bean5302
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Everything posted by bean5302
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3 Must-Watch Twins Pitchers in Spring Training
bean5302 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Prielipp had a failed TJ surgery 5 years ago which needed to be re-done. Prielipp doesn't have any injury problems.- 29 replies
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- marco raya
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Great non-guaranteed signing. Not sure how many modern day Mariano Rivera's fans in here think are on the market right now, but it's zero, just for the record. This is the RP free agent market right now. Several are better than Chris Paddack, who just signed for 5x the league minimum despite deserving a MiLB contract, just in case anybody was checking. Hendriks needs to get some control back and an uptick for velocity. I doubt he'll be able to do it, but he's not under guaranteed contract. The upside is pretty huge, downside is negligable
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I'm sure Tampa Bay's coaches were trying to encourage Taj to improve his prep, and it goes to my concern he was just arrogant and uncoachable like I suspect SWR was. Seems like the trade might have been the move that hit home for Bradley to recognize his career was trending towards ending sooner than later, just like SWR having no options and coming into 2024 as a rotation long-shot was a wake up call for SWR his career was coming to a end soon. It's actually highly concerning for attitudes like that in the long run. Players who have to be motivated by outside forces can sometimes work hard for a year or two, get the big guaranteed payday and then coast again.
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Yeah, last year's 4.37 xFIP isn't good at all, but it's "passable" for a pre-arb player on team like the Twins as a #5. That said, Bradley's previous 2 seasons of xFIP were 3.62 (better than any significant starter on the Twins last year) and 3.83 (as good or better than any significant starting pitcher not named Joe Ryan last year) The far higher xFIP in 2025 is obviously related to Bradley's struggles with location. His K rate absolutely cratered and his BB rate increased substantially. Bradley needs to throw strikes, but without the strikes being meatballs.
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Grading the Minnesota Twins' 2025-2026 Offseason
bean5302 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Grade = F Standard operating procedure for Falvey run front offices. Bullpen? Not addressed. SS? Not addressed. DH? Not addressed. Bunch of depth signings we don't need? Addressed.- 66 replies
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- josh bell
- taylor rogers
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SWR was uncoachable until his last opportunity weeks before his career washed out in 2024 when he went to Twins coaches and asked for help. I don't know about his analytics knowledge. Your claim seems quite sensational, as if you're close personal friends with these players. In any case, if SWR can teach Bradley anything, it's to accept coaching. The Twins didn't make Ryan's fastball effective. It was his only good pitch when we traded for him. The added velocity came from adding even more extension, which was designed to improve his other pitches' performance. Tampa was in contention. They were 1.5 GB from the Wild Card. Yes, there's reason to be concerned Taj Bradley will be a Brandon Pfaadt. Very good stuff, but it just doesn't seem to convert to the scoreboard. The fact Bradley continues to throw so many meatballs and locate his stuff in the middle of the zone to get crushed is concerning. Tampa developed Joe Ryan, who didn't have exceptional "ride" on his fastball, it's performance was just attributed to being deceptive on his release point and arm angle. Aside from that, Tampa has a long history of developing high performing arms. I don't know why Tampa's front office was throwing in the towel on Bradley. Maybe he was uncoachable like SWR was for the Twins until his time ran out?
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Per MLBTR, looks like Verlander is headed back to Detroit. He was very good towards the end of the season so there's reason for Detroit to be optimistic about his value. At just $13MM, seems like a steal to me. Maybe he took a discount to make a trip back to where it all started for him. Tigers probably just got better, and I feel they were already favorites for the division. https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/02/tigers-sign-justin-verlander.html
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If it's anything like previous seasons, that's not true. The team would be about 60-40 at the deadline so Falvey/Zoll could pretend it was a playoff team before they could utterly collapse in the 2nd half as the front office does nothing. 19-43 as the worst team in baseball rolls out busted up players desperately needing IL time and big gaps in the roster they pretend doesn't exist. I mean, the Twins do 79-83 with STYLE! LOL
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Let me put it a more direct way. Paddack is a terrible pitcher, and not just when he's starting. The 5.35 ERA across all of last year didn't get better out of the 'pen. The guy owns a 5.23 ERA and a 4.70 FIP over the past 3 years combined. The illusion of his 5.0 IP as a reliever performance in 2023 seems to be the sample size you must be considering relevant? Paddack can't strike anybody out, he doesn't generate ground balls, he gets hit hard in general and he's homer prone. He sucks, and it's shocking to me Miami signed him to an MLB contract because he sure as heck wasn't going to get signed by anybody else.
