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  • Is Kenta Maeda Bullpen Bound?


    Cody Pirkl

    The Twins have a lot of moving parts as they approach the playoffs, particularly on the pitching staff. With the bullpen having arguably the most question marks, Kenta Maeda could be an answer.

    Image courtesy of Nick Wosika-USA TODAY Sports

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    Kenta Maeda has been an ace-level starting pitcher at times in his Twins career, even as recently as just a few weeks ago. After coming off the IL, Maeda went on a blistering stretch, posting a 2.47 ERA in eight starts leading up to August 10. Since then, he’s posted a 5.52 mark, possibly taking himself out of the running for the third spot in the postseason rotation with the return of Joe Ryan. As a result, Maeda should have a role in the postseason bullpen instead.

    It’s easy to forget that Maeda is still just a year removed from Tommy John surgery. He looked like he wasn’t at full strength to start the season, and while Maeda looked much stronger upon his return from the IL, he’s looked to be running on fumes in his last few starts. His 89 innings pitched don’t seem like many, but he threw zero in 2022 and 109 in 2021, and of course, only 66 in his Cy Young runner-up 2020. Fatigue may be starting to catch up.

    Fortunately, this possibility doesn’t have to take Maeda off the postseason roster entirely. The Twins bullpen remains arguably the most significant question mark on the team, as several young players like Kody Funderburk and Louie Varland are debuting to claim a spot. Paired with pitchers like Griffin Jax struggling and Brock Stewart being questionable at best to return from injury, the bullpen has plenty of openings.

    Maeda has made the bullpen transition before with the Dodgers. In 21 postseason appearances out of the bullpen in LA, Maeda has a 1.63 ERA with 27 strikeouts in 22 innings. His last relief appearance was in 2019, but he’s never been a flamethrower, and his offspeed pitches still appear capable of fooling opposing hitters. Shorter stints could allow him to lean into his offspeed even more and hopefully minimize the fatigue he may be having at this point in the season.

    Maeda was not a fan of this usage with the Dodgers, which was part of the reason he was traded to Minnesota. Likely, he wouldn’t be adamantly opposed to making this switch once again if the Twins were to ask, but it undoubtedly plays at least a minor factor in how they move forward.

    It’s also possible Maeda pitches out of the bullpen in the opening series with intentions of slotting back into a starter role should the Twins advance. Twins advance. He could be available for a multi-inning stint with eyes on starting game four of the ALDS.

    At any rate, it unfortunately has become challenging to see Maeda starting in a game three situation of the opening playoff series. With how he’s recently struggled, as well as Joe Ryan’s return, his best usage may be to help patch a relief corps leaking oil since the Twins declined not to add to it at the deadline meaningfully. Should Brock Stewart return to form and/or Varland becomes a legitimate weapon, Maeda could make the back end of games even more challenging to traverse for opposing lineups. 

    Should the Twins consider moving Kenta Maeda to the bullpen for the playoffs? Let us know below!

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    He's most certainly in the BP.  In fact, if he returns to the Twins in 2024 it will have to be as a BP piece.  His days of starting are behind him.  I can't really see a team signing him to be anything but a BP pitcher who in a pinch could get an occasional start.  The same goes for Keuchel.  If he makes the post season roster he's in the BP as well.  Lopez, Gray and Ryan are the SP's in the first round and Ober once he's rested and back is #4.  That's all the Twins will need no matter how far they go in the playoffs with off days and potential rain out/snow outs.  

    And with Varland looking pretty good out of the pen and Funderburk as well (we can only hope Stewart too) Maeda and Keuchel are vital to shoring up our under-performing pen.  I like Jax, but he's just not dependable at all right now.  

    In the case of Maeda, he's got an outstanding track record coming out of the BP in the post season.  Putting him there is a no brainer.  Thank Goodness "the analytics" make it so.  

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    15 minutes ago, TopGunn#22 said:

    In fact, if he returns to the Twins in 2024 it will have to be as a BP piece.  His days of starting are behind him.  I can't really see a team signing him to be anything but a BP pitcher who in a pinch could get an occasional start. 

    At first, I thought you meant Batting Practice (BP) pitcher.  I think Twins Daily should have an easily accessible glossary of standardized abbreviations.  Sometimes I feel like I'm back at meetings when I worked and couldn't understand half of what was being said because of all the acronyms being used.

