Baseball made a mistake by not including the concept of an Inner Circle when they started the HoF in the first place. So the writers feel the responsibility to make that Inner Circle designation themselves by voting a guy on the first ballot or not I think it's silly, but I also wouldn't revoke a voter's privilege just on that account - the thought process has its own internal logic. But if Joe doesn't get in on the first ballot, I'll be pulling for him to get the needed votes on the second go-round, or thereafter, as opposed to demanding that voters remain "consistent" from year to year.
For me he's an easy first-ballot Yes vote. But then (see first sentence above) I'm a Large Hall guy. Baseball should celebrate its best players to the maximum extent possible, and not be constantly downgrading them with arguments amounting to "well, but he wasn't THAT good." Save that for the informal Inner Circle debates.