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Brandon

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Everything posted by Brandon

  1. Brandon
    The Twins do lock up players like the Braves. The issue is having someone ready to lock up. and that reason has been injuries. Miranda and Arreaz look like great candidates to lock up beyond their FA date. Ryan and Duran are on the bubble. I would wait another year for them and do a shorter 3 or 4 year contract (to give the player some financial stability and avoid the arbitration process) with options to buy out a year or 2 of FA. There is more than 1 way to extend a player. Lee would be a good one to consider when he comes up. On a smaller budgetary note. I wouldn't be opposed to a Jax extension similar to the Dobnak extension. or one that is team friendly that buys out some arbitration years. I think he will be a super 2 next year. Jovani Moran is also a low budget extension candidate in my book more so after another season. I also think that Dobnak will be back. since he has the contract and no one will claim him he is the perfect depth piece to add/ subtract from the roster at will as long as he can pitch to a 4.00 or so era. In other words I don't think this contract will be so underwater at the end of it. He did seem to pitch better at AAA. Though I haven't checked his numbers either. Jeffers is an interesting case as well. He could possibly sign a team friendly deal because of injury risks as well. This would be a low cost extension probably to buy out arbitration years with options to cover a year or two of free agency.
  2. Brandon
    also the Twins had 8 fewer opportunities with runners in scoring position then the average team as well. We need more runners in scoring position too. (We should be striving to be well above average to be a winning team). 44,760/30 = 1492 PA per team average.
  3. Brandon
    I don’t see a problem going into the offseason of having Garlick on the roster as a floor. I also wouldn’t have an issue upgrading the OF and letting him go either. But due to cheapness and other needs This will be further down the priority list I think.
  4. Brandon
    I think the front office did a good job on the season. Where they messed up is in evaluating a pitchers third time through the order as being worse then our 7th and 8th relievers. THat was clearly not the case as Pagan blew so many games this year then the starters could possibly have blown had they went the extra inning or two. The Twins did have lots of depth to handle injuries this year. probably more than anyone else. The problem was the injuries didnt stop. I mean the Twins had the following as potential starters this year. Sano Jeffers Arreaz Polanco Correa Miranda Sanchez Urshala Kepler Buxton Celestino Killeroff Larnarch Gordon and an occaisional Garlick against LHP Thats 15 position players ready to go. I mean who has that much depth and it still not be enough. Yes there was a middle relief deficiency that cost us games and until injuries mounted and Archer wore out we were ok but not great. At least going into next season we have most of the position player depth and a good base for our rotation as well with several rookies ready to join the rotation.
  5. Brandon
    Go look at Rogers underlying numbers. He pitched great this year. he had the same thing that happened to Theilbar early in the season.
  6. Brandon
    I thought the front office did a good job this last offseason minus the Rogers trade. Clearly Cueto over Archer but that’s pushing it a little. Archer looked good at the beginning then ran out of gas. resign Correa. This one looks easy and should be done.
  7. Brandon
    I wonder if we could add a 7 year 210 million extension to current contract. He still would have opt outs. Maybe add a few more. And the total contract would be 10 years and 315 million.
  8. Brandon
    Ok non-tendered. Stashak is someone if healthy will get a lowball offer to return. Under 1 million and probably a split contract. 900k in majors ….
  9. Brandon
    I can see the Twins offering a lower cost contract to Pagan or get DFA’d. maybe a 1 year 2.5 - 3 million maybe compromise with some incentives. Garlick is currently the RH OF. He could stay or go. Smetltzer could stay or go. Megill could stay or go but I lean more towards stay. Why Urbana at this point? That’s all I got for now
  10. Brandon
    I don’t get the talk about starting a rebuild…. Most of the team has less than 3 years experience. They are still learning up here. We are in a rebuild. at least we have 8 or 9 starting pitching options going into next season with a few more on the way. Winder may have to try his luck in the pen to give his shoulder a better chance at staying in one piece. Killeroff injury is disheartening. I really wanted to see him become the hitter Jason Kubel was meant to be. I hope Buxton can play half seasons for the next 5 years at a good clip. He can be the worlds most expensive bench player the last season if his issues are now chronic. while I get the logic of the trade and didn’t hate it at the time as I do now but trading Rogers was a real bad idea. I mean real bad. I hope the front office learns from this one.
  11. Brandon
    Enlow and Balazovich and Henry (I forget his last name) are the next 3 starters. I am sure we can find 1 more.
  12. Brandon
    I think it’s an easy decision to keep him for next season. He won’t break the bank. Also he is not the injury issue on this team. I don’t think he went on the DL at all. Durability is a big concern at so many other positions, it’s nice we have someone not getting hurt on the team. Plus he can play other positions too. So I don’t see how this is even a question. with Sano, Correa, Bundy, Archer, and Sanchez going to free agency, we have around 50-55 million coming off the books. Rodon, Rogers, a SS and I suppose a backup C or resign Sanchez to a contract of some kind is ok depending on the price.
