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Fatbat

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Everything posted by Fatbat

  1. Fatbat
    @chpettit19 As with any trade, time has to go by before fans can scream good or bad. I would personally tag Santanas signing on to the trade because it happened because of the trade. starting with Santana, he is a better fit for the ‘24 team because his bat is equal to polo and he checks a better box on 1B. Thats a win. Topa can only be only be a win if he matches his ‘23 otherwise he is just in someone else's way. DeSclafani is a win if he is healthy and has an ERA under 4.3 over 150 innings. Thats a tall order. polos absence, this will be hard to judge thru the lens of a butterfly effect. Not just ‘24 but future seasons because of the 2 prospects. I like the possibility of a successful trade because we have 3 possible positions that can have success in ‘24. As of now, the trade has many possibilities of outcomes.
  2. Fatbat
    Same thought here. We have a tradeable draft pick. We have several questions with each of the #2 thru#9 SP. We have time to answer many questions and time to shop for the best rental or hot hand with a couple years of team control. If one guy in house takes a major step forward, the FO can buy some other pressing need.
  3. Fatbat
    Varland and Canterino will be in AAA to start as starters. 100 %. So many options on and off the 40 man to start the year that it wont really matter so much what happens in April. It’s what happens when something goes wrong, who steps up?
  4. Fatbat
    Well they sold Carousel Motor group for north of $700M so does it really matter if they drop $250M on one guy? and for anyone protecting the Pohlads pocket change…. They are worth north of $9B so they will be able to keep the lights on at target 🎯 field.
  5. Fatbat
    Computer models will get you in the ballpark (close to reality) until they don’t.
  6. Fatbat
    Correct. Someone has to point out the possible upside progression. Not saying its going to happen tho. Just basing it on parts of past performance. If everything clicks, it could go really well.
  7. Fatbat
    Its all about ober and Ryan making 30 starts. They both have a career 1.1 whip. Ober has a career 3.63 era. Ryan had a 3.55 era in 2022 over 27 starts and was better than that in 2023 before he got hurt. Those 2 guys get 30 starts each and the math works out to each having a 5 fWAR season. Pablo will do Pablo things.
  8. Fatbat
    We have the talent assembled. Poor performance will only be a reflection of health. Because we are a largely young team, we should expect upside career progression throughout the team. Not many on here expect our starters to progress to the upside in their prime years. I shake my head by all the doom and gloom. Health is going to be the driving component to success in the 162 and upside career progression is going to win in October.
  9. Fatbat
    Considering their career progression, it’s certainly possible.
  10. Fatbat
    Lopez, ryan, ober all close to 200 innings with 3.20era 1.1 whip … all possible on the upside. Not unrealistic.
  11. Fatbat
    There shouldn’t be a huge problem if everyone is healthy. Lopez 190 innings Ober 160 Ryan 160 Paddack 120 DeSclafani 120 Varland 100 spot starters 100-150 gets you 9-950 SP innings total of course it looks way better putting Monty in for 190 but we know that wont happen. If we had him we would probably be a top 4 rotation instead of top 12.
  12. Fatbat
    Luxury today but a possible necessity if an IF has a season ending injury. $6M is a fair price for that insurance.
  13. Fatbat
    RP’s are viewed a little differently tho. If an RP is hanging 0000’s and available every other day, they wont be option’d no matter who they are.
  14. Fatbat
    Or Varland Canterino combined 1 hitters every week.
  15. Fatbat
    I can’t find the interview but he has huge upside. He basically had a mutual separation with KC and wanted a fresh start. His best season was 2021 and interestingly enough. He had a horrible bout of covid in feb/march of 21, recovered and had a great year. His career walk rate is absolutely horrific so if we can fix that, he could be lights out type guy.
  16. Fatbat
    Staumont’s surgery found the genetic type of muscle/nerve issue and was easier to fix than other possibilities. According to him, his issue is behind him and its full speed ahead.
  17. Fatbat
    and having 19 guys with options that can fill that role and at least 11 or 12 of them on the 40 man. We got that #8 arm covered.
  18. Fatbat
    Id take the high upside reliever every time. There is always a way to option a guy after a blowup game and bring in another arm.
  19. Fatbat
    Every official report for everyone of our players that got hurt, had surgery or treatment last season has fully recovered and is gearing up for a healthy spring training and available for opening day. Any set back or new injury is its own animal and owned by “The 2024 season” . I know its hard to believe but we have a healthy 40 man roster and beyond. WOW. 🤩
  20. Fatbat
    That is a huge pile of rough diamonds. Hopefully a few shine!!!
  21. Fatbat
    I think the trade was about Topa and the 2 prospects. It also allowed us to buy Santana for a year which is a wash at the plate with Polo but increased defensively flexibility plus the 3 other guys and their years of control. The twins win this trade even if DeSclafani turns Mahle.
  22. Fatbat
    What if Mantle is his comp? These kids are doing special things lately.
  23. Fatbat
    Agreed. Great info in the post and at the end of the day its not worth splitting hairs. They should both be ranked as 4.5 but we don’t do ties so 4 & 5 it is. Nationally, they should be ranked 104 & 105.
  24. Fatbat
    The Twins likely have 1 more reclamation SP to sign. Per Morosi, Lorenzen or Syndergaard will be a Twin soon.
  25. Fatbat
    Wallner has clearly jumped ahead of Larnach. We have at least 3 RH OF bats in or ready for MLB so there isn't a NEED to go outside the org to get one. Best case scenario is Ober, Ryan and Paddack all out perform expectations. It could be a fearsome foursome with Pablo!!
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