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dex8425

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Everything posted by dex8425

  1. dex8425
    Right. If Garver was hitting like Johnny Bench it would make it feel worse. But like all the Rangers hitters, he is struggling big-time.
  2. dex8425
    To be honest it's clear he put in some work this offseason. He didn't go back to the DR, stayed in Florida with a trainer, and got himself in great shape, and even had a solid spring. I expected he'd be good as it's a contract year, or at least make the buyout decision interesting. He may be ready to play by late July or August, but I hope the Twins don't consider bringing him back next year. Maybe he needs a change of scenery. Or to follow Cruz. Neither a boom or a bust, but closer to a boom. He was drafted as a teenager, made the majors, and was an all-star. 8 career WAR. Definitely better than a lot of top prospects. I mean, is Nick Gordon going to have 8 career WAR?
  3. dex8425
    Oof, Verlander, Urquidy, Bieber, McKenzie, Plesac? We might score 5 runs this week.
  4. dex8425
    Rosenthal's recent article in the Athletic said it's the lowest in 2022 as it has been since 2018. It's right around 1.1 percent. Last year it was slightly higher, 1.3 percent. It's up since the 1980's though.
  5. dex8425
    I've watched several Saints games and Twins ST games and even Ft. Myers miracle games to see Lewis in person. I'm not a baseball scout, but I've watched plenty of shortstops. I don't agree with the "he can't stick at SS" narrative. Lewis has far less shortcomings at SS than Polanco or Gordon. Arm strength, instincts, speed, it's all there. His hands aren't quite as good as Simmons or Correa but that's a pretty high bar to clear. Hopefully he proves the doubters wrong here with a few games as an MLB shortstop.
  6. dex8425
    Larnach and Kiriloff also need to play every day and Larnach is hitting and playing a capable LF. The only reason Royce would stay at SS for the Twins July-Aug-Sept is if the Twins are awful when Correa comes back so they sell at the deadline and trade Correa. Hopefully he goes back to St. Paul.
  7. dex8425
    Yikes, depth is certainly going to be tested already. I wouldn't have a problem with Smeltzer making a start but he's not on the 40 man so I'd prefer not to bump anyone else off. We will need Godoy later in the year.
  8. dex8425
    TBH, if he pitches himself out of the rotation, I'd rather just cut him. Who do you bump from the long relief role in the bullpen currently? I'd rather have Winder Archer Ober or Jax in that role. Then you have Sands also on the 40man, and Smeltzer pitching really well at AAA.
  9. dex8425
    Gio is a way better third baseman defensively than Arraez or Miranda, so unless he stops hitting, Gio will be playing third and Arraez or Miranda will play first.
  10. dex8425
    Isn't Archer's contract innings and incentive-laden too? He might be upset if the Twins appear to be financially motivated and move him to the pen. That said, I'd be surprised if Archer starts any postseason games since you really only use 3 starters. I assume that will be Ryan, Gray, and whoever is pitching better/healthy between Paddack and Bundy. I don't think Archer is going to throw more than 100 innings this year.
  11. dex8425
    It was defensible. When the guy on deck is hitting .350 and even better against righties, you don't intentionally walk the bases full to face that guy. Buxton had already struck out three times. Granted, it was a terrible 3-1 pitch. Hendricks didn't have control all night. Seemed like he was landing funny.
  12. dex8425
    Arraez is batting .350. He's is at least as good as we expected, probably better. Although his defense is so bad it's hard to play him in the field anywhere. Urshela and Sanchez have also been about what I expected. If urshela OPS' .700 while playing great defense at third that's a very valuable player.
  13. dex8425
    It was the longest walkoff HR in the statcast era. (since 2015)
  14. dex8425
    That's why you look at park adjusted stats like OPS+ when comparing players from different teams. Especially Red Sox and Rockies players (hitters parks) but also Oakland players (pitchers park). Sano was quite a bit less valuable than Cron last year (131 OPS+ to 113 OPS+) even not considering Sano's awful defense.
  15. dex8425
    Well Cron's OPS+ in 2021 was 131, which is park adjusted. Sano was good for 113 OPS+ last year. So...Sano's numbers would be worse than CJ Cron...?
  16. dex8425
    That would be ideal.
  17. dex8425
    This is Sano's last year as a Twin. I think he has a 14 million team option next year or a 750k buyout? Right now that decision is easy. I'm rooting for him to suddenly become 2017 Sano again but that seems more unlikely than Larnach continuing to hit. Larnach and Kirilloff will get plenty of chances-look at Brent Rooker. All first round picks.
  18. dex8425
    Easy. Kirilloff plays first base. Larnach plays left. Sano should not be playing every day right now.
  19. dex8425
    Sano himself was actually talking about his hitting approach this spring, during a ST radio broadcast. He says he was talking to Nelson cruz every day and trying to think right-right center and keep his hands farther forward to create a shorter swing. Clearly his adjustments worked in ST and haven't been working so far in games that count. Sano knows what to do, and so do his coaches, but hitting is pretty hard.
  20. dex8425
    Graterol has only thrown 67 innings his entire MLB career (including the innings with the Twins). Maeda threw that many in 2020 alone. Graterol wasn't very good last year either.
  21. dex8425
    If we have Graterol, do the Twins make the playoffs in 2020? We certainly don't win the division then. Maeda was the second best pitcher in the AL in 2020 and that was only because Bieber was incredible. Pressly hurts, because although Celestino and Alcala are both MLB pieces, I think we gave up 1.5 seasons of control of Pressly. Jury is still out on that one.
  22. dex8425
    I hear what you're saying, but if Paddack had pitched well last year then he would've cost the Twins Lewis, Balazovic, and Rogers. He would then be Frankie Montas, basically. EDIT: and I would not hope the Twins would trade Rogers, Balazovic and Lewis for Montas.
  23. dex8425
    2006- 10.1 2008-9.8 2009- 11.3 2010-10.6
  24. dex8425
    If this list included pitchers, Johan and Mauer combined for 13.4 WAR in 2006.
  25. dex8425
    I'm going to be optimistic and think that Buxton's sense of security after signing the extension somehow keeps him healthy. Twins MVP Byron Buxton Twins Top Pitcher Sonny Grey Twins Most Improved Max Kepler Twins Top Rookie Joe Ryan Gold Glove Winners Correa, Buxton Silver Slugger Winners None Twins Record 85-77 (2nd place)
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