  13. Brandon
    1 month is a good start but we do need more consistency from him. With the way he’s hit so far major league pitchers won’t walk him as often if he can’t hit at all. Also with the amount of power he is flashing, he needs to be close to a .300 hitter to have value. Really a .350 OBP in the majors since he doesn’t have much extra base ability despite his speed.
  14. Brandon
    Baseball can’t say goodbye to Lew.
  15. Brandon
    They could reverse Maeda him. Have him piggyback off Maeda to start the season then around the all star break flip them and let Ober start and Maeda relieve. This helps manage both pitchers innings as they come back from lost seasons.
  16. Brandon
    The Twins graduated a lot of first year pitches this season and most of them were more successful at run prevention then you would reasonably expect a first year player to be. That is success in my book. Some prospects take several years in the majors before they succeed. If you are able to trade a prospect because another team values them for an asset you value that is a success as well. We do need better run prevention. We are what 10th in the league in ERA. no argument there. but the prospects in the minors overall are not failing. Do we have the ace we need ? no! but we do have lots of depth. I suspect several of these pitchers will take more steps forward next year. Our starting rotation is shaping up nicely for next season. Gray Ryan Mahle Winder Ober Maeda Paddack Varland Woods-Richardson possibly Bundy If we can sign Rodon if we loose Correa we will have a really good staff with lots of depth for next season. We also wouldn't have Bundy back in that instance. We should have enough talent to have a top 5-7 staff next season. That should be good enough if our offense performs. Bullpen we have Duran Lopez Thielbar Jax Moran Possibly Megill and Stashak Pagan (just kidding)
  17. Brandon
    If you look at the top 20 prospects list above you will see that only Balazovich and Canterino were the only 2 to have down years. Canterino to predictable injury. Cole Sands is on the cusp. and the other 17 prospects all succeeded or were traded for something more valuable. I was thinking of writing a blog post about this but i am too busy if someone wants to grade out the prospects from our top 20 prospect list from the beginning of this season.
  18. Brandon
    Louie Varland just got called back up. He has to prove he belongs. Every actual Twins fan is rooting for Arreaz to win the batting title from the evil Yankees.
  19. Brandon
    I would define this season as a fun offseason once the labor dispute was resolved and the good starting pitchers were gone, injuries, and incremental failures. No one big failure just a bunch of small one at in opportune times and failure to seize the moment.
  20. Brandon
    It will be interesting to see who wins the LF job next spring with Walner, Larnarch, and Killeroff in competiton. I still expect Kepler will be back. His trade value is likely down a little. I am sure he could be moved but why? maybe at the trade deadline if next year turns into a rebuilding year. I like positive articles like these. I like seeing 2 more starting pitching options ready for an opportunity. that makes Ober, Winder, Varland, and Woods-Richardson at this time who seem like developed starters ready for the rotation. So the development is working.... and maybe Balazovich will be back better than ever next year too. If Enlow can continue to move up and develop and Prielipp moves up as well and Balazovich is back on track we could have several starters developed..... I still want to see the Twins re-sign Correa but I can see why they wouldn't too. Just keep saying things that help Correa's market so Scott Boras wants to call us again the next time a super star doesn't get the contract they want..... especially an ace starter who over plays their hand..... and Lee and Lewis are a good reason not to worry so much about SS next year after the first month or so of the season.
  21. Brandon
    I think having him and Varland up make sense. Especially if Gray misses a start. Varland, Woods Richardson, Bundy, Ryan, and Ober or Winder to fill out the rotation for the rest of the year. maybe even make it a 6 man rotation.... I do think there is a lot of value in getting some time in the show. its even better when its not in a pressure packed environment like a race for the division title.
  22. Brandon
    Isn’t Twinsdaily gonna sponsor another pub crawl to help end the year on a high note?
  23. Brandon
    Of course with our luck we are guaranteed to get the 17th pick in the draft next year. I did read the top correctly in case you missed the sarcasm
  24. Brandon
    #metoo
  25. Brandon
    The Twins biggest mistake was trading Rogers. That alone probably cost us the division seeing how many losses and blown saves we have from Pagan. Injuries were the other derailment. We had great depth to cover some of the injuries. Sano by Arreaz. Killeroff by Larnarch then by Gordon, Miranda has come up and hit too. We were thin at C though with no real third string option, which shouldn't be the end of the world except so many other things going wrong it really ended up hurting the team more. on pitching we had a good run in the rotation. They are average not great. No one pitches many innings however. The bullpen was good for a while minus Pagan. Then they had a bad stretch but the real culprit though is the injuries way outnumbered our backup options. I actually think Falvine did a good job in setting the team up this year minus the Rogers trade which I was ok with at the time and missing out on all the starting pitchers as we should have signed a more solid starter. One who can pitch deeper into games so the pen can get a rest here and there. I would rather our 7th and 8th bullpen arms get in 40-50 games instead of 65-70 games. that means better pitchers are pitching more innings.
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