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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    I think that's one reason Falvey was canned, but one reason Zoll should also be canned at the end of the year if the Twins don't go deep into the playoffs.
  2. bean5302
    Emma has to spend 90 days on the active roster to eliminate the 4th option year. 3/9-5/5 = 57 days 7/28-8/30 = 33 days = 90 total He's not getting a 4th option unless he goes back on the 60 day IL soon.
  3. bean5302
    High end reliever for 2 PTBNL is "relatively manageable" and gets a B High end reliever for a top 10 prospect and a couple more PTBNL types gets a B+ because it came with a little cash the Twins didn't need.
  4. bean5302
    I dislike this article quite a bit. Culpepper is showing a blip of knocking the rust off, but 1 good game isn't enough to convince me he's ready for a massive competition leap. Jenkins has been league average for over a month in AAA. Tons of pop ups, tons of grounders, low line drive rate, no power, average on the base paths and no real spot for him in the lineup. Jackson is an interesting case. His actual production has been good, but expected is terrible. He hits right handed and has 1300 career MiLB innings in the outfield. At $1MM and good defensively, does he pass through waivers? I'd say probably not, but if the Twins have seen enough, then I don't think it's the end of the world to watch him walk.
  5. bean5302
    Saints nice and consistent in a way I like to see, haha.
  6. bean5302
    wait... what? Since June 1st. I trust I don't have to add the names, lol .292/.393/.661 OPS 1.054, .368 ISO, 10.9% BB, 26.4% K. wRC+ 159 vs .281/.339/.544 OPS .883, .263 ISO, 7.3% BB, 22.0% K, wRC+ 118 That is not remotely close to similar.
  7. bean5302
    I have it on good authority this is Joe Mauer's fault.
  8. bean5302
    I'm not sure Houston has the personality to be the face of the franchise to the fans, though he's got the stuff to be the face of the franchise in terms of value and recognizable name. Houston has definite All Star and potential fringe MVP potential upside if he can keep hitting. Joe Mauer was the face of the franchise, but Michael Cuddyer and Brian Dozier were the fan face of the franchise, IMHO.
  9. bean5302
    Miller is in the middle of major approach changes. He's trying to generate more game power (same thing Houston is doing currently) while simultaneously increasing contact outside the zone, but Miller's having a much harder time with the consistency. Miller needs to be more aggressive at the plate with balls in the zone, and I think he might make it. Houston is having tremendous success with his adaptations, and he's clearly got a better eye than Miller. Beyond both of them being defensive wizards at SS, there's not a lot to compare or contrast. I still root for Miller, but his ceiling looks far lower than Houston's.
  10. bean5302
    Ever seen Juan Soto take an at bat? I can't tell if this article is just unbelievably petty or oblivious?
  11. bean5302
    I don't think it has. His expected cost has dropped as much as his value from his performance.
  12. bean5302
    This is every 2nd half he's ever pitched in. Ryan's been part of every 2nd half collapse.
  13. bean5302
    What are you talking about? Jenkins is not on a tear. Why are people just making this stuff up about Jenkins' performance. Just cool your jets and wait for him to actually be good relative to his peers. from this thread
  14. bean5302
    The Twins have already been having Culpepper play more 3B recently. I don't think Culpepper being called up is a requirement for Houston to move to AAA (or MLB). Culpepper has been ice cold since his return from injury so he's got some rust to work out. Houston is on his own path right now. There isn't a lot for him left to prove at AA, but getting to 200 PA would be meaningful for sample size. Not sure if the Twins will wait or not.
  15. bean5302
    Gabriel Gonzalez does hit lefties pretty well, though adjusting for overall league average production in AAA, he's more like wRC+ 110ish vs. lefties and wRC+ 60 vs. righties. So once a week he can start a game, hold his own at the plate (still probably not much better than average) and a couple times a week he could maybe get a pinch hit. Otherwise, he's probably a DH and a black hole vs. righties.
  16. bean5302
    It's a bummer MLB couldn't save Joe Ryan's ERA again so he could make it on the list, haha. I think Morris is a good call. Led the pitching staff in WPA plus all the rest of the stuff pointed out. That said, if we're looking for things like ERA, no way Gomez makes it over Rogers' 1.04 ERA, along with stellar xERA, and a very good FIP.
  17. bean5302
    Good. I think I share your sentiment that the team didn't go nearly big enough. It's too close to standing pat and I don't have confidence the team is playoff competitive. I think we probably have to sit back and make the call on things now when the Twins get eliminated.
  18. bean5302
    The Nippon Ham Fighters in 3-4 years.
  19. bean5302
    In what world? What peers? Guys who will never take a plate appearance in the big show? Guys who should absolutely not be in the big show? I mean, sure, if you consider Minor League Roster Filler to be Jenkins' peers, then Walker Jenkins is better than most. In the past 30 days, Walker Jenkins rank according to International League hitters who qualify with at least 57 plate appearances. wRC+ = 69th of 136 = 49th percentile OPS = 70th of 136 = 48th percentile wOBA = 64th of 136 = 52nd percentile BB Rate = 63rd of 136 = 54th percentile K Rate = 39th of 136 = 71st percentile BABIP = 51st of 136 = 62nd percentile (it's not luck he's pedestrian) ISO = 90th of 136 = 33rd percentile Spd = 59th of 136 = 56th percentile wSB = 70th of 136 = 48th percentile LD% = 67th of 136 = 50th percentile GB% = 96th of 136 = 29th percentile FB% = 92nd of 136 = 32nd percentile Popup% = 90th of 136 = 33rd percentile HR:FB% = 112th of 136 = 17th percentile The only stat where he's meaningfully better than dead average is strikeout rate.
  20. bean5302
    Just because Walker Jenkins has 1 good component of production doesn't mean his overall production, compared to other players in AAA's International League is actually good. since July 1, even including his big game yesterday. .284/.370/.444 OPS .814 wRC+ 111 (a little above league average). He's not good relative to his peers. There's a potential argument to be made that pitching is soooooooooo bad in AAA, there's only so much Jenkins can do. He's at his ceiling of production and his production won't drop off much from AAA to MLB because the skills he has directly translate. I would want to see high line drive rates or high average exit velocity or low pop up rates. None of that is true. Jenkins has a relatively low line drive rate. He has a high pop up rate. He doesn't have impressive exit velocity. He's got very good plate discipline. That's what he's got. That's it. Game power is poor. Batted ball data is poor.
  21. bean5302
    I'm not impressed with taking on what we did in payroll. Like whoop de doo. Mintner $3.4MM Hoffman $7.3MM Kremer $1.75MM The Twins were in the bottom 5 of MLB in terms of moves made. They had an obvious need for a playoff caliber starter and didn't do it. The only legitimate reason Gausman is not on the roster is because the Pohlads didn't want to spend.
  22. bean5302
    Then he's a AAA caliber player who will be useless at the MLB level. He either needs to start hitting more line drives to increase his AVG, further reduce his K rate or further increase his walk rate. If his OPS sucks, his bat sucks. Nobody cares how he gets to a good bat, but he needs to have a good bat.
  23. bean5302
    How to open and close a glove when the baseball arrives is something that can be taught to a guy who was supposed to learn that 10 years ago? Literally, that's Keaschall's problem. Doesn't know how to catch a baseball when he gets to it.
  24. bean5302
    Culpepper vs. Neto? Not even close. Not even in the ballpark. This fan base is so disrespectful, lol.
  25. bean5302
    The Twins had not found their replacements is what the front office has exclaimed by acquiring Hoffman and Mintner.
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