First things first; I more meant, when (yes, I expect when) Varland isn't one of the top 5 (or even 6?) starters at the start of the year, I meant it would be malpractice to not have his arm as a weapon in the bullpen. He has too much high leverage arm talent to be using it against AAA competition. He can be a weapon in the bullpen, and IF a lot of people get hurt, then they can send him at that point. Opening day is not that time.
But for depth, here is what I see...
Starting with the Twins...
1) Lopez
2) Trade addition, playoff level starter
3) Joe Ryan
4) Bailey Ober
5) Chris Paddack
6) TBD, Major League free agent starter
With this, I also think there is a decent shot that they both A) Trade for a playoff level starter and B) Sign a free agent to a 1 year deal or 1 year with an option. That would bring the list to 6 here.
Then at St. Paul (in no exact order, I'm not certain how they view these guys, but...)
1) David Festa
2) Simeon Woods Richardson
3) Josh Winder (is he still getting a chance to start, or is he moving to the bullpen too?)
4) Pierson Ohl (check out his AA numbers from 2023)
5) Randy Dobnak (don't laugh)
6) Brent Headrick
7) Minor League Free Agent Starter
I also think they will bring in at least one veteran minor league starter who will begin the year at AAA, and probably slot above Dobnak and Winder.
Then at Wichita, you have Marco Raya and the rest of last year's Cedar Rapids rotation. This rotation will be super fun to follow on the year, and a few could make it to the majors in 2024 to be honest in some capacity.
Anyway, the Twins have depth to cover the back-end of the rotation, especially with Varland being able to move to the bullpen.
The Twins, as of now, have only 36 spots on their 40 man. Plus with all of the chatter of Polanco/Kepler/Farmer being moved, there will be a LOT of outside additions to this roster prior to spring training.