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jmlease1

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Everything posted by jmlease1

  1. jmlease1
    well, they just scored 16 runs in three games, an average of 5.33 runs per game. Over the course of a 162 game season, that's 864 runs, which would have led all of baseball in 2021. They're an above average offensive team this year after a pretty slow start from their offense this year (like many). The offense is starting to get healthy, so I don't think it's really the biggest concern.
  2. jmlease1
    Baseball is a funny game. 3 games, total run differential: 1. Twins went 1-2, could easily have gone 2-1, 3-0, or 0-3. It'll make you crazy if you let it! Anyone have Nick Gordon with the game-winning hr and only run today? After last night's explosion? Anyone? (I did not. No way.) Good job, it's appreciated, Nick. Nice work by Smeltzer. Bullpen got back on track and did the job after two rough days. I am surprised that we didn't see Thornburg or Duffey; if you don't trust either of them in a high(er) leverage situation, then I'm not sure what they're doing on the staff. You can have 1 guy in the pen that gets the blowout innings, but I don't think you can afford two guys who might only pitch every 5th day. And if one of them if going to be jettisoned when Ober comes off the IL, then why not use him while you have him? A good win. it'll be interesting to see if Cleveland can stay this hot; their pitching is pretty good again, but I think their offense is going to put up more games like today's than wed night's.
  3. jmlease1
    So, I was at the game last night and it was disappointing to go home with a loss. I'm not surprised to see people up in arms over the bullpen imploding again (it sucked), and it's hardly a shock to see people going after Rocco's bullpen management (there are clearly people on this board who want him fired and are gunning for him at every opportunity; YMMV on whether it's fair or not). But outside of a comment on Kirilloff not handling a grounder (that was not scored as an error) and one comment on Celestino not corralling a deep shot to the wall (that would have been a 5-star catch, IMHO), and baffled by the lack of attention to the Twins poor defense last night. The error by Gordon cost the team a run and was the kind of frustrating careless one that makes your teeth grind. Pitchers not covering bases properly at least three times. The terrible balk that cost a run in a bizarre play that would have scored a run on the awful pickoff throw that Thielbar chucked away (zero points to the always poor Angel Hernandez, who called it so late that he managed to confuse everyone in the stadium including the official scorer and had his usual inconsistent strike zone that baffled both teams). Kirilloff's inability to block the hard grounder at him was disappointing (I wouldn't have scored it an error either) because we've heard about how skilled he is at 1B and it was a key situation. Really rough defense last night. The offense was very good last night, and was nearly even better (quite a few drives to the OF that were hit directly at people and flies that game up just a touch short). Should have been plenty to win. Disappointing to see Gray couldn't get deeper in the game, and extra frustrating for him to give up a dinger to a terrible hitter like Hedges. Cotton had been pitching well and had a rotten night (that HBP sure looked like it hit the bat, but they wouldn't show a replay at the stadium so the assumption was we'd seen another Angel Hernandez classic), Pagan couldn't go two, Jax had back to back biffs after being really good this year...yuck. Literally no one pitched well for the Twins last night. None of them.
  4. jmlease1
    I think there's a lot of belief in Kirilloff for sure, and Larnach isn't that far behind. But I also expect Kirilloff to be our starting 1B next season, so I don't expect him to be particularly in consideration for one of the corner OF spots.
  5. jmlease1
    It's great to see Wallner having so much success in his first experience at AA. The Ks will always be a concern with him, but the increasing number of walks he's taking is encouraging. I'm fine with him moving up to Saint Paul at any time. I'm sure his power will continue to play and we'll see if he continues to make enough contact. Is he Brent Rooker or is he more? Lot of similarities in their profiles, unfortunately.
  6. jmlease1
    With any reliever, small sample size is the unrelenting killer, but maybe Laweryson has something with his movement/deception in delivery to make this work. He's been enough of a K-hunter to think that it might be real, but the fact that the twins had him repeat high-A after the AFL experience rather than start the year at AA makes me wonder a little. The WHIP is impressive, the K/9 is excellent, and he's never been homer-happy. He definitely looks ready to be at AA if nothing else.
