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Cory Engelhardt

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Everything posted by Cory Engelhardt

  1. Keith Law, at the time, named Jay the #1 prospect in the draft, and absolutely said he had the best potential in the draft. I don't think he should have been expected to be further along than he has. Even his injury this year wasn't to his shoulder or arm, so I don't understand why people are so down on him.
  2. According to fangraphs, the worst player in Twins history (I'm not counting Senators) is Denny Hocking. During his years with the Twins, he accumulated -2.6 WAR, and never had more than .5 WAR in any season. Two other years with above 0 WAR (.3 and .1) and otherwise he was pretty much all negative WAR each year he played.
  3. Thanks for this. The twins do have some good pitching that is relatively close. Adding De Leon to May and Berrios is a good start. Maybe Hughes can come back, maybe not. And to start the year Ervin will be fine. If 1-2 of Stewart/Gonsalves/Romero/Jay can work out (I think that is very possible) then the rotation will be close to Mlb average, at the very least, in 2018. That is a HUGE upgrade from where they are currently. Then, more good drafts and some solid player development will go a long way to 2019 ongoing becoming a strength
  4. For argument's sake, who DID show you anything in the rotation last year? Outside of Santana, who were the pitchers that EARNED it for this upcoming year, that showed any semblance of being ready? - Since there was arguably no one in the rotation (outside of Ervin) last year who proved they can be capable of being a full time major league starter, you may as well go with the guy who has the most potential to be good, right?
  5. If Berrios works hard this offseason, and drastically improves his fastball command as well as whatever he was doing to tip his pitches, there isn't anyone that will block him in the rotation. If they get De Leon, then I really think he is in the rotation too. Everyone else will work themselves out. Gnashing our teeth to rid ourselves of any veteran due to adding potential youth isn't helping. If the veteran has better command, at least to start the year, they will be up. If Berrios and De Leon start the year in AAA, I will be disappointed. But if they both start 25 times at the MLB level, that is a good thing.
  6. I'd have to think, if Dozier is traded and someone like Jose De Leon comes back, that he and Berrios (outside of injury) are in the rotation day 1. I don't know what that means for Santiago or Gibson, but I could very easily see them being shopped at that point too, especially with May probably in the rotation and Mejia also knocking on the door, along with Ervin and Phil Hughes (if he is healthy) or any other moves they may make.
  7. Any chance, just for the sake of humanity (I am exaggerating) that even if there aren't moves before the next roster projection, that Danny Santana isn't listed on the roster? I think all rational Twins fans will feel better going into the year if ANY replacement level player is listed in his roster spot. A replacement level player is a HUGE upgrade on Santana, and the Twins will be a better projected team because of it. - But yeah, a Dozier trade and a few veteran signings will change this projection drastically.
  8. Kepler and Rosario should switch spots, if they aren't making any other moves
  9. I don't know if the Twins can get Alvarez for Dozier. That may be unrealistic. That said, if the Twins are going to get Alvarez, it wouldn't be a 1 for 1, and they could probably add a Brock Stewart in that deal. Hypothetically. Or, at least, another pitcher in the lower levels.
  10. Plus, really, let's say Falvey's training methods help develop pitchers at a better rate than we have, since, well, forever. That is going to be noticeable probably not this year, but in the coming 2-3 years. Adding someone like Yadier Alvarez (I'm not saying that is possible, just saying) along with a Fernando Romero, or a Kohl Stewart (with new techniques) or Gonsalves or Jay etc, along with #1 overall pick, comp round A pick and #1 pick in the 2nd round. Well, let's just say, hopefully by 2018 or 2019 we are seeing real change to the pitching staff in one form or another.
  11. Or, to piggy off Brandon Warne's post from about a week ago or so, why not target someone younger who has already had a season or so in the majors who took some lumps already? Archie Bradley would be PERFECT for this team, and would absolutely be cheaper than acquiring someone like Urias.
