bean5302
Old-Timey Member-
Posts
7,569 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
36
Content Type
Profiles
News
Minnesota Twins Videos
2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking
2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks
Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
Guides & Resources
2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks
The Minnesota Twins Players Project
2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks
2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker
2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses
Forums
Blogs
Events
Store
Downloads
Gallery
Everything posted by bean5302
-
Whomever wrote this seems woefully unqualified to have their opinions quoted on this site. The chances a team advances in the playoffs is heavily influenced by their top 3 rotation arms. I've done this analysis before. I think only the 2015 Royals have won a World Series in the past 15-20 years without 3 bona fide playoff caliber starters in the rotation. Every team that makes the playoffs can score runs. There are no bad lineups. The Padres were the worst team in the playoffs last year in terms of run production, and they ranked 18th in MLB, being the ONLY team not in the top 1/2 of run scorers. 8 of the top 10 scoring teams made the playoffs. That means, like almost always, it's about pitching. Pitching wins playoffs. Your top 3 starters determine your fate. It's why the Twins kept making the playoffs year after year after year and getting swept right back out. For a professional sports record setting drought. The Twins did not have an ace. They did not have a #2. They had a collection of #3s, and the Twins often had better back end rotation options than other teams. Great for making the playoffs. Not great when you never face an opposing team's back end rotation arms because of short rest starts, series breaks providing extra rest, and meticulous lineup planning. When an ace matches up against a #3 in the playoffs, it is a massive disadvantage for the team putting a #3 on the mound. Massive.
-
Why not just promote Culpepper? Volpe's ceiling looks like serviceable SS, but he's probably best written off as depth.
-
Do the Twins make Self-fulfilling Prospect Outcomes?
bean5302 replied to Trov's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
They knew there was a high degree of likelihood those players did not have the skill set necessary to be successful at the MLB level. Raw Talent Polish Both need to be graded highly to be successful at the MLB level. Polishing mediocre talent though experience is often enough to be successful all the way through AA, and sometimes fringe talent with polish becomes the proverbial AAAA player. -
Would the Twins Be Better Off Trading Royce Lewis?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
SS not hitting is different than 1B not hitting, but maybe you disagree. -
Would the Twins Be Better Off Trading Royce Lewis?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
The positional move from SS to 3B to 1B. It's $16MM of value for a full season. The "nobody plays nowhere" positional philosophy of this front office kills player value. -
I think you mean Tom, not Joe. From Tom's statements, he doesn't believe this team is capable of winning a World Series, and winning a World Series is the goal. from July 10th article https://www.mlb.com/news/tom-pohlad-discusses-2026-trade-deadline-twins-payroll or the Athletic's coverage https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7436928/2026/07/10/minnesota-twins-tom-pohlad/
- 59 replies
-
- joe ryan
- ryan jeffers
- (and 5 more)
-
and the year after and after that and then again in 2030. Nothing like aiming hard for mediocre to satisfy this fan base. If I was Tom Pohlad and Zoll stood pat at the deadline, I'd order security to delete his access and fire his *** at 6AM the next morning I woke up.
- 59 replies
-
- joe ryan
- ryan jeffers
- (and 5 more)
-
Would the Twins Be Better Off Trading Royce Lewis?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I think Royce Lewis could be better off with another organization who values his skills and athleticism. I think Twins, under this front office, would likely be better off, too. This front office doesn't seem to have a place for Lewis, and wasting his skills and athleticism at 1B is a joke. Trading Lewis has minimal value for the Twins as they've absolutely erased Lewis' value through systematic stupidity, but the move certainly could look like one of the worst moves in this organization's history by the end of next year. -
For real. International League teams might want to just swap their pitching staffs with their AA affiliates. AAA International League is an embarrassment to MiLB right now.
- 27 replies
-
- minor league report
- jhomnardo reyes
- (and 6 more)
-
I think Lewis will continue to make adjustments to improve his results and improve his swing path. Either you can be critical of his low batting average or you can criticize swing adjustments to attempt to produce more line drives which will increase his batting average. Lewis' body is changing. He's healthy, his leg strength is returning. His speed is returning. This will allow him to make approach and swing changes that can take advantage of it. Since re-joining the team, he's been an above average hitter at the plate, and there's reason to believe there's more in the tank.
- 59 replies
-
- trade deadline
- gleyber torres
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
Marek Houston now over 100 PA at AA and he's looking legit in terms of production at the plate, though that BABIP is going to be hard to sustain with a low line drive rate. Of course, batted ball data is pretty iffy below AAA. I really like what he's done this year. Sands topped out at 94.2mph, primarily sitting in the 93s. Doesn't seem like the velo is coming back at the moment, but he pitched on one day of rest. If he feels good, his rehab is honestly over, and while rusty, that's not an MLBPA approved reason to keep him on the IL. I'd expect to see him back on the Twins as soon as this weekend's series against the Athletics.