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    Sorry terrydactyls !!  Sometimes we just "ASSUME" that everybody knows what we're talking about.  I will try to type bullpen more often.  It's an easy mistake to make.  Heck, some of these anacronym abbreviations that get typed nowadays I'm finding myself googling ("what the heck does THAT mean?")   Earlier this week had to do it for "OG."  Had read it a million times and finally just had to find out.  "Original Gangster."  I'm learning...

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    Assuming health does not play a role from here on out, the only locks for SP right now in the playoffs are Gray and Lopez.  Maeda and Ryan are locks for the roster.  Ober and Keuchel are extremely strong candidates to be on the roster.

    The 3rd and/or 4th SP slot will entirely depend on who and where they are playing.  The others will play pivotal roles in the BP.

    Having a plethora of quality SP is an extremely fun problem to have!

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    Yes he can and willfully should go to the bullpen for round one.  Depending on how he does there, they can determine whether he could start should they advance.

    If he balks due to his contract language, then they could compensate him with a playoff bonus of some sort to make him happy.

    I'd like to see them try him in the bullpen a few times coming down the stretch as they are doing with Varland so he can adjust to shorter warm up times after his TJ surgery.

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    37 minutes ago, Fire Dan Gladden said:

    Assuming health does not play a role from here on out, the only locks for SP right now in the playoffs are Gray and Lopez.  Maeda and Ryan are locks for the roster.  Ober and Keuchel are extremely strong candidates to be on the roster.

    The 3rd and/or 4th SP slot will entirely depend on who and where they are playing.  The others will play pivotal roles in the BP.

    Having a plethora of quality SP is an extremely fun problem to have!

    Agree completely with this.  Being in the bullpen vs. being a starter is a distinction without a difference at this point.  Gray and Lopez (in some order) will start games one and two.  One of Maeda or Ryan starts game three and the other is "in the bullpen", which basically means they are ready for the next game or to finish a short start (or earlier if Gray or Lopez struggle) in game three.  I think Ober and Keuchel are locks for the roster/bullpen as well.  This will say goodbye for now to players like Floro and make the staff potentially really good.  Let's hope this all works and then we start this all over again for the next round!

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    With how bad the middle bullpen is and has been I think you have to have a planned split starts during the playoffs.  Joe Ryan has only gone 4 inning his last 4 starts.

    Start Pablo Lopez game one with Joe Ryan starting game 2 with Maeda taking over as soon as 3rd time thru the order (likely 4 or 5th) having Kenta go through there order twice and hopefully that gets you through Atleast the 8th.

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    3 hours ago, Bigfork Twins Guy said:

    Yes he can and willfully should go to the bullpen for round one.  Depending on how he does there, they can determine whether he could start should they advance.

    If he balks due to his contract language, then they could compensate him with a playoff bonus of some sort to make him happy.

    I'd like to see them try him in the bullpen a few times coming down the stretch as they are doing with Varland so he can adjust to shorter warm up times after his TJ surgery.

    I'm pretty sure his frustration with being moved to the bullpen in LA entirely coincided with the move putting him just a few innings short of contract bonuses, denying him millions more in earnings. I'd be upset too.

    This year, that's not an issue. If those incentives were really his only gripe, he will have no gripe.

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    If this is going to happen, it likely happens after his next start. Ober essentially takes Maeda's spot in the rotation for his final two scheduled starts and he comes out of the bullpen 3-4 times in the final 10 or so games.

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    5 hours ago, terrydactyls said:

    At first, I thought you meant Batting Practice (BP) pitcher.  I think Twins Daily should have an easily accessible glossary of standardized abbreviations.  Sometimes I feel like I'm back at meetings when I worked and couldn't understand half of what was being said because of all the acronyms being used.

    We need a lefty for batting practice because we can't hit em.

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    My concern with moving Meada to BP is that he rarely looks sharp in 1st inning. He seems to loosen up and command his pitches better in innings 2,3,and 4. This tendency could prove disastrous as a reliever in Playoffs.

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    On 9/14/2023 at 9:10 AM, TopGunn#22 said:

    Sorry terrydactyls !!  Sometimes we just "ASSUME" that everybody knows what we're talking about.  I will try to type bullpen more often.  It's an easy mistake to make.  Heck, some of these anacronym abbreviations that get typed nowadays I'm finding myself googling ("what the heck does THAT mean?")   Earlier this week had to do it for "OG."  Had read it a million times and finally just had to find out.  "Original Gangster."  I'm learning...

    I guess I am so far out of it that explaining "OG" means "Qriginal Gangster" does not help clarify anything for me. :)

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