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It’s not exactly surprising when a team nails a first-round pick, especially when they are in the upper half of the group. It’s also not difficult to point out the misses in the first round, as those will always stand out the most and be disheartening. What good developing teams can do, though, is generate big-league production from the late rounds.
For years, fans have dreamed of Royce Lewis being a superstar. That dream feels close to coming to fruition, and the hope is that both Brooks Lee and Walker Jenkins can follow suit. Aaron Sabato, Trevor Larnach, and Keoni Cavaco were all later selections in that first round, and the sport is littered with misses on talents like that. For Minnesota, though, a handful of players set to contribute in 2024 can be seen as diamonds in the rough.
Louie Varland - 15th round, 2019
Taken from Division II Concordia St. Paul, the younger Varland blitzed the minors quicker than his elder brother, Gus. Both have since debuted at the highest level, and Louie appears to be one of the Twins' most intriguing options on the mound for the year ahead. He showed eye-popping stuff as a reliever down the stretch last season, but hasn’t fully developed or settled in as a starting option. It would be fun to see Minnesota acquire the elder Varland for the bullpen, too, but regardless, this has been an exciting career arc to observe.
Kody Funderburk - 15th round, 2018
Debuting last season after dominating on the farm, Funderburk acquitted himself nicely. It stands to reason that Rocco Baldelli will heavily rely upon him in relief for the season ahead, if that success carries over to a new year. He presents another left-handed option alongside Caleb Thielbar, and could be the reliever who makes up for the production lost with Emilio Pagan’s departure. Star Tribune beat reporter Bobby Nightengale thinks he could become a standout high-leverage type for the Twins.
David Festa - 13th round, 2021
One of the best pitching prospects in the Twins' system is Festa, who is jockeying with Marco Raya for that title. Last season, Festa finished the year throwing for Toby Gardenhire at Triple-A St. Paul, and he may be one of the first men called upon when the starting rotation needs to lean on internal depth. Festa has the makings of a strong starting option with a relatively safe floor.
Edouard Julien - 18th round, 2019
After dealing Luis Arráez for Pablo López over the offseason last year, the Twins had serious question marks behind Jorge Polanco at second base. Julien didn’t take long to emerge as an option and then show staying power, after being vaulted into the starting lineup. The former Auburn standout had to be convinced to leave school, and the Twins shelling out nearly $500,000 to a pick outside the top 10 rounds in order to make that happen was some of their best work in the draft to date. Julien looks the part of a star leadoff hitter, and while he doesn’t necessarily have superstar traits, he should be a high-caliber regular for the duration of his career.
Bailey Ober - 12th round, 2017
After starting last season at Triple A despite a strong spring, Ober worked hard and positioned himself in a spot where Minnesota couldn’t be without him. He’s now fully entrenched in the starting rotation, and another step forward could have him as the team’s second-best starter, behind López. Ober's trend arrow is still pointing up, and surpassing Joe Ryan or Chris Paddack in the pecking order would hardly be unexpected. Given that the Twins need another reliable arm or two for a postseason series, Ober has the stuff to put himself into that conversation.
Brent Headrick - 9th round, 2019
Although his major-league debut didn’t go as planned, Headrick has consistently shown strong results each time he has moved up a level. Triple A wasn’t a breeze for him in St. Paul, but the strikeout and secondary numbers remained enticing. Headrick was dominant at High-A Cedar Rapids last year, before a bit less impressive results with Double-A Wichita, but another offseason of development (while now knowing what it takes) could be huge for him. Maybe Headrick is a depth starter, or maybe he winds up being a long man out of the pen, but either way, it’s a solid outcome.
The best yet to come: Zebby Matthews (8th round, 2022), Cory Lewis (9th round, 2022), C.J. Culpepper (13th round, 2022)
It’s too soon to consider anyone from the 2023 draft class, but the 2022 group has a trio of late-round pitchers who have stood out. Matthews didn’t dominate at Cedar Rapids like he did for Fort Myers, but the stuff still presents an exciting profile. Lewis might soon find himself as the Twins' best pitching prospect, with a feel-over-power arsenal that includes one of the last knuckleballs in professional baseball. Culpepper is similar to Matthews regarding results, but there’s an opportunity to follow an Ober- or Varland-like path.
How the careers of each of these players turn out remains to be seen, but each rising to the highest level despite being available so late in their respective drafts is impressive. It isn’t Falvey and Levine pulling all of the strings, but a willingness to take chances and Johnson’s group hitting on them results in these success stories.
It's because of development like this that the Twins can also see dips in their payroll, without automatically suffering concomitant lulls in on-field success. As players on pre-arbitration contracts take significant roles and run with them, there will be a suppressed level of financial commitment needed to keep them on the roster. The more the organization can continue to churn out these players, the better for everyone involved.
Are there any other under-the-radar late-rounders in the organization you'll keep an eye on in 2024? Talk about them, and about this impressive bevy of newly polished gems, in the comments.
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