Jump to content
Our first free agents ranking has launched, click here to see the top 40+ names in free agency! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

bean5302

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    7,569

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    36

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    I have no idea how Skubal's trade impacts Joe Ryan's trade value. Skubal's arbitration ruling at the beginning of this year will undoubtedly have a major impact on the CBA, and therefore, Joe Ryan's trade value. If the CBA were to continue as is, the Skubal ruling probably puts Joe Ryan into a $20MM/yr arbitration value for next year. Obviously, the CBA is going to change, but I wouldn't be surprised to see the arbitration rules being graded in a way that continues to make Joe Ryan a $15-20MM ruling for next year.
  2. bean5302
    Where did you get the impression he wasn't intelligent? I don't think he has great instincts compared to other MLB level players, but I haven't seen anything in his interviews to back up your claim. He's not drunkenly riding scooters into fire trucks while recovering on the IL or shredding his heel on a steel staircase celebrating a win in a club barefoot...
  3. bean5302
    I've enjoyed paying extra attention to Lackey and Tinney so far. They're both clearly adapting to professional baseball, and it seems like they're both struggling to find pitches they actually want to swing at. I'm not sure that's a good sign for baseball's pitcher development process.
  4. bean5302
    Re: Rojas. Twins motto. "Positional flexibility" apparently extends to reliever vs. starter. Maybe our pitching prospect will start drawing straws to figure out where they play like the positional players?
  5. bean5302
    Does anybody think Pohlad is hedging on the CBA and a hard push for a salary cap by owners? I mean, he doesn't have to lift a finger if there's a hard floor at $175MM, does he?
  6. bean5302
    Okay, so do you option Royce Lewis or DFA and release Josh Bell to "give him a chance"?
  7. bean5302
    Austin Martin is a utility outfielder. Same as Roden at this point, but Martin bats right. The combination is redundant. It would be more clear what roster spots the Twins actually needed if they stopped drawing straws when it comes to what position a player is going to be at before game time.
  8. bean5302
    It would have been a smarter move if the Twins had ditched Bell or traded Wallner. The Twins still have 3 players with the exact same profile. Left handed hitting DH (Bell is a switch hitter in name only)
  9. bean5302
    You'd have a better argument if Sabato wasn't right in line with his expected results last year in AAA or if you had some underlying metrics to point to why a 27 year old player who has been barely adequate throughout his entire MiLB career has suddenly figured out how to be good at hitting. Happens all the time in baseball. DaShawn Keirsey, Jr., Carson McCusker, Kyler Fedko.
  10. bean5302
    Sabato. xwOBA in AAA this year is an awful .313. That's like an expected OPS of .675-ish/wRC+ 70ish when the average player in that league OPS's .775. It's just like his last year in AAA. It's all luck.
  11. bean5302
    Isn't the question about whether Sabato should be on the roster, not whether Alex Jackson should be on the roster? The Twins are not legally obligated to have bad players on the roster, right? I mean, I don't think they are unless you know of some secret back room deal TD writers have been made aware of?
  12. bean5302
    He's not a traditional bench player. Sabato would be a platoon DH bat you'd only expect to see starting against left handed pitching. Last year, based on Fangraphs, left handed pitchers made 1,233 starts of 9,720 starts. That's 1 in 8. So Sabato would start maybe 20 games a year sooooo 100 PA there, and another 50 pinch hitting?
  13. bean5302
    Exciting to see the call up for Culpepper. He was definitely rusty in his first few games back with the Saints, but he's had some good games lately. Looks like the Twins front office is convinced the rust has worked its way out and he's ready enough for MLB action. Culpepper's overall performance is good rather than great, but it's just so hard to gauge AAA right now. The pitching is so lousy in the International League it robs players of their ability to showcase their talent. Any AA caliber hitter can also hit at AAA. Here's hoping Culpepper's skills translate as directly as possible to MLB.
  14. bean5302
    Sabato is likely to be a defensively and positionally challenged DaShawn Keirsey, Jr. / Kyler Fedko. He might perform as a platoon DH, but that means pinch hitting and starting once per week. So maybe, what, 150 PA a year? How much value does that really add?
  15. bean5302
