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Fatbat

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  1. Fatbat
    we need depth in St. Paul. No need to get worked up over this signing. Maybe before he is 28 yo he will stop chasing balls outside the zone. Probably not tho. the Twins CF starter is Buxton. He is finally healthy and has an actual chance at 150 games in CF. If you want to watch Bubba play, go to a Saints game.
  2. Fatbat
    Health derailed his career or he may have been a real big deal.
  3. Fatbat
    Awesome read! The what if game is always fun! Just last years draft brought us tons of what if’s. Moving up in the lottery to start thru the choice of Skene’s at #1. and so on through #5 Jenkins. Everyone of those fab 5 could have gone in different spots. Someday we will have to go back and do some what ifs in that ‘23 draft class.
  4. Fatbat
    Great read!! I would have probably picked different players for breakout candidates. In thinking Kala’i Rosario vs. Yasser Mercedes.
  5. Fatbat
    Well the twins need 2 more closers. So Im too lazy to check but is Neris still a FA? Anyone want to see him in a Twins uniform?
  6. Fatbat
    All these responses with different names in trades that doesn’t answer your question. I would say that neither team would agree to that deal. I don’t think either team would even propose it.
  7. Fatbat
    Hoskins would be nice but its obvious the FO isn't making deals any time soon. We may be 45-60 from even having a broadcast/streaming deal. If you’re impatient now, just wait, it’s gonna get slower.
  8. Fatbat
    Analytics. Low leverage RPs age 26-32 with MLB experience and some retooling get better results than 21-25 yo prospects.
  9. Fatbat
    Don't the twins have 2 potential buys? One for the streaming rights and one for the tv broadcast rights? There has to be a little built in leverage there. If the Twins can split that market, can’t they shop the streaming rights to 5 or 6 different services? IF the banko judge approves everything, Amazons $115M will just be seed $$$ so they can negotiate long term deals with bigger mark teams as current deals expire. The long term play must be for them to own a majority of team contracts and sell big bundles to daily viewers and more expensive 1 game or weekend type passes to casual fans. You could have super fans paying $200/season to stream 20 teams’ games or $75/season to stream 3 teams games. Casual fans could pay $5 for a weekend series pass to watch their fav team.
  10. Fatbat
    I can’t imagine a day that the Pohlads don’t own the Twins but what a glorious day that would be. If they would have just said two things as a team (official statement) after the playoffs. “Even tho our media revenue is uncertain at the moment, we are committed to winning the world series. We will do whatever it takes to capitalize to our current management and players to bring home the only trophy that matters to our fans.”
  11. Fatbat
    After listening to Gleeman and the geek podcast, they bring up several interesting topics/concerns and senarios. The MLB lawyers seemed to be blind sided. What if the banko judge doesn’t go along with the proposal and throws out the whole reorganization plan. What kind of negotiation power do the twins have since they are mid market with no contract. Are they gonna get last years A/R. $8B old value. $1B new value and $8B Liabilities/ A/P. It kinda boils down to Amazon buying more n for pennies on the dollar and will teams with expiring contracts in the next year or two take the easy $$$ contracts from Amazon or will they not. If I were sitting in the Pohlads media office with Co lawyers, I would try a strategy of a starting a bidding war even tho they dont have much leverage but the sales point would be. Other teams will follow us if the revenue is ever increasing and stable. The game of baseball and its broadcast/streaming has to be viable, affordable and attractive to old fans, new fans and future generations. Like it or not, that’s probably with Amazon.
  12. Fatbat
    Or assets get shifted around internally. We got 6-8 more infielders that will be developing and at the same level that Lee is at rn so this type of discussion in going to carry on for years but the names will change. Some will fail. At least 1 could/should/will be better than Lee and stick longer. At least we are drafting the right kids so we can talk about cool stuff like this.
  13. Fatbat
    Left handed pitchers love Julien a bit more than Lee. Lee is a switch hitter but stronger from the left side and stronger against righties. No question that Lee has significant development ahead of him. I have made the argument before and will continue to that advanced prospects sometimes do better if challenged more. Guys that get a taste of the varsity can then understand what it will take to stay there and some thrive right away. Some need to bounce back and forth. Do the twins need Lee in ‘24. NOPE. Can Lee force them to bring him up by developing his weaknesses and advancing his best skills. Absolutely. A year ago, many on this site ripped Julien and still do for inadequate defense. Prime reason to leave him out of the top 100 prospects as well. He is now rated the #8 2nd baseman in MLB. His defense was above league average in Aug-Oct. All of that development happened in about 100 games played against the best. He still can’t hit LHP but I bet he is spending time right now working on his greatest weaknesses. When Lee comes up, we will know 2 things, he has the confidence of mgmnt to be here and he is better than he was last year. What he does with it is up to him. I’m betting that he will be here for a long while.
  14. Fatbat
    If the twins, and it appears this is plan A, throw out the first half of ‘23 and roll with 2nd half of ‘23 and build on it. Why can’t a 95 win season be a FO expectation instead of just wishful thinking? It really sounds like there are some very hungry young guys that are going to knock on MLB in ‘24. Anyone that thinks a vet in spring training that obviously wants to hold onto his job but sees the future, wont play a little scared in April/May. If that drives some extra motivation, we could get out to a very nice lead in the central. Then does the FO put the accelerator to the floor and bring up any one of a number of prospects that are tearing up the minors? Success breeds more success as they say. There is probably an equal chance of some early struggles and major injuries but for the sake of argument, what if the season starts out similar to what the Rays in ‘23.