  7. jmlease1
    Helman looks like minor league depth to me. He struggled in his AFL trip, and while he's been doing well this season, he's also 26, so this is the first time in his entire professional career he hasn't been old for the level. I wouldn't get too excited about him. He's off to a really great start this season, but if he hadn't hit well at high A last season at 25 he might have been out of the organization.
  8. jmlease1
    really good game for the team last night. the hitters looked very good at the plate, lots of good ABs. (and my goodness, Sanchez crushed that HR: instant no-doubter) Bundy is deservedly the star and pitched very well. He had some good fortune in having hard-hit balls go straight at someone, but he also had some bad luck in weak grounders bouncing through the infield a few times. I think LaTroy had it pretty well nailed: when he missed his spot, he missed it outside the zone, rather than in the heart of the plate...and for the most part he was hitting his spots. We'll see if that's repeatable for him. I was also really amused at LaTroy and Dick's conversation about pitch framing. LaTroy flat-out saying that pitch framing is really just bad umpiring was kind of wild. But it's a fair position! He's not wrong about it, I just didn't expect anyone to say on a broadcast, and that sort of thing is when LaTroy is at his best. He's got a great voice, and I love it when he's talking about pitching and the details of it or staking out a position like pitch framing being just bad umpiring. (When he's trying to recreate the old Dick & Bert comedy act, I'm less interested)
  9. jmlease1
    Vallimont has had stretches that he's looked unhittable before and it never lasted. Maybe Baltimore has unlocked something with the mechanics or delivery or something that allowing him to throw strikes with greater consistency, but...until he can really put together a good month or three where he commands his pitches, then he's another guy with a live arm who can't control it.
  10. jmlease1
    Took a peek at Sabato's year, and it looks like he's struggling again to make contact and the big surge he had upon promotion is looking like a small sample size mirage. Too bad, but I can say I'm surprised. His prospect stock has seriously declined, and deservedly so. Julien is a really interesting prospect: he's always on base, he has a little pop in his bat and it's going to be really interesting to see if he can maintain this kind of production as he rises in the system. He's got a bit of a log jam ahead of him with the MLB club...is he a potential trade chip? I wonder what other teams think of him as a prospect now.
  11. jmlease1
    4 BBs for Wallner! He's got a pretty dang good eye for the strike zone, I'd say. He's got to be on the list for potential promotion to AAA, right? I feel like we'll know more about him the more advanced pitching he faces, but if he's able to continue to make this much contact (because it always seems to be hard contact) and draw this many walks, he could be a real asset.
  12. jmlease1
    They're all perfectly fine players, but Castillo is the only one I might be interested in to enhance the rotation. And frankly, I'm more interested in a bullpen arm than any position players right now. yes, it would be great to get more offensive production out of jeffers slot in the lineup but a) we also have Sanchez who is doing fine, b) I'm not sure I'm ready to give up on Jeffers, and c) this would cost a lot. With 1B, we have Kirilloff looking to return at any time, so why would we fling a bunch of prospect capital to upgrade there when the best option might be in-house? I'd like to add a bullpen arm, especially with Alcala not rejoining the team any time soon. A power arm to add to Duran/Pagan/Jax on the righty side would be a significant help, and I'm not sure we have the right blend in the minors to step in to high leverage spots.
  13. jmlease1
    These "Rocco only does what the computer tells him" type takes are getting really old, really fast. Basically the equivalent of Joe Morgan complaining about Billy Beane writing Moneyball. I'm ready for Kirilloff to come back and I think there's enough ABs for him. But the roster is getting a little tight when Garlick comes back, especially if Miranda is still hitting well. (I would still pick Kirilloff over Miranda right now because Miranda is meh defensively anywhere and Kirilloff could be great at 1B...)
