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weitz41

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Everything posted by weitz41

  1. hmm.. You can't win the lottery if you don't buy a ticket...
  2. The article on BTR made it sound like Burnes has zero interest in a Glasnow type of trade/extension. There's a draft pick to be had if you QO him and he signs elsewhere. But would that recoup enough to make it worthwhile for a rental? IDK
  3. I would love to have Garver back in a DH/3rd catcher type of spot, but we have this CFer and 2nd baseman that may end up in the DH spot. Tough call but I think I'd be forced to pass.
  4. I'd be thrilled with any of the three starters mentioned. I like BTV for ideas on trades, but I feel they are a bit off on their values on starting pitchers. My point is I think the three trades proposed are likely quite a bit on the light side. I don't see parting with Lee or Julien as a good way to fix the pitching depth or bringing in a #2 pitcher. Polanco alone won't get that either. Adding Raya or Festa would affect late 2024 and 2025. Trading Kepler would seem to lead to a lot of crossed fingers in the OF. Unfortunately, spending to fix the issue seems to out of the question. Frustrating offseason for this Twins fan...
  5. I know I shouldn't be bothered by this contract... But it bothers me in a haves and have nots type of way...The distance between them grew substantially today. Listening to MLB network trying to justify the contract says a lot about the same point. More power to the players but man-o-man... Here the Twins are cutting payroll because of the lost revenue of the TV contract that is worth far less than Ohtani's AAV for the next ten years. I know, I know, it shouldn't bother me...but it does...
  6. I'm happy for Gray and Meada. Both earned their new contracts. Sure, I'd hoped one of them would have come back for 2024. Both these trades worked out well. Now add in a comp A pick and even better. It should make for a quality draft having 4 picks in the top 80? I'd make a case for trading for someone like Glasnow to do the same next offseason with the comp pick. But I think the budget may make that a non-starter.
  7. I'd rank them in the same order as you did. If I had to choose one of them to get a young stud pitcher, Logan Gilbert or Jesus Lazardo types. Not Shane Bieber types. I'd say Brooks Lee is the likeliest to be traded and that's not very likely.
  8. Same here. At least one of the two pitchers you mentioned. Payroll should expand once a new TV deal is worked out for the more expensive years of a deal like that.
  9. I noticed this this mornings and thought maybe there's a couple of players that may fill a need on the Twins roster. 36/40 man roster filled. Intriguing free agents after the tender deadline (mlb.com) Nick Senzel in CF wouldn't be the worst fit. He's also a pretty good bat against lefties. Juan Yepez as a RH 1B/OF option? This one a question even mentioning. Was pretty good in 2022...Minor league signing?
  10. I noticed Vasquez as well when I 1st saw that on MLB trade rumors. I get the 10 mil for 65 OPS+ on the surface is a big overpay. Yes, Jeffers was by far the most valuable catcher of the two. Can we predict health? Regression? What's the value of Vasquez defense and game calling? In theory we had/have one of the better catching combos in the majors. COMBOS.. Sure, Rushman or Realmuto are better but one hamstring strain and do you want Vasquez or McCann behind the plate? 12.3 mil in salary for the pair in 2024 or 23.8 mil for Realmuto with a hamstring strain? Polanco makes sense to move, even if I'd prefer, they didn't. Kepler I'm not convinced the next man up is going to be close to Kepler last season. Also not convinced he will repeat it in 2024. I expect one or both to be traded before spring training. This is a useful site when thinking about payroll. Minnesota Twins 2024 Salaries & Payroll Table | Spotrac
  11. With I believe the norm of hoping for one position player per season for debut and stay on the roster, there is a lot to be excited about on the position side. Of course, some of the top 10 may not make it to the bigs. The pitching side could use a few surprise players. Like Varland. Maybe Canterino and Prielipp get past the injuries and become what we had hoped they would be. If a few pitchers take a big step forward the Twins could be in for a long run of strong teams.
  12. Yunior is a tough one to have a strong opinion on for me. He hit righties and lefties at an almost identical rate in 2023. Give me 25-30 HRs, league average defense at 1B, 25-28% K rate and the Twins are in great shape. Move Kirilloff to LF Walner to RF. Lewis at 3B, Julien at 2nd and Jeffer behind the plate. With hopefully Jenkins, Lee and E Rod all needing a place to place in the bigs. That's (in a dream world) a pretty solid team for 5-7 years. BUT then the 36.6% K rate says HI! and you think about Gallo or Sano and get a little chill...Maybe another spring in St Paul with clear it up?
  13. I get it. Hoping for something exciting...But let's be realistic. A 1B for the beginning of the season and a platoon player after that. That's not a 15 mil a year player like Hoskins. If DH wasn't a mess with who knows from Buxton, sure OK that works. A RH 1B/Of guy whoever that may be is what I expect. Maybe a trade? But Hospins..I wish..
