your guy Keirsey who looked like he is unfamiliar with the cutoff play in baseball. Good to see all the focus on fundamentals has our boys whipped into shape.
  7. Linus
    Yep. There are themes on this site that just circulate round and round. One is how some people think it’s ok to stash unproven / mediocre arms at the back of the pen because we can use them low leverage only. Three weeks into the season the 7th guy in the pen is coming into a tie game in the 8th because he is the only one available and people are wondering who these trash relievers are.
  8. Linus
    This is not make or break for him. He’s under contract and is going to pitch if he is healthy likely in the rotation. He likely will hit the IL at some point and if he pitches decent he might get traded but he is going to pitch and get paid.
  9. Linus
    Ryan Pressly says hello.
  10. Linus
    Well if things go as planned he won’t even get a chance to make it or break it. He’s not young and has poor control and command. Hopefully the Twins won’t need him this year.
  11. Linus
    I will always remember the Claw signal to the bullpen. Nice to read about his life after baseball. I’ll bet he has had a happy life.
  12. Linus
    Hmmm….i am doing this from memory and I recalled that he didn’t really play until the second half of 2023. Regardless the babip was a huge harbinger of things to come. My skeptical outlook should be in no way taken as I want to cut him. I want him to get a fresh start in St Paul and see where it goes.
  13. Linus
    People’s impression of Julien is of the 2-3 months at the end of the 23 season. It was a fluke: the league had never seen his unusual hitting profile and he had a babip of 373. The league adjusted and we saw what that looked like in 24. Now he is going to have to adjust. Due to his swing style I am skeptical he can do it. Since is not a good fielder he isn’t going to get playing for any reason other than mashing the ball. I don’t believe Julien will contribute anything significant going forward. I hope I am wrong.
  14. Linus
    Lewis did not have Tommy John surgery.
  15. Linus
    Wow, this and 50 cents won’t get you a cup of coffee.
  16. Linus
    I’ve always enjoyed her company.
  17. Linus
    These are interesting numbers. Thanks for compiling them. Of course they can be parsed a bunch of different ways like lack of situational hitting that would push them over the top. I would also guess if we looked at those games we would find a mistake on the bases or in the field that cost us that all important run.
  18. Linus
    I’m glad they are trying something different. They have not been fundamentally sound in the field or on the bases for a long time and it never got any better. Maybe this is acknowledgment of the problem.
  19. Linus
    This is spot on. I’ve never had faith in defensive metrics for this reason. In my own feeble mind I view fielders fitting in to one of three buckets: 1 - exceptional or difference maker. Not many of these. Perhaps 5-10% of the players. 2 - bad or detrimental. Guys that cost you occasional games because their defense is just bad. This category has maybe 10 - 15% of the players. Then we have adequate or competent. This category has 75 - 85% of all players. Obviously some differences within a group this large but not enough to be dissimilar over the course of the whole season. This little process is by position so it’s possible a guy drops down a position and goes from the bad bucket to the ok bucket. To my SABR friends there is nothing scientific about this - just observation. I’m curious how other people view the percentages I assigned. Too high? Too low?
  20. Linus
    I’ll add on here a little. Good pitching means more lower scoring games where a defensive mistake is even worse. Hopefully the defense can be competent.
  21. Linus
    Or maybe with a year of experience this year he won’t be sun-par next year. That wasn’t so hard was it.
  22. Linus
    Can’t see him riding in the bullpen unless he is lights out and elbows start blowing up. If they like him this spring I could see them working out a trade.
  23. Linus
    Certain topics, certain posters can be an acquired taste 🙂
  24. Linus
    No question-the bats will make the decision.
  25. Linus
    You could win a bar bet or two with some of those numbers
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