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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    I think that's fine you're expecting more from him, but I don't think the Twins were expecting more than what they're getting from him this year. Certainly, last year's regular season was a real letdown, but he was also a monster in the playoffs last year after the Twins finally gave him a couple weeks to rest his fried foot. Correa was one of two players on the team who actually made the Astros pitchers throw strikes. In any case, you'll be happy to know it's not $33MM next year. It goes up to $37MM haha
  2. bean5302
    I'm okay on Paddack. 4.47 ERA, 4.00 FIP, 3.75 xFIP. He's got 3 quality starts (which were all excellent) in 9 games, and over 50% of his starts have FIPs north of 5.00. Really nice to see that 8 inning performance, but I'm not staking much on him. If he remains healthy, he should be an adequate mid/back end starter.
  3. bean5302
    In Royce we Trust. Also, somebody make him eat apples.
  4. bean5302
    So you think the Twins were expecting what? 60 HR power, 8 run home runs with nobody on base? Correa can't drive in runs that aren't on base. He's 27% better than the average MLB hitter in a whopping 30 games played. What do you care if it came from home runs or doubles and walks? Right now Correa's xwOBA is 35 points higher than actual, and he'd be on pace for 20+ home runs if he played all his games at Dodger Stadium. He is clearly not the problem.
  5. bean5302
    Rooker was, in fact, on the Twins before he was age 28. He was essentially benched for Larnach and Kirilloff in 2021 when Rooker was 26, after he ripped the cover off the ball in 2020 at age 25 before he had his wrist broken by a HBP. The peripherals for Rooker showed he was getting unlucky in 2021, and even so, he was still as good if not better than Larnach or Kirilloff. The Twins chose Larnach and Kirilloff instead of Rooker. That's called evaluation of talent. Rooker is now a middle of the order slugger with All Star caliber numbers the past two years. Rooker's "defense" isn't so bad when you look at Kirilloff Larnach. The Twins dropped the ball like it was routine fly to Alex Kirilloff.
  6. bean5302
    Levine tried. Nobody wanted to give him a job. I think you might be seeing why...
  7. bean5302
    Keirsey!!!! Worse numbers in center field than Martin. Get him up here!
  8. bean5302
    Correa is a stud shortstop with a wRC+ 127 on pace for a 4 WAR season. He's right in line with what you could expect. Buxton's been a disappointment at the plate, but not like some other guys. Neither Correa, nor Buxton were legitimate options to change before this season. A whole bunch of other guys were.
  9. bean5302
    Not sure why anybody cares what the bullpen does when the starter gives up 7 runs. It's just not relevant.
  10. bean5302
    LOL, you're 100% right. It's definitely not the Twins' fault they can't evaluate talent.
  11. bean5302
    It had to do with how the Twins handled Rooker. Not the fact the Twins were willing to toss him in with a free bucket of baseballs to clear a spot on the 40 man for Pagan.
  12. bean5302
    You seem to be stretching your arguments. First, Larnach's K rate was very similar to Rooker, but Larnach does not have a lot of game power. Second, Larnach and Rooker are pretty similar in the field in terms of results. Third, there's a 2 year age gap (1 year draft) difference between the two, it's not 3 years. Finally, Rooker's ability to punish both breaking balls and fastballs and hit for power made him significantly less risky than Larnach. The Twins tossed in Rooker to complete the Padres trade... and the Padres cut bait on Rooker after 7 plate appearances (and his AAA .990 OPS) to acquire a 29 year old emergency depth backup catcher on release waivers from the Royals in Cam Gallagher. The Padres then DFA'd Gallagher, who didn't play a single game for the Padres, a month later. Yeah... that's a lot of "potential" recognition what with the DFAs. Rooker's reputation was stained by the Twins who poorly evaluated him. Rooker's defense is not -30 UZR/150 in the field so I'm thinking you just don't understand positional value adjustment. Also, I suspect you never watched Rooker on a regular basis in the outfield because he never played on a regular basis for the Twins. Rooker had the equivalent of 2 months of consistent outfield play for Minnesota in his career. He did look a lot like Wallner out there in terms of instincts, though. I'd expect Rooker to settle in at -10 runs-ish per full season in the corners. Positional adjustment to corner outfield is +20 runs.
  13. bean5302
    Velocity in 2024 (100.7) is the same as 2022 (100.9) and less than 1mph off from the first 15 appearances in 2023 (101.5). His velocity will probably improve a little as the season continues. Not sure about why the catchers are calling what they're calling, but apparently they're not on the same page as Duran atm.
  14. bean5302
    Rosario ran out of team control years ago. The Twins would have needed to sign him as a free agent. Comments about Rosario are downright stupid at this point.
  15. bean5302
    I think it's late enough in the season to ask what the heck is wrong with Matt Wallner? Is it all mental, does he need to see an ophthalmologist or is the coaching staff inept? I suggested a few weeks ago that Wallner go down to Ft. Myers. I'm suggesting it again. Either there's something wrong or he's lost every bit of confidence. Putting him on easy mode level might be the way to go.