  12. I think if the Twins want to acquire a potential future ace, they have to look more at guys like Yadier Alvarez, who is also in the Dodgers system. Yes, Urias is closer to being an ace, but for the Twins to acquire someone who has that potential, they have to look a rung or two lower in the minors to find someone to mold. I don't even know if the Dodgers would trade Alvarez, but he absolutely has the build, along with a plus fastball and a plus slider, to potentially be that top of the rotation guy in maybe 2018 or 2019.
  13. Are we certain the Nationals offered Giolito, Robles AND Lopez? I thought I'd heard it was either Giolito OR Lopez, but not both.
  14. I can be swayed either way on Gibson and Escobar. I know the previous regime had a lot of pull with Gibson (they drafted him) and I know that Escobar is an easy call if he is healthy. But man, they certainly didn't do anything last year to make anyone think that a full bounce back is in the cards. I could also see Santiago being traded for a non top 100 A ball pitcher with any level of upside before Friday. He is certainly a better option as a #5 starter than, say, Andrew Albers or Pat Dean, but if the Twins need an emergency starter this year they will have Mejia/Gonsalves et al including anyone they acquire in trades. I think Kintzler and Pressly are easy adds. They don't make much, and you can always trade bullpen arms. Pressly's slider spin rate is almost as high as Andrew Miller's, and if he starts to throw it 35-40% of the time, he will be much more difficult to hit.
  15. Alvarez, Puig and Sheffield. Or trade out Puig for a different prospect.
  16. http://www.statcorner.com/CatcherReport.php zball% is percentage of pitches that should be a strike that are called a ball. ostr% is the percentage of pitches that should be a ball that are called a strike.
  17. I read that Ryan Pressly's slider has a spin rate that is the 2nd best spin rate of any slider in baseball, to Andrew Miller. He certainly didn't throw it as often as Miller did. If he throws his slider more, he should be more difficult to hit. And hopefully May is given every chance to turn into a #3 starter.
  18. Vargas isn't out of options anymore, the twins were granted a 4th option year for him this past week. That said, he hits lefties really well and is just ok against righties. If they wanted to pair someone with him who hits righties really well (say, Mauer?) that would be a useful spot at 1st. They could also let Park be the dh in that role too
  19. The twins do have the first pick in the rule 5 draft, right?
  20. Love this idea for 1 year deals. A 1 year deal does absolutely nothing to either stunt a prospect's growth (if the prospect is ready) or hurt the long term ramifications of the team. If you can turn a 1 year deal into a controllable asset at the deadline, you do that EVERY time. Should be fun to follow!
  21. I think pretty high. Dozier is a valuable commodity, and other teams will be offering similar packages. It's not like the Twins have to GIVE him away (even if I want them to find a good deal.)
  22. But wouldn't it be better to get a 20 or 21 with upside who could be more than a platoon player in 2018 or 2019? Then, if you have that (instead of Van Slyke) you can always sign Rajai Davis (or comparable) to be that guy for this year?
  23. 1) I don't love acquiring older players in a Dozier trade (van slyke is a year older than Dozier is, and if he is just going to be a 4th outfielder, facing only lefties, I'd rather acquire a 21 year old with upside who will be at Cedar Rapids or Fort Myers next year. 2)I also don't love stripling, but if the front office likes him I am good with that. 3) I hate having May back in the bullpen. I think he is a better starter than Gibson and Santiago, and maybe Mejia. I would have high hopes for Berrios and DeLeon (who if this is how it played out, would absolutely be in my rotation day 1, along with May and Santana. 4) I hate the "upgrade" of Avila to catcher. He is worse at pitch framing than Suzuki has been. If the front office wants an upgrade, and they can't get Castro (who, I say, who cares about payroll, get him to whatever contract he wants and figure it out later on) I would rather trade for an Austin Barnes or Derek Norris before going with Avila. 5) I would love an extra signing for the bullpen and for the field, preferably outfield or ss. That's just me. Thanks for putting this out there!
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