  14. jmlease1
    Always happy to start a series out with a win. I wonder if the solution on Archer is to pair him with Winder and let them do piggyback starts, trying to get 4 innings out of each of them? (once Winder is back as well) Emptying the bullpen like this is going to be a bit harder once they have to reduce down to 13 pitchers. The schedule is unrelenting; except for the all-star break we're looking at only 2-3 days off a month for the team. But I thought Archer pitched pretty well; he's still finding his command and how to pitch without as good a stuff as he had early in his career, but the slider definitely still plays. As a 5th starter, he's a nice option. Arraez just keeps it going. Opposing pitchers have got to be sick of seeing him come up to the plate. (if he's able to punish mistakes with XBH a little more often that'll be even better, like we've seen recently) He's just a really tough out, and hitting him in front of Buxton, Correa, etc should put a lot of runs on the board. I'll take the win!
  15. jmlease1
    He's doing pretty well, and I'm pleased with the results and the fact that he seems to be staying healthy. He's become one of my favorite interviews on the team; he's interesting and thoughtful. I could see him being awesome in the booth when he retires. As a back-end starter, he's a solid fit for us I think and I think he's someone who can figure out ways to compete even with lesser stuff than he used to have. And it'd be fine if he's more of a "5 and Fly" guy, if that means he's able to take the ball ever 5th day.
  16. jmlease1
    I'm less concerned about the results with Enlow right now, just that he's pitching. Looking forward to him starting to pitch 5-6 innings this season and hoping that he has an injury-free season. The results will come, IMHO. CES is doing everything he needs to do at the plate to earn promotion, but he probably needs to do more in the field as well. He's playing 3B like he has a frying pan for a glove and a shotgun for an arm, and needs to improve there. A-ball is the right spot for him until he starts making a little more progress there, I think. I think Kirilloff is coming up when they have to add a position player to the 26-man, but it's going to get tight with Garlick coming off the IL soon and Miranda swinging the bat so well right now. Garlick destroys LHP and fills a role, Miranda has more positional flexibility. Kirilloff is superior 1B and would tighten up the INF defense. Feels like 3 players 2 spots right now?
  17. jmlease1
    Duffey certainly has pitched himself out of any high leverage situations. It's too bad. I'm not sure we have enough quality options right now that dropping him from the roster does anything; might as well see if he can work out of it in low leverage roles while other guys get healthy. Sands still needs work, but I wouldn't give up on him after his first stint in MLB. He's certainly got more upside than Charlie Barnes ever did. As guys get healthy in the rotation, I expect he goes back to AAA, where hopefully he applies lessons learned up here and improves. He's got some pitches that can play in MLB, but he's going to need to command them better to have success and he's not there yet. defense was a bit rough, would like to see that cleaned up. But it's also evidence that Miranda is still learning 1B. A bit disappointing to see the team so flat against the Rays; a sweep would have been great. But any time you win a series, I'm not really going to complain. Now we go on the road, and see if we can win series against a beatable Seattle team and an equally beatable Arizona squad.
  18. jmlease1
    Kirilloff looks like he's either finally fully healthy or has just figured out how to play with his wrist being what it is. Regardless, he's looking like the elite hitter we hoped he could be again, and I look forward to seeing him back in MLB. Arraez has done a great job filling in at 1B, but I'd be perfectly fine with sliding him in to DH and letting Kirilloff play 1B, especially since Larnach and Kepler have both been good in the corners. Pretty soon the Twins will have to drop a pitcher for a position player, right? Maybe that's what they're waiting for on Kirilloff. typical Wallner game: 1-3, BB, K. But if that's his new baseline, he's going to be all right. Balazovic has so much talent, but he needs health and innings. His struggles are another reason why the Twins were trying to line up so many options to start this season. You just don't know when (if at all) you'll be able to count on a guy like Balazovic. Hope he can find a run of good health and opportunity to pitch some innings. I still believe in his ability, but he's got to start getting some consistent starts in.
  19. jmlease1
    Arraez is obviously the hero of the day, but how delightful to see Celestino continue to hit. I've been a fan of his and thought he might be the ideal 4th OF for this team going into the season, and the way he's playing it doesn't look like he's ever going back to the minors. Sure, everything is falling in for him right now but last season he looked almost completely helpless against MLB pitching and this season he looks like a MLB hitter. The offense is starting to click like we hoped it would at the start of the season. If we can get our pitching healthy, we should have a lot more series like this: wins.
