Jump to content
Check out our top trade candidates list, now at 40 players and growing (almost) every day! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

ashbury

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    41,398

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    465

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Everybody knows you gotta give 110%.
  2. ashbury
    Fair counterpoints although I think the fairest guess for now is platoon player ultimately. I think he's a smart player, as evidenced by the very different, walk-heavy, approach to facing lefties, but it's not enough as yet.
  3. ashbury
    Old-timey guys, and Tony Gwynn. Interesting comps. (Though Tony hit lefties nearly as well as righties.)
  4. ashbury
    Not mentioned, I think, is Luis's inability to excel when facing left-handers. He's played enough by now to have a significant track record, consisting of 1) a .261 career BA, fairly empty at that except for the walks, and 2) being sat by the manager a lot when a lefty's pitching. His walk rate is actually a lot higher against lefties than righties, and his profile is almost like two entirely different people in one body. He's really good in a platoon but is that a marker for the kind of player who'll keep a high profile?
  5. ashbury
    His career is young, so perhaps he is one of the few players who will turn out to be able to sustain a batting average on balls in play (BABIP) at .340 like he had in 2022. They exist (Goldschmidt, Yelich, Judge, Trout, to name some prominent ones) Otherwise he seems like a candidate for regression to a lower level of offensive output, and I would not bank on him being anything close to our best performing outfielder in 2023. I want to like Gordon, and I do like him, and I'll own up to being slow to rate him as a major leaguer, but I still hold some skepticism on him being more than a role player for the long term.
  6. ashbury
    Neither do the Marlins.
  7. ashbury
    Pablo Lopez faced 736 batters in 2022. On the batting side, Marcus Semien led the majors with 724 plate appearances. (There are 28 pitchers who faced more batters than Lopez did. A teammate of his faced 886.) Starting pitchers have the potential to have as much or more impact during any season than batters do. The good ones are incredibly valuable and you can't trade for them easily. This every fifth day argument doesn't hold water.
  8. ashbury
    Yeah, I don't think a guy taken at #27 overall is much of a comp for what we're looking at now. If they had had #5 the year they took Sabato, maybe they would have selected... um, looking it up... some guy named Austin Martin? Name rings a bell.
  9. ashbury
    I think the concern is hitting righties but your principle is spot on.
  10. ashbury
    I'm so sorry, the panel has agreed that Dior remains the metaphor for the remainder of Correa's free agency.
  11. ashbury
    This to me is an outstanding example of analytics. Those who believe analytics means figuring out some new formula no one ever thought of before are overlooking all kinds of opportunities. It sounds like this approach needs more validation but is something a team should at least be looking at and tinkering with. Everyone understands clubhouse chemistry is important, no one really claims they can quantify it, but this at least is a step toward qualifying it. Kudos also for the brilliant graphic of the eight players. Visualization in analytics is often key to getting buy-in. Clubhouse chemistry is surely more complicated than any 3 dimensions can portray, but it gets the gist of the idea across and then you let the computer do the work of sorting out the 10 or 20 dimensions that might be of importance.
  12. ashbury
    What is the purpose of putting a non-competitive offer on the table? Just a middle finger salute to the player and to the world?
  13. ashbury
    This is the year I hope our vaunted analytics staff impresses us by picking at #5 the one pitcher out of those available who proves to be the durable arm that we need at the top of the rotation. Like, um... (checking baseball-reference.com)... Dwight Gooden or Jack McDowell from the 1980s. Oh lord, teams don't go for the big arms at #5 anymore, or at least they don't succeed at that strategy, do they? Maybe we get a Mark Teixeira or Buster Posey.
  14. ashbury
    Who's A Smart Dog? WHO'S A SMART DOG? You are, Coco, yes you are.
  15. ashbury
    Should be something tasty on the menu at #5. I could be forgetting a time, but my recollection is that the Timberwolves went years, maybe decades, before ever getting one lousy break in the ping pong ball lottery, i.e. moving up in the draft from what their straight record would have awarded them. The year Shaq and Mourning went #1-2? Wolves drafted #3 and got Laettner as the booby prize, despite no team having fewer wins the previous season. (The next year with Shaq the Magic won 41 games, and still got the ping pong ball for #1!) That sort of luck. So the Twins excelled the Wolves on the first try. / edit - ninjad to a degree by Dman
  16. ashbury
    Now compare his numbers to other catchers of this era Teams might pay for "not very good" performance a time or two, or three. Not twelve.
  17. ashbury
    We don't and won't know, but we can find it comforting to think that. ?
  18. ashbury
    BTW wow, what a comprehensive review. Thanks Seth!
  19. ashbury
    That's to start the negotiations. Usually I'm skeptical but I'm inclined to think, from Rocco's comments, that the Twins might actually get the last say, to beat whatever the top offer is, with some kind of creative tweak that splits the difference or whatever at the last minute. I don't know whether FalVine will have to say, "sorry, too rich for our blood," but I do believe the Twins at least have a seat at the table and that the player would like to return. I can't believe Turner's deal won't be exceeded in some dimension by Correa's.
  20. ashbury
    Standards of performance change over time, so that 30 HR or 45 HR mean different things depending on the year, just as a .300 batting average versus .350 have different implications from one era to the next. But leading the league in something, that's kind of an absolute level of achievement in any year. The Twins have had BA leaders much more often than HR, and that means something.
  21. ashbury
    There are some who bristle at certain terminology used in sports. "Owners", "selling", etc. So let's just call it a legal agreement for services.
  22. ashbury
    The scouting reports on Julien's defense aren't complimentary, so if he could be flipped for good pitching I'd be in favor. The other two guys, well, it should need to be a blockbuster deal to pry them away.
  23. ashbury
    Well, maybe I didn't understand the point I was responding to. There will be teams bidding for him, and aren't they all receiving this windfall too?
  24. ashbury
    Doesn't every team have that to add, as a sweetener? Though, we could throw in Brian Duensing, if he thinks he can find a use for a reliever.
  25. ashbury
    This aged well. ? (As wise Yogi taught us all, in baseball we don't know nothin'.)
×
×
  • Create New...