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Doctor Gast

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Everything posted by Doctor Gast

  1. This a last ditch effort by Boras to squeeze as much as he can out of the deal. I don't trust any thing coming from Heyman concerning Boras. Mets are his best shot, Correa's ego might get the best of him again. IMO the problem hasn't been Cohen, but his doctors & insurance co. If they don't give the OK then it's stupid to go against their recommendations & limits. Do the Twins have a shot at Correa? IMO they do, only as a safety net. Correa also figured that since the Twins have bought a bunch of damage goods in the past they might go long term w/o clauses.
  2. It'll be interesting how these players develop but the only one that'll see any real playing time is Julien. We shouldn't see any down time from Polanco but if it were the case, I hope we wouldn't have to depend on Julien at 2B. I'd sooner see Martin there.
  3. Thank you for responding. When I stated Jeffers value I didn't mean trade value but asset value. And I assumed you meant "As such, players at areas of scarcity (i.e. pitching) get elevated while those at areas of abundance (i.e. lefty-swinging corner guys) get downgraded a bit." in your evaluation. And I understand that. But I disagree by my assessment, judging strictly on a liability/ asset basis. And that deciding Jeffers as our future catcher by our FO doesn't cut it. Also looking at both Vazquez & Jeffers in a 3yr window, Vazquez is our starting catcher & Jeffers as back up. Vasquez is a more valuable asset. IMO areas of weakness & strengths should be addressed differently than individually, Catching depth present & into the future are in shambles so the best way to address that is to trade from our strength corner OF/ 1B/ DH lefty bats. My suggestion is Endy Rodriguez (PIT)
  4. I'd be for it, if we hadn't signed Gallo. Larnach, Kiriloff & Kepler trade values are down, I wouldn't want to trade any of them at this point. But with Gallo signed we can't trade him until June and we are forced to trade Kepler. Only way I'd consider McCutchen now is if we find good trades on Kepler & Wallner.
  5. Thanks again Nick for your evaluations and I can understand all of them except Jeffers. I think you ranked him according on how important his role is to the Twins rather than his true value. Hoping that facing only LHPs his offensive #s will improve but that doesn't negate the fact he can't hit RHPs. Also his above avg. framing doesn't negate his poor arm. Also the fact that SPs preferred him over Sanchez isn't saying much. Overall he's more of a liability than an asset. It's very sad that FO thinks he's our future. We need to cut bait on him while he still has good trade value. Again before he has no trade value. This year with the rule changes his weaknesses will become very obvious. We need to find a soon MLB ready top catching prospect to actually be our bona vide future catcher.
  6. As you said we have a ton of corner OF/ 1B/ DH lefty bats. It won't be fair to sign anyone for only LHPs. FO didn't even think it was fair to use Garlick in that role, so they used him too often against RHPs. But that's the only time to use him, that's his role so stick to it. When we need him we bring him up & put him on the 40 man, when we're done with him, we DFA him & wait for him to clear wavers. IMO it's not worth it to try to upgrade from Garlick. One area we could focus for RH power bat is Cruz. He'll be there for LHPs & he can hit righties as well. Arraez & Buxton could still share time at DH.
  7. Duran always had good stuff, the problem has always been that his arm wasn't able to hold up. If they had any inkling of him starting they'd have to start him out at long relief/ spot starting & go from there. But FO won't take that chance.
  8. Polanco's ankles are a non issue as long as he's kept away from SS. Polanco isn't a machine but management treats him that way because of his great switch hitting capability. He gets hurt like anyone else but they don't give him his needed rest. Last year he hurt his knee sliding but they never gave him anytime off & played him to the ground. Until couldn't take the field anymore & he had to miss the rest of the season. No matter how crucial he is to the team, he needs appropriate time to heal from any injury. The time missed isn't a reflection of his personal health but neglect from management. Hopefully Paparesta can right the the ship. He should play the amount of time to be healthy w/o any manipulations of time. Any team would love to have Polanco on their team but right now we can't trade him. Right now we have 0 quality INF depth. Arraez & Gordon are not MLB caliber 2B. There's some doubt if Julien will be able to man 2B. When Lewis comes back, Farmer can sub some 3B but how good could he really be at 2B? No we shouldn't even ponder to trade Polanco but we should ponder on how to increase our devastating lack of quality INF quality depth. Lee, Martin & maybe Julien can help out at 2B but that time is far from now.
  9. We got Farmer & Vasquez which were adequate moves. Gallo was a terrible move. They have to get Guillorme but he'll be cheap. They need to do a big move, Lopez or Rogers could do it. I'd do it under this FO pitching philosophy. Winning is everything, lets do it. Go Twins
  10. Great job Nick! You gave great reasons on how you ranked them & I agree with your rankings. It's tough to separate emotions from reality but you able to do it. It's tough to rank Ober ahead of Duran but I understand your reasoning, that SP is a more important position than RP & it's position of need. But yet if I were asked to pick which I'd choose to give up in trade, I'd give up Ober over Duran any day. But that could be my emotional tie to Duran.
  11. I'm a believer in Buck. Yes he has been hampered by bad luck & the result of his extreme efforts that he gives. I also believe this year he won't see so much bad luck & compete for MVP. Hopefully Nick Paparesta can influence the way Buxton has been managed and not try squeeze every game they could out of him. Instead focus on having him ready for post season.
  12. Just resist that crazy urge & say no.
  13. He's cheap. BTV has him at 5.2 compared to Kim 18.4 & Hoerner 30 something. Straight up we can trade Raya but there are so many ways we can make this happen with lesser prospects.
  14. When FO tells us to trust the process & not the results. But we have no idea what the "process' is. And it's about time to see results. Ownership expects Flavey to imitates CLE through osmosis and Baldelli to manage this pitching staff like TB. But we don't have the SP studs or a stable full of high leverage short relief as TB does. Yet TB's SPs pitch less innings than ours do. The biggest problem is we don't have the firepower to prance out 5 short RPs every game. So management needs to come to the understanding that we have to make adjustments. This FO seems like the only capable deals they are able to do are those when other FOs or agents come & slap them across the head & lay it in their hands & hope they don't drop it. Even then sometimes they do drop it or not maximize the deal. Most deals are bonehead deals that don't fit, that causes more problems than help. Sometimes I wonder about their ability to evaluate needs & players & ability to profile them correctly. My problem isn't with them hanging onto core players it's how they manage them & coach the younger ones
  15. IMO the only player who makes the most sense right now is Wallner because I agree with you that his trade value is close to his ceiling and that always makes the most sense. The other mentioned are at a low ebb of their trade value & I wouldn't trade any of them right now. Only possibility is if we can trade Kepler for front-line SP like Marquez (CO) or Montas (NYY) that'll bounce back. I'd never trade Kepler for a couple of poor players & or poor lotto tickets. June we can trade Kepler & Gallo, hopefully for something.
  16. Thanks Jeremy, I look forward to your articles because International signings is where we can find great value for future talent. The name that jumps out to me is Carlos Silva (C), with a name like that with that talent at a much needed position, he needs to be a Twin.
  17. Another good job, Nick. Also agree with Beast, Prielipp & SWR are very intriguing. They're someone we can place our hopes on. I imagine that's why Prielipp is as high as he is w/o pitching that much last year & no pro ball. Austin is on an uptrend and expect him to continue that trend. On the other hand Jeffers is on a downtrend. I was very disappointed when they traded Garver & Rortvedt over Jeffers. Because I always looked at Jeffers a back-up catcher & his trade value was much higher. After we traded Garver & Rortvedt & started to look around for a future starting catcher for the Twins. Very quickly I found an unicorn, Dalton Varsho. A very good hitting & agile young catching prospect at ARI that could play CF. I'd thought Varsho would go right to catcher with his premium bat & position where ARI could use one. But he played very little catcher but played OF on a OF rich team. ARI ended up trading away Varsho for a catcher to a catcher rich team where he'll predominately play CF. So why didn't ARI & TOR think that Varsho wouldn't stick at catcher? Only weakness I saw was that he didn't have the strong arm. You can teach a player other aspect of the position but you can't do much with a weak arm. Jeffers bat might come back a little but runners will run on him on demand especially with rules change. Jeffers would not make my top 20 list. I'd have picked up Narvaez & put Jeffers up for trade bait for front-line SP, maybe SS or get a future starting catcher prospect to place in our barren catching prospect list. Jeffers trade value has been falling & after this year he could be worthless on the market as well as to the team.
  18. We are together on this analysis, Doc. Because he dropped off because he was pushed, his trade value is very low. We couldn't get back what his worth & potential is to us. We absolutely need a true CF RH bat to spell Buxton, not an above average corner OF. Again I see Celestino take another good step.
  19. I believe Buxton will have shot this year, for MVP. Lewis will have an impact but will he get enough playing time to qualify for ROY? Even if Wallner has a decent hitting year, play enough with Gallo in the equation, his defense will keep him from coming close. Gray or Mahle has the best shot for CYA but I really doubt it.
  20. Doctor Gast