  20. jmlease1
    Oof. that's asking a LOT out of Varland. He's been having a good season and he's on a good developmental track right now, but it's not like he's been unhittable in his 10 starts in AA, and his control has not always been there. Is he really going to be that much better than Sands at this point, and do you want to throw him in the fire for one game, having him make a 2-level jump? (It really didn't go well for Celestino last year) He's also not on the 40-man, so you'd have to make a move there too. I'd say no to this idea. CES is definitely butchering it at 3B right now, but this is what A-ball is for. Probably too early to move him off there already, but if he has to move down the defensive spectrum, he's got the bat to do it. Hopefully he shows some signs of improvement by the end of the season.
  21. jmlease1
    My goodness, Byron Buxton is amazing. Hopefully, he's going to stay on this tear for a while! Smeltzer did a nice job, but I'm a little worried that the shine is coming off from him. The FIP suggests he's been a bit lucky, and it's just tough when you're not getting Ks. I'm not saying I expect him to fall apart completely, but I also wouldn't put too many hopes on him. Hopefully he can find ways to get more easy outs. But he's still done a good job stepping in at a time when we needed someone to do it with all the injuries.
  22. jmlease1
    What a bummer. Royce seems like such a good dude, and did such a great job coming back from the first knee injury. He did everything right, had a great start to his season in AAA after a long layoff from actual games, did a terrific job when called up for his first taste of the majors, and now he's back dealing with another significant injury. Terribly unfair. But one of the reasons we're all so drawn to Royce is that amazing attitude, and right out the gate he seems to be handling it as well as anyone could hope. If anyone can bounce back from this, you just feel like it's Royce Lewis. Hate that this happened for him, it's monstrously unfair. Good luck to him in his recovery.
  23. jmlease1
    we do have to keep reminding ourselves that the Twins currently have 9 pitchers on the IL (not including Kenta Maeda). For comparison, the Yankees have 3, none of them starters. The injury bug has hit us hard right now; just as our lineup is getting healthy (only 3 position players on the IL, and only 1 of them on the opening day roster) our pitching is pretty depleted.
  24. jmlease1
    This loss wasn't great. Bullpen didn't have it. Bundy was bad (unsurprisingly, but until they get guys healthy again, cutting him doesn't make much sense: we'd be rolling a lot of dice to try and fling someone else from the minors up right now). Even Joe Smith couldn't get it done, and he'd been very reliable. For those that like to crap on Rocco at every opportunity: he went to his most consistent guy in Joe Smith in the 6th and his most dominant guy in Duran in the 7th to try and stop the bleeding and hold the lead and neither guy got it done. If they get Alcala back, that will definitely help the bullpen, and if Maeda returns, maybe he's in the bullpen to end the season rather than try and stretch him back out as a starter, so it's not like things are totally dry. But a midseason/deadline acquisition doesn't seem out of the question, and it's not the the team doesn't have assets. It's hard to blame the offense when they hang 7 on one of the best pitchers in MLB, but one baserunner in the last 5 innings sucked. When your enemy is drowning, don't throw them a rope, throw them an anvil. It's one game, but it would have been good for the psychology of the fanbase to win the series against the Damned Yankees. (I don't think the players are impacted much if at all)
  25. jmlease1
    Bundy's leash is directly tied to the health of the rotation. If we had Ober, Ryan, & Gray healthy right now, he would be potentially getting skipped and they would be looking at whether he could function as a long man in the bullpen. With all of the injuries, they're going to try and see if they can get enough out of him to keep the team competitive. If he doesn't, then I suspect they will cut bait on him if/when more guys get healthy. I mean, in another month Maeda might be throwing off a mound again. At least there's almost no chance the team picks up his option. I wasn't a fan of the signing, but as a veteran depth option to battle for the 5th spot...well, ok. He's not looking like he can get it done, and the leash is getting shorter. I'm fine to move on from him, but might as well wait to get some more guys back first.
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