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Tom Pohlad is Saying a Lot, and None of It Lines Up
bean5302 replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Here's what I make of the comments. Tom wants to improve attendance and he thinks the team being competitive will do that (as a prior season ticket holder, I will say it will not). The only thing which will make a difference in attendance is leading the division decisively throughout the entire year, IMHO, and the Twins are serious underdogs vs. the Tigers at this point. One of my biggest problems with the Pohlads is they cater to the wrong markets because they arrogantly think they understand the fan base despite having every metric and indicator they do not. Want to put butts in the seats? Good giveaways, and enough of them so everybody has a chance to get one. Focus on fan experience INSIDE the ball park. The surveys the Twins have sent out always focus on the parking/transit, safety around the park, entry into the game. Never on the quality of the experience DURING THE GAME. Focus on increasing the desirability of attending Twins games for people who do have disposable income now or in the near future. Stop concentrating on making 4yr olds happy. Great, glad you feel good about yourself, but 4yr olds have zero dollars today and zero dollars for another 15 years, and by the time 10 years has passed, baseball is considered lame, replaced by cool sports. Basically, make games fun to attend for the people paying to go there... That said, the disconnect between the Tom's comments about the team being competitive vs. the same 'ol, same 'ol dumpster dive AAAA depth mountain team Falvey always builds are more in context by the firing of Falvey. -
Yeah, I do not get Larnach + Bell on the roster at all. Maybe Zoll will shake things up, but I would have expected that to have already happened. Zoll = Falvey, Jr. I expect.
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- alan roden
- kendry rojas
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The Twins’ New Navy Alternate Is Here. It’s... Fine.
bean5302 replied to Giles Ferrell's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Nobody likes them. I don't understand how Joe Pohlad could not have foreseen the problem. Minnesota is the "North Star State" but the North Star is the primary source of night time navigation for... mariners. That's what the cap looks like to me. Mariners. -
Brooks Lee has always been viewed a non-viable shortstop at the MLB level. It was widely expected Lee would have to move to 2B due to lack of arm strength and poor range even at the time of draft. From the day he was drafted until now, the Twins are probably the only organization in baseball who would entertain playing him at SS. As far as his speed/range, when Lee came up, he was the same speed as he is now, and he's always had a stout lower body. I don't know as Lee is beefing up or staying the same, TBH. Those funky stats you're seeing are probably going to continue to be funky because you're getting into super small sample sizes. Brooks Lee's problem isn't "velocity" though it certainly isn't helping him he's among the softest hitters in baseball. He also has no plate discipline. Personally, I think fans of this site are just enamored with the name "Brooks Lee" and all the over-hyped excitement which came with his drafting. There's a chance he can address the multiple factors he needs to change in order to become a league average hitter at MLB, but projecting more than that feels unrealistic to me. In regard to Culpepper, yes, his defense is drastically better than expected. It was expected he was a non-viable SS, and now it looks like he might be good enough to stick there. Culpepper's RF/9 was 3.91 last year with a .962 fielding percentage in AA. Viable MLB shorstops are usually 4.00+ with a .970+ fielding percentage. Culpepper was not a good shortstop, but he might be "passable." Culpepper's bat is also suspect.
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- marek houston
- kaelen culpepper
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I think the Larnach comp is pretty fair. What Larnach is vs. what he was when he first came up. Both slow, left-handed "corner outfielders" with mediocre pop. That said, Larnach has significantly more raw power. If Larnach could take another approach change and stop hitting so many grounders, he could be a pretty impressive bat. Gotta get past that inability to hit lefties somehow, though.
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- alan roden
- kendry rojas
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He's not DaShawn Keirsey. Keirsey had zero years in the minors where he was impressive at the plate. He had a hot start at AAA in 2024 and one of the admins of TD seemed to really like Keirsey personally so Keirsey got pushed as a viable MLB player around here. Keirsey's bat had never been impressive in his MiLB career. His best performance was at age 26 in AA. He was a non-prospect. Roden doesn't have the speed to cover CF, but he's produced at the plate at a high level throughout the minors. Roden doesn't show big power, but favors a line drive approach which generates some XBH and pretty medicore power output. Unfortunately, his higher contact approach has been totally outmatched at the MLB level. At the MLB level, his walks evaporated and converted into strikeouts. He's going to need 300 or so consistent plate appearances to see what the Twins actually have. Personally, I'm not bullish on him.
- 41 replies
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- alan roden
- kendry rojas
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The Twins are saying they will be competitive, and they're still hanging on to Ryan, Lopez, Buxton and Jeffers. So acquiring a shortstop would be sound strategy. Culpepper probably has a 25% chance to be a solid starter. A 10% chance of being as good or better than Abrams. Houston's chances are lower. He hit like Keoni Cavaco last year.
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- marek houston
- kaelen culpepper
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Twins should jump the line for this reliever.
bean5302 replied to thelanges5's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
It’s not hard to find a 4.50+ ERA reliever on waivers. Being a good team’s cast off doesn’t move the needle for me wanting them. I think it’s a lot more likely people got focused purely on Banda’s ERA and not the chances that ERA is going to persist. The Dodgers, of course, recognize the low likelihood Banda will be a quality reliever which is why they DFA’d him. 8.45 K/9, 4.71 BB/9, a .227 BABIP, and a strand rate of 83% taken together just scream regression. Banda is not “something” or a “real live bullpen arm” he’s a magician who has likely run out of smoke and mirrors.