    Joey Gallo?

    I see the shift ban definitely will help Kepler but Gallo not so much, his problem is SOs. Pitchers have adjusted to hitters like Sano & Gallo, so I don't see much chance for them to return to any relevancy. But you throw out that Gallo could hit 40 HRs this FO goes crazy & lose any sense of reality, especially with the Levine contact. I wish Levine could use his contact with CO to land Marquez, a potential front line SP which we can use, not another corner OF/ 1B/ DH lefty bat. What really scares me that this FO will use Gallo at CF, where he doesn't belong to squeeze out Gordon who belongs there. Then put Gordon in the INF where doesn't belong, to prevent us from getting someone who can play there.
  21. Duran was our most pleasant surprise, So was Lewis he was great until his MLB CF debut. Miranda had a chance to redeem himself after Lewis got hurt, & did a bang up job. Jax did a fine job. Gordon was our most dependable OFer & has established himself very valuable to the Twins. The 1st part of the season especially late April. May & 1st week in June Celestino was with Buxton & Arraez as our best hitters plus a very good CFer, he had a big jump from last year. The last half he couldn't sustain it but I expect Celestino better sustain those offensive #s this coming season. Having Celestino back up Buxton with Gordon we absolutely don't need Gallo in CF. Gordon has established himself in the OF, keep him out of the INF.
  22. Very interesting indeed & I deem valuable. I am supposing that Maeda didn't make the list.
  23. Good job. Frankly I'm not in favor of doing any more trades with SD. So I'm not sure what they need.
  24. It'd take Kepler, Martin & Miller type trade. Or maybe Ober straight up. I wouldn't do it. He'd help, but not my 1st choice
  25. I'd like to include Martin that he'd continue his comeback & make it back into the Twins top 5 prospects.
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