- 27 replies
-
- minor league report
- jhomnardo reyes
- (and 6 more)
-
Twins Daily's Top-20 Prospects Gets a Post-Draft Shakeup
bean5302 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Keith Law favors ceiling in his rankings. Emma has a ton of ceiling and he's shown it with crazy exit velocities and athleticism. The likelihood Rodriguez washes out feels very high to me as well. In any case, I'm not sure what value there is keeping him in AAA. Either he's got it or he doesn't. Someday, when he returns from thumb injury # 865, perhaps he'll get some MLB plate appearances.- 66 replies
-
- vahn lackey
- carson tinney
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
I don't see any middling upgrade being a good target. Taylor Ward is the best of the 3, but this is just another problem with nobody on the team having a set position. What position do the Twins actually need help, other than SS?
- 59 replies
-
- trade deadline
- gleyber torres
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
Twins Daily's Top-20 Prospects Gets a Post-Draft Shakeup
bean5302 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Most of the ranking falls within reason to me. Except Emma (who I wouldn't have in the top 10). Gabriel Gonzalez is probably not a top 20 prospect and Young is a non-prospect (not top 40), IMHO.- 66 replies
-
- vahn lackey
- carson tinney
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Is Zebby Matthews's Future in the Rotation?
bean5302 replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Zebby seems to profile very similarly to Louie Varland, IMHO. His overall profile seems to suggest a bullpen conversion is in his best interest. Adding a little velo gives hitters less time to identify mistakes and can open the door to dropping his worst pitches or developing a plus pitch to use as a weapon. Doesn't miss enough bats as a starter Works in the zone too much because of a mediocre chase rate Too much hard contact Largely below average stuff across the board No plus pitches Mediocre command I'd disagree with the original article's assertion that Zebby was ever considered a master of command. I recall scouting reports saying he was more control than command. -
Lee will be out of baseball in a couple years. It's nice that he's having his very own Danny Santana one year breakthrough, but eventually, the regression will happen. The Twins certainly need all the help they can get so I'm glad Brooks is rolling a lot of doubles, but only a couple times in a row, and avoiding all the hotels on Boardwalk.
- 72 replies
-
- game recap
- andrew morris
-
(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
-
Why is Luke Keaschall Playing So Damn Deep?
bean5302 replied to Cody Schoenmann's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Keaschall has always been scouted as a "DH" with no defensive home as far as I recall. The Twins decided defense doesn't matter. But, as a TD Hype Machine favorite, Keaschall is beyond reproach. -
Age is not nearly as relevant as years of experience in the minors at this point. This is Jenkins' 4th year in professional baseball. If he doesn't make it to the Twins this year, he'll officially be "slow" to get to MLB despite being the #5 overall pick. That's as pedestrian as his performance vs. other players in his league in the minors. Also, I'm not nearly as concerned with how old Walker Jenkins is vs. how will he perform as a professional baseball player in the future. Right now, today, if he were promoted to MLB, it's reasonable to expect Jenkins to perform similarly to how Austin Martin has over this year.
- 74 replies
-
- walker jenkins
- austin martin
- (and 6 more)
-
Would Tom Pohlad Really Trade Joe Ryan?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Given the current CBA/history, and given Joe Ryan will hit free agency for his age 32+ seasons, I can't see any team going to 6 on him. I think 5 is probably a stretch. Snell only got 5 at age 32 after winning 2 Cy Youngs. That Snell contract has aged... very poorly so far. -
Would Tom Pohlad Really Trade Joe Ryan?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
I would bet Ryan is in line for a Berrios-light contract due to his age. Shorter terms, similar AAV. Like 4-5 years $80-100MM. -
Would Tom Pohlad Really Trade Joe Ryan?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
1st half vs. 2nd half Joe Ryan ERA 2022 - 2.99 vs 4.14 2023 - 3.70 vs 6.09 2024 - 3.53 vs 3.98 (only 4 starts) 2025 - 2.72 vs 4.67 2026 - 2.85 vs 18.00 Signing Ryan based on his mid season form is nutso, IMHO. Ryan has never had a good 2nd half in his career. -
Would Tom Pohlad Really Trade Joe Ryan?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Yeah, 7 $210MM for a guy who is a 3 WAR starter still under team control and hitting 30 is absolute insanity. I haven't seen that, though? -
Would Tom Pohlad Really Trade Joe Ryan?
bean5302 replied to Sam Caulder's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Oh, I think Zoll seems incompetent. That said, Tom is not qualified to make roster decisions and I don't want him making roster decisions because the track record on owners calling the shots is disastrous. I want the people who are supposed to do their jobs to do their jobs and be held accountable or rewarded. i.e. I don't want Tom Pohlad pitching out of a the bullpen because bullpen arms are bad, either.