  15. Fatbat
    That may be true! How many teams are ahead of us that could claim him? Is he that bad in the batters box or is he like other guys…. He can play but not for the Yankees org.
  16. Fatbat
    What a diamond in the ruff! He may only be 18 yo but his mental maturity is off the charts. No idea where his ceiling is but Dwight Gooden type career would be incredible. I would expect him to spend all of ‘23 in Florida but if he blows thru development and is just a plain beast, is Iowa ready for him in August?? I would bet on him being a one of a kind type and develop quickly.
  17. Fatbat
    I don’t think a claim for Bubba and wasting a 40 man spot on him is the best we can do. Sign him to a minor league would be cool but he will most likely be claimed by some other team before that.
  18. Fatbat
    MLB has to be shook up at the influx of white knight $$$ coming into the banko proceedings. The plan to eventually control all of their broadcasting rights in house is most likely up in flames. If the last remaining individual teams negotiate a multi year deal with the new org structure , its a done deal. Amazon and their partners will own it and control it for many years. Is that good for the fans? Maybe in the short term but how high will streaming fees go? How will the revenue be divided? so many questions! Even in the short term, will MLB acquiesce to the proposal or will they object?
  19. Fatbat
    Julien was nowhere to be found a year ago in any top 100. He is also 2 years older than Lee. Lee tore up AA after a short adjust period. Thats why he got promoted quickly. After 5 weeks in AAA, an even shorter adjustment period, Lee tore up AAA in the last 3 weeks of the season. Everything points to him tearing up spring training and AAA if he isn’t on the opening day roster. Last I checked, mgmnt will play the best players on the 40man and find a place to play them. At almost 23 yo, what says Lee can’t be a perennial allstar? I just don’t understand how fans can dump on him before he ever gets to the show. If Lee would have stayed in AA in ‘23 and finished the last 8 weeks with a .320ba and .980 ops everyone including the experts would rank him higher and be mad at the org for not promoting him earlier.
  20. Fatbat
    Ober has always had a chance to be an ace. Another 5 years of him dealing and developing is absolutely possible. Everyone of our SP’s are in a position to take another step in their development. Grays record last year was due to a lack of run support when we were was less than stellar on offense and bullpen malfunctions.
  21. Fatbat
    2022 had a nice rookie class. Ryan, Duran and Miranda.
  22. Fatbat
    Lewis’s ACLs were both bad luck! AK had his arm bone fixed and its a non issue. His shoulder is slso fixed so there is no reason to pencil them into further injury talk. Taylor was a nice fill in for buck. Buck is back and while healthy which he is, should be an upgrade to MAT. A healthy Buxton could be allstar material. If he fails completely, we have depth. Not allstar depth but we can match MAT ‘23. lets say 2 guys slump ala Gordon/Miranda /Gallo’23. So what. 2 more guys will step up. The organization is deep at every position but pitching. There are enough rookie possibilities that we can have the customary 2-3 guys take the next step into MLB. It happens every year. We don’t know who will but there are 5-8 guys that are close. They wont all fail. They wont all be 140 ops+ or 3.00era 1.1Whip but we will get good rookie production. We always do.
  23. Fatbat
    I probably a way overly optimistic guy when it comes to our farm system but recent history suggests that your statements will be close to the truth as long as guys stay healthy. The pessimistic say that prospects fail more than they succeed. Ok fine, I will agree, but lets lump the Cavaco’s and Sabatos into the failure (so far bin) and lets put the Erods, Lees and Jenkins into the (successful so far bin). We know what bin full of guys will go to MLB eventually. Whats not going to happen is that that bin full of guys will fail more often than not. Sure, a percentage of them will fail and a percentage will be bouncing back and forth but there is also some that will be allstars. Every decade we will get someone HOF. Im just saying we are overdue for someone HOF that came thru our farm system so the odds are in our favor. For ‘24, we do have a great mix of vets and young studs on the 26 man. Even if everyone is just solidly average, we win 87 games. Again. There is plenty of things that point toward 92-94 wins. A lack of health which leads to poor performance is about the only downside that is a glaring possibility. We aren’t depending on any AAA types unless its an injury plagued team. The industry smart guy’s aren’t real high on our farm system but they sure like Julien. Where was he on the top 100 prospect list a year ago. Thats right, he wasn’t on it. ooops. Erod is somewhere around 50, He was recently interviewed and says his goal is to be in MLB this summer as long as his health is good. Sounds like he knows what he needs to do to get to the show. He sounds very motivated. I’m not going to bet against him. Lee said much the same thing when he was interviewed a couple month ago. He even praised Lewis for his help in pitch recognition. Don’t sleep on Lee, he is coming.
  24. Fatbat
    The FO is active and probably in the midst of preliminary talks to get a substantial list of deals to start negotiating sometime, possibly in March. We should be prepared to hear about out favorite minor leaguers get ST invites but also be prepared to talk about a block buster minor league signing as well as a minor MLB deal to add to the 40 man. Or not. 🤷‍♂️
  25. Fatbat
    Just in sheer numbers of mediocre past results pitchers, the Twins have plenty of options and chances to get 1or2 guys to change results in ‘24. We are thin in SP depth and that will best be solved closer to the trade deadline. The FO will have a spreadsheet of possible trade candidates to target by august. They will get a guy. Hopefully the right guy.
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