  14. To start off I traded (against my better judgement) Polanco, Kepler and Farmer. Mostly due to payroll restrictions. No, I didn't add anyone to the 40-man roster from those trades. I cut payroll to 140 mil or about 10% reduction. I want to use the Ober plan for Varland, so he'll be #1 starter in SP until needed. Larnach will join him there. I used MLB Trade Rumors free agent predictor for approximate salaries. I added Lourdes Gurriel Jr on a 4-year 54 mil deal. He has played some 1st and 2nd base when he was with the Blue Jays. J.D. Martinez and Clevenger are on 2-year deals. I'd like to add a BP arm or two to push Sand and Moran to Saint Paul, but funds are too limited. Castro and Gordon can handle CF if needed, Gurriel and JD can platoon with Kirilloff at 1st along with Miranda. Martin and Keirsey are at AAA for depth. This should be a better offensive team but less so on the pitching side. Strike gold with a minor league arm or two and maybe just as good on the pitching side C: Christian Vazquez ($10.00M) 1B: Alex Kirilloff ($1.70M) 2B: Edouard Julien ($.77M) 3B: Royce Lewis ($0.77M) SS: Carlos Correa ($33.33M) LF: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($13.5M) CF: Byron Buxton ($15.00M) RF: Matt Wallner ($0.77M) DH: J.D. Martinez ($20.0M) 4th OF: Willi Castro ($3.20M) Utility: Jose Miranda ($.77M) Utility: Nick Gordon ($1.0M) Backup C: Ryan Jeffers ($2.30M) SP1: Pablo Lopez ($8.25M) SP2: Joe Ryan ($0.77M) SP3: Bailey Ober ($0.77M) SP4: Chris Paddack ($2.53M) SP5: Mike Clevinger ($13.0M) RP: Jhoan Duran ($0.77M) RP: Brock Stewart ($0.77M) RP: Griffin Jax ($0.77M) RP: Jorge Alcala ($1.00M) RP: Caleb Thielbar ($3.00M) RP: Cole Sands ($0.77M) RP: Jovani Moran ($0.77M) RP: Kody Funderburk ($0.77M) Payroll is 1.50% over budget
  15. This was extremely disappointing news...I think I heard the price is right's Ween Went Wah Weah...After I read that...There's a team here with a shot at a deep playoff run with a few quality reinforcement's...Winning the division should not be the ONLY goal...
  16. I really like this one. Not to pull on the loose threads but Hoskins for 8 mil seems really light. One year deal? Also, I think Glasow's actual salary is 25 mil for 2024. He signed last offseason a 2-year deal that is backloaded. Still really like this team.
  17. I hadn't thought of Ryu. Isn't he kind of a left-handed Maeda? Depending on the plan for Varland one of both would fit on shorter deals. Not blow your socks off moves but probably better than say a Flaherty signing, or a dice roll like Montas.
  18. Picking up these options was a no brainer. The last two seasons have proven how vital depth is. Trading one or both before August 1st deadline doesn't feel like a no brainer to me. To many what ifs, injuries or regression by young players to be in a hurry to trade either. I'd sell high on Castro before I'd part with either of Polanco or Kepler. Then there's players like Gordon, Miranda and Larnach who the jury is still out on.
  19. I respect Seths opinion, but this feels like a minor decision to me. Camargo to the 40-man roster. The rest are nice minor league depth signings, They're common throughout the league. It's not fun to say, but the rest are one of the twenty+ or more similar players. Twins draft pick or not.
  20. Nonsense. Not every outing is going to be outstanding. Relax enjoy how lucky we are to be able to root for our team and Joe Ryan at the same time. Did I miss something? Did we win the division and a playoff series? I get the who, what, where, when and why part of it but jeez. Let's TRY and look to better things in the future. Single game tickets, Beers and hot dogs still need to be purchased.
  21. Martin is the one that I think has a real chance to be the 4th OFer to start 2024. Lee does not need to be rushed and shouldn't be. Severino..man I'd like to have that RH power bat on the team but I'm afraid he'll have Gallo like k rate. If Lee or Severino dominate AAA in 2024 I'd bring them up when injuries allow and go from there.
  22. Gave me a good laugh. I'm somewhere between AAA champ and hopeless optimist. I tend to like aggressive trade deadlines, but we have to WIN every trade...You know like that future hall of farmer for this Olive Garden gift certificate.
  23. I could see it making sense. I'm on the fence about it though. Assuming good health, a TV contract being worked out and picking up Kepler and Polanco's options there's 33.5 mil in payroll less than 2023. With Solano, Taylor and Gallo's spots being filled by players already on or soon be on the 40-man roster. Alot less risk in a 1 year 20.5 mil contract then a 3+ year with someone else. I'm also not convinced they will push hard to resign Gray, so I think a QO to Maeda isn't out of the realm of possibilities or a silly idea.
  24. Despite the Gallo season. Both Sano and Odrorizzi would make a lot of sense. Minor league deals with July 1st opt outs, sure sign me up. Depth is depth. They both have been way better then they're last run in MLB. Aloy can go right and very little can go wrong on Mlib contracts..
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