How Much Does Sonny Gray Get Paid?

5 minutes ago, Dman said:

I think 3/75 is what his side will ask for.  Whether they can get it or not just depends on how other teams see Gray. To me he isn't an official number 1 like Sherzer\Verlander but also not too far off.  I think a three year deal at 20M per year seems like the floor if he stays healthy and continues to pitch well.  If he falls of in the second half might be more in line with 15 to 17 per year.

I don't think the Twins go three years with Gray.  They have invested in Lopez and have Ryan and Ober with Paddack on the way back.  I think they will be OK without him but who knows for sure what will happen. I never saw them resigning Correa either.

I think this hits all the talking points.  We know all it takes is some crazy team (hello NYM), but 3 yrs sounds about right.  The dollar range sounds about right, but it would not surprise me to see an AAV closer to $30.

The Twins probably already know if they are close to what Grey's camp is asking for.

3 year 70-75 million or 4th year at an extra 10-15 million.

I was thinking that three years and about $57 million sounds good for Sonny Gray. I do not think the Twins should be in on him.

I would not try to speculate until we see how he pitches the rest of the year.  There will be a stark contrast if he pitches like his 1st 10 starts for the rest of the year vs his last 10 starts where he has had an ERA of 4.5 and a xFIP of 4.29 with a K rate of 7.69.

1 hour ago, Major League Ready said:

I would not try to speculate until we see how he pitches the rest of the year.  There will be a stark contrast if he pitches like his 1st 10 starts for the rest of the year vs his last 10 starts where he has had an ERA of 4.5 and a xFIP of 4.29 with a K rate of 7.69.

Hopefully he pitches the remainder of the year like his first ten starts. You make a good point about early speculation but I'm not wanting to sign Gray for market value even if he does finish the year strong. 

I'm predicting 3/60 with a 4th year player option.

3 minutes ago, ashbury said:

Might as well just give him the guaranteed fourth year, then.

I'm thinking he might want it as insurance in case he hates where he is...

20 minutes ago, ashbury said:

Can include an opt out.

Never really thought about opt outs versus player options...good point

Sonny could also decide to retire and spend more time with his family!  He mentioned at the All-Star break that he had been selected three times over a ten year career - maybe time to hang it up. 
 

Nice way to put a pox on the Twins.  😜

I don't expect the Twins to resign him unless he accepts the QO, which he won't. Depending on his health and performance the rest of the season. I think he's in line to get something like Bassitt's deal say 3/65. 25/25/team option for 15.

Yes I doubt they will resign him.  If he rejects the qualifying offer the Twins only get a draft pick.  Not much considering how well he's pitched for us.  As with any player about to leave via free agency you risk getting nothing.  Your article doesn't mention the trade option.  Although I don't think they will trade him because in part it may be a public relations nightmare to trade a top end starting pitcher in a pennant chase.  My guess is he's gone at end of year and we get a draft pick.

On 7/19/2023 at 9:12 PM, Major League Ready said:

I would not try to speculate until we see how he pitches the rest of the year.  There will be a stark contrast if he pitches like his 1st 10 starts for the rest of the year vs his last 10 starts where he has had an ERA of 4.5 and a xFIP of 4.29 with a K rate of 7.69.

💯agree to this, but it really was more like his first 6 starts, and then every 4th or 5th game.

@Ted Schwerzler  - "he has been great this season often pitching deeper into games"

He has started 19 games and finished 6 innings 8 times, 7 twice and successfully got at least one out in the 6th 10 times that is not my definition of often.

He gets 3 years and $60 million for sure. No the Twins won’t pay this nor should they. QO and they are all good no matter what happens. 

3/60 max. I hope the Twins just offer the QO, take it or leave it. He’s done well. It was a good trade, though I’m a Petty fanboy. 
 

His K% keeps dropping as the years go on, I don’t want the Twins to be stuck with him for years when it all fully falls apart