    With a new CBA coming, I don't think there's any way Arbitration goes down. I think there's a good chance arbitration extends the market value adjustment so there aren't gigantic jumps like Skubal had. 20%, 40%, 60%, 80% or something like that. Also, given Royce Lewis' history. Does he want to keep getting pushed around the field? Does he think the Twins have wronged him? I'd be shocked if he viewed himself as a utility guy or a 1B. It wouldn't surprise me if he pushed for a trade.
  16. bean5302
    Toronto. They're the only ones who've really benefitted in any meaningful way. They made the World Series.
  17. bean5302
    Pretty sure this has been pointed out at least 100x, but he's had YEARS in the GM role. Even if Falvey had a strategy that overreached into Zoll's role on paper, if Zoll couldn't develop a philosophy during his 6 years or whatever with the Twins and his 1.5yrs as a GM after taking over from Levine, he's totally incompetent.
  18. bean5302
    Who knows with this front office? Maybe Bailey "positional flexibility!" Ober? Lee, Keaschall, Lewis, Clemens. I'm not sure. Who "should" play is open to debate as well. I don't know how strong Kaelen Culpepper's arm is, really. It's graded as a 60, but that's subjective. He's going to be rangy-er than Lee, and he probably has a stronger arm too. It's possible Culpepper should be at 2B and Lewis should be at 3B. No idea.
  19. bean5302
    The Astros weren't sellers and seeing two buyers come together in a swap of MLB players is relatively uncommon. A buyer trading MLB players to a seller doesn't make sense so Larnach's market was going to be limited to prospects. Essentially, Larnach to the Astros for an Astros prospect, then the Astros prospect to another buyer for a relief pitcher. That or a 3 team trade. It feels like Zoll is just incompetent to me.
  20. bean5302
    Larnach is good so a team might trade for him and the rest are DFA candidates?
  21. bean5302
    Tell that to MiLB/MLB
  22. bean5302
    Evaluating Kremer puts him solidly as a #5 ceiling, but a reliable #5. ERA doesn't matter much, but the advanced metrics don't paint a pretty picture. xFIP and SIERA like him, but I don't find them particularly compelling. xFIP doesn't know if a fly ball is a pop up, a warning track shot or an upper deck home run. Kremer doesn't generate a lot of pop ups. He's below league average, and that suggests his HR:FB rate will be probably worse than average. SIERA does account for pop ups vs. regular fly balls, but it ignores line drives entirely and Kremer is giving up a lot of line drives this year. I guess, maybe, that'll trend back which will help his results? I think he's just an adequate back of the rotation guy.
  23. bean5302
    I don't think you can assume anything other than 2027 is played completely and the CBA has no changes. Owners might have a little more insight into things, but as regular folks on the street, not a clue. In reality, I think the owners will break the union on the salary cap. The salary cap will also come with a salary floor and a 100% rev share because it has to. If that happens, the Twins can expect they'll need to expand payroll to $175MM+ next year and teams like the Dodgers will be forced to trade assets off. But will what I think will happen actually happen? No real idea.
  24. bean5302
    Hill was the only prospect the Twins gave up who looks like they might make an impact at the MLB level, though he's still high risk. Mintner = A. The Twins' bullpen needed serious, reliable help. Not flakey guys who are often unplayable for long stretches. Mintner fits the bill and helps really solidify the lefty options. Hoffman = A. Hoffman has the credentials to lock down the back end of the bullpen. Apart from the every reliever experiences weird luck, his peripherals are great and unlike a guy like Pagan who was all peripherals, Hoffman has the background of real success. Kremer = D. The Twins needed a bona fide playoff caliber starter to supplement Ryan and Bradley. They didn't get one. Kremer does help solidify the rotation to get to the playoffs, but he doesn't help if we do make it. I think it's going to have to be Prielipp, and that's a lot of growth we need to see to trust in a guy being handled (overmanaged IMO) with kid extra padded mittens from a work load perspective. Overall D - The real issues are Kremer vs. Gausman and maybe a RH bat. Swap those 2 things out, and the Twins are far more competitive in the playoffs on paper. Just have to see, but given how far up the ladder the Twins need to climb to make it in, then advance, this feels like an effort, but an effort which didn't really change much.
  25. bean5302
    40/60 Hill makes it to MLB right now with a fair chance he never makes it past AA IMHO. The Twins traded the ceiling and the floor. Unfortunately, I can't disagree with the sentiment the Twins needed to do more to be true buyers and improve their odds at the division win (probably required to make playoffs) and their odds at advancing deep.
×
×
  • Create New...