  16. bean5302
    Yes. Choosing to keep Larnach over Rooker was an obvious mistake as far as I'm concerned. I've expected Rooker to be a very good valuable hitter for a long time now, but he needed an opportunity. The Twins' treatment of Rooker ruined his reputation as a prospect and it took landing with the Oakland A's for Rooker to finally get a lengthy look in the lineup. I don't think he'll keep hitting quite as well as he has this year, but I bet the Padres and Royals are wishing they gave Rooker more plate appearances and ignored Minnesota's evaluations. I don't think it's probable Rooker will continue to improve at this point, but he could settle in at a 3.0 WAR DH or if somebody puts him back into the field, a 4.0 WAR corner outfielder with rough defense.
  17. bean5302
    Dude is 4-2 with a 4.89 ERA coming into the game with 5 of his 8 prior starts having an FIP over 5.00. I think the woe is Chris Paddack stuff can wait.
  18. bean5302
    Ryan Jeffers wOBA .400 vs. xwOBA .359 (still great). He's got a ways to go on the regression, but no matter what way you look at it, he's been very good this year. After clearly starting the season off on one side of luck, Larnach is now on the opposite side of the luck line. It seems like his bat will bounce back at this point. Santana isn't taking walks anymore which has been the hallmark of his bat's value over the years. Expecting him to put up a season even at league average marks is probably a stretch.
  19. bean5302
    With the new rule changes, defensive teams will be required to have a minimum of four players on the infield, with at least two infielders completely on either side of second base It's not from the center of the base. It's from the "side" of the base, the graphic is imperfect showing 1 line instead of 2. Correa was in violation. Not seeing this "strike 3" error you're talking about.
  20. bean5302
    What a mess. This team does make it hard to believe in them.
  21. bean5302
    Joe Jackson made the equivalent of $200k annually in modern times so he certainly could have afforded his own attorney back then. Of course, Jackson was illiterate, and he didn't have the MLBPA protecting him to make sure he was properly represented. That said common sense, and advice from the guys he was conspiring to ruin the World Series with would have been expected. In modern times, the Houston Astros absolutely had attorneys meeting with the players when the investigation opened up into the sign stealing/tech/garbage can scandal, and that's just an internal MLB thing, not a legal thing. In any case, Jackson was acquitted through sheer popularity despite more than enough evidence to convict him so it doesn't even matter. He came out looking as good as he possibly could have, but the commissioner rightfully ended his career by banning him, similar to Trevor Bauer recently. There's quite the sentiment in recent years to re-write history, damning the popular, and rejuvenating the unpopular. Undoubtedly, The Field of Dreams has been a major key to Shoeless Joe Jackson's restoration, casting him as a forlorn character. The act of rescinding the ban has no effect on Joe Jackson as he's been dead for 70 years. It's also worth noting that MLB has been reviewing his case over the years and they've never decided to act. There's enough evidence there.
  22. bean5302
    Festa started with trying to increase velocity and spin so his stuff might be viable at the MLB level because he wasn't a highly regarded prospect for the draft. As a college sophomore, he went in round 13 in 2021. I guess he must be working on command and control now that his stuff appears good enough it might play.
  23. bean5302
    https://www.fangraphs.com/players/byron-buxton/14161/game-log?type=2&gds=&gde=&season=&position=OF When selecting a group of games in the "Game Log" tab hold the Shift key, left click on the starting row, then click on the end date row. Similar rules on BaseballReference.com
  24. bean5302
    No. He'd be non-prospect MiLB roster filler guy if we was 26. Scratch that, he'd have been non-tendered and released. Good prospects are always younger than competition. Legitimate pitching prospects should be expected to be in the majors in 3-4 years if drafted out of college. High school drafted pitchers in 4-5 years. Elite prospects a year ahead of that. Age is largely irrelevant. If stuff plays, it plays. Raya was a 4th round pick who signed out of high school in 2020, and it's 4 years later in 2024 now. A good high school pitching prospect would be expected to be near MLB ready and Raya is no where close. Woods Richardson was basically written off as a prospect last year at one year older (and more impressive) in the minors. Raya's basically been limited to 3.0 inning starts for the past 2 years and 31 starts, averaging just 2.93 innings per start since August 2022. Not to mention he performed very poorly last year in AA. His K rate is up this year, and that's great, but it's come along with hard contact, home runs, and walks. It's not like it's all over for him as there is some improvement this year as the K's have shown up, and it just could be Raya wasn't ready for AA competition levels last year, and the Twins were forcing him into it. Still, at 3.0 innings per start, it's pretty unimpressive, and Raya's last 4 starts have all been poor. What's Raya look like at 5.0 or 6.0 innings like pretty much every other starter prospect is throwing? When Raya has to get through the order 2x and into the 3x? Can he even do it? Will his shoulder hold out?
  25. bean5302
    I don't see much evidence they're ramping him up in a normal context. 47 (3.0), 51 (3.0), 45 (3.0), 44 (2.1), 55 (3.1), 57 (4.0), 60 (3.0). I mean... he's pitched a handful more pitches in the last 3 starts, I guess. That said, Raya doesn't look good anyway. 4.98 ERA, 5.14 FIP at AA. Even if we ignore his last blowup, his numbers are pretty pedestrian, especially given how few innings/pitches he's asked to give.
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