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dex8425

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Everything posted by dex8425

  1. dex8425
    Wow, these responses are harsh. Cleveland Browns and NFL fans sure seem to be welcoming to 30 sexual assault lawsuits Deshaun Watson. Not that I personally would want Deshaun Watson on the vikings either but there's a double standard from what I see.
  2. dex8425
    What playoff team traded him away when he was their #1 pitcher? The Guardians had Bieber and Clevinger in 2019, both of whom were better. They also had Kluber in 2019, a 2 time cy young award winner. The Guardians also traded Lindor, and Clevinger so I guess by that logic teammates didn't like them either?
  3. dex8425
    Well, except for the people that weren't born into wealth and actually worked hard to make themselves wealthy. Your narrative creates a sense of entitlement and people looking for handouts. There's no "pick yourself up by the bootstraps" mentality anymore.
  4. dex8425
    Kepler vs Gallo is arguable. Kepler has the higher floor, Gallo has the higher ceiling. Personally I'd think Kepler has more value, but 11 million dollars says Gallo has value too.
  5. dex8425
    Cleveland has also been very successful in winning games over the past decade. Since 2010, Cleveland has the 7th most wins in MLB. Twins are 21st out of 30, behind the White Sox, Phillies and Mariners and just ahead of the Reds.
  6. dex8425
    Dang, he was really good in 2021. Posey and Gausman were solid too but you're right he was the best player on the team that year.
  7. dex8425
    65 million short is not really a "competitive offer."
  8. dex8425
    Josh Donaldson for Gio Urshela was a steal for the Twins. Unloaded that contract and got better production.
  9. dex8425
    The Royals went to TWO world series in the last decade and won one. Nobody even thinks about the Twins other than Minnesotans. "Does Joe Mauer still play there?" So yeah, Pirates, Reds, Rockies, Mariners are similar.
  10. dex8425
    It's bad if you have to give up one of your best bats. Lopez is definitely solid, but I thought the same thing about Mahle. I'd rather sign Greinke or Chris Bassitt, although Bassitt reportedly wants a 4 year deal, which would be dumb.
  11. dex8425
    No. Uhhh...Greinke? He was more valuable than any of the Twins starters last year. Sadly. Eovaldi? I'm meh on Lopez. He's not a clear upgrade to the rotation to me other than depth. He's another #2-3 starter and we have three of those already.
  12. dex8425
    baseball trade values says Twins give up 32.7 million in value and get 38million in value. That's not as far off as I thought it'd be. Throw in David Festa and it's a deal. I'd do that in a heartbeat.
  13. dex8425
    It depends who the catcher is. Usually the catcher is getting the calls from the pitching coach. Yadier Molina makes his own calls but most catchers don't.
  14. dex8425
    Yep, me too. If Twins don't sign Correa I don't really want Bogaerts. He's not a good defender. Just play Farmer until Lewis is ready to come back up.
  15. dex8425
    Baserunning runs are part of the computation, so steals and taking an extra base are definitely considered. Defense is also part of WAR (fielding runs). Home runs are not weighted heavily-getting on base is though. Reaching on errors is included in the on base calculation. The calculation also considers strikeouts as different than other outs. So your hypothetical player B is better suited to have a higher WAR than a three true outcome first baseman, and that definitely shows in the calculations. If you're a first baseman, you better hit--a lot--to be valuable. That's also what teams pay for.
  16. dex8425
    I'd include Jake Cave in that "heart" category as well...but nobody is going to argue he should be an every day MLB player.
  17. dex8425
    So what one stat do you prefer for relief pitchers that's more revealing to a pitcher's overall performance? Saves? ERA? FIP?
  18. dex8425
    There is. That's why Andrelton Simmons, despite being an average to poor hitter his whole career, has an outside shot at being in the HOF some day. Positional adjustment for this year per 1350 innings played: C: +9 runs SS: +7 runs 2B: +3 runs CF: +2.5 runs 3B: +2 runs RF: -7 runs LF: -7 runs 1B: -9.5 runs DH: -15 runs
  19. dex8425
    Agreed. Defensive metrics are really difficult to trust, and you can't really just only use one system to evaluate total player worth, but that's what Fwar and Bwar do. So players are always going to argue whatever supports their case, just like it was before. I don't see why this change really helps either side. I guess it provides some clarity, maybe? For relievers, WPA is way more important than Fwar or Bwar.
  20. dex8425
    The Dodgers would need to beat the Twins offer because of CA income tax. Big reason why Seager signed with Texas instead of LAD. I still agree with you that Turner re-signs with LAD, and if he doesn't, the Twins will be outbid by some other team not named the dodgers. Because the Cubs stink, they'd have to beat the Twins offer by quite a bit. Perhaps Atlanta, maybe the Orioles? Cardinals?
  21. dex8425
    Yeah, I think it's close but I think he will get a 300 million plus offer from at least one team. It might be a lower AAV though, so it's possible Correa takes a frontloaded contract with player opt outs?
  22. dex8425
    Imagine what the Twins winning percentage would have been if Correa got hurt and Gordon or Palacios was playing shortstop every day. Or Polanco. Would've been ugly. The Dodgers were deeper this year, but didn't have vintage Jansen-led bullpen, or 3 top starters. They started Gonsolin who wasn't stretched out. If Buehler was healthy I think it makes the series different? Idk.
  23. dex8425
    The problem with that route is two-fold as I see it. 1. There aren't many/any pitchers available at the caliber of Rodon, Verlander, DeGrom, etc on the trade market. If the Brewers sell, maybe Woodruff? 2. The necessity of giving up multiple top prospects who will soon be cheap, cost-controlled contributors at the MLB level in order to trade for even a #2-3 pitcher. Just think about what the Twins would have to give up to get, say Sandy Alcantara. Would you give up Lewis, Brooks Lee, Miranda, Larnach, Bailey Ober and Austin Martin/Jorge Polanco for Alcantara? I don't even think the Marlins would do that. I'd rather sign Correa and Rodon. They just cost money. If Lewis and Lee turn out to be stars, great. You can trade them to fill other needs if you can't find them MLB at bats.
  24. dex8425
    Well the Padres (a mid-market team, certainly not a big market team) signed Tatis and Machado to huge long-term deals. Machado's deal has turned out pretty well so far. And look, the Padres are in the NLCS.
  25. dex8425
    Really excited to watch more of Varland and SMW at Target Field in 2023. Congrats to Louie. You are making Minnesotans proud.
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