Fangraphs (and other national publications) on the Twins

[Mike Sixel]

Obviously not Twins, but I found this fascinating:

 

ohioastrosfan
1:02 Obviously teams all have their own proprietary models they use to evaluate prospects. Based on your experience in the industry, how close are they to each other and to fangraphs models?

 

Eric A Longenhagen
1:03 There is more variability than the public realizes.

[Vanimal46]

Another MLB Trade Rumors blog about the Twins being hot on the trail for a catcher.... Specifically Jason Castro. The industry believes Castro will sign a 3 year deal. 

[Vanimal46]

1:27
Josh: Piece of advice you would have for MN pitching? Love reading your stuff Eno

 

1:28
Eno Sarris: Give Mejia and Berrios a real long shot.

 

 

Agreed on Berrios... Not sold on Mejia getting a long shot yet.

[Vanimal46]

12:32
Art Vandelay: Dozier…is he even worth a Brandon McCarthy type? Or would the Twins aim younger do you think?

 

12:32
Eno Sarris: He’s worth a good bit. Signed for only $15 million for the next two years and just put up nine-plus wins in the last two years.

 

Um, what Art?

http://www.reactiongifs.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/no-answer.gif

[nicksaviking]

 

12:32
Art Vandelay: Dozier…is he even worth a Brandon McCarthy type? Or would the Twins aim younger do you think?

 

12:32
Eno Sarris: He’s worth a good bit. Signed for only $15 million for the next two years and just put up nine-plus wins in the last two years.

 

Um, what Art?

http://www.reactiongifs.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/no-answer.gif

 

I didn't even know Brandon McCarthy still played.

 

I liked the answer, but I wish Eno would have given the poster a hard time about the question.

[Mr. Brooks]

1:27

Josh: Piece of advice you would have for MN pitching? Love reading your stuff Eno

 

1:28

Eno Sarris: Give Mejia and Berrios a real long shot.

 

 

Agreed on Berrios... Not sold on Mejia getting a long shot yet.

Mejia is 23 and has 200 innings at AA and above. I'd have him in the opening day roster, in ink.

But he probably won't be.

[ShouldaCouldaWoulda]

Plenty of Twins questions answered here. I may or may not have changed my name and location several times to get some of these answered.

 

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/chat/chat.php?chatId=1379

[Mike Sixel]

KLAW posted an insider article praising the Plouffe move.

[Vanimal46]

 

Plenty of Twins questions answered here. I may or may not have changed my name and location several times to get some of these answered.

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/chat/chat.php?chatId=1379

Not promising when the chat host said he thinks Berrios is going to end up as a reliever.... not promising at all. 

[ShouldaCouldaWoulda]

Not promising when the chat host said he thinks Berrios is going to end up as a reliever.... not promising at all.

...and that the ways in which he struggled were exactly the ways that industry doubters questioned about him.

[nicksaviking]

 

...and that the ways in which he struggled were exactly the ways that industry doubters questioned about him.

 

Is that true though? Because to me it seemed he struggled due to fastball command and I never heard anyone with concerns about his command. Generally his control was thought to be a strength from my recollection. The concern I heard was of him not having a good enough downward plane, but he was still missing bats when he was in the zone.

 

To me Berrios' struggles were the exact OPPOSITE of what the industry doubters thought.

[Mr. Brooks]

Is that true though? Because to me it seemed he struggled due to fastball command and I never heard anyone with concerns about his command. Generally his control was thought to be a strength from my recollection. The concern I heard was of him not having a good enough downward plane, but he was still missing bats when he was in the zone.

 

To me Berrios' struggles were the exact OPPOSITE of what the industry doubters thought.

Command has been one of the concerns with Berrios. His walk rates have always been a concern.

[nicksaviking]

 

Command has been one of the concerns with Berrios. His walk rates have always been a concern.

 

His minor league career 2.5 BB/9 average?

[Mr. Brooks]

His minor league career 2.5 BB/9 average?

His walk RATE has been a concern at times.

He doesn't give up many hits, so that has kept his bb/9 pretty low.

I'm not saying his command has been terrible, but there have been concerns about his walk rates and pitch counts relative to his prospect rankings.

 

EDIT: upon further inspection his bb rates don't look too bad either. Maybe I just dreamed it all.

[Mike Sixel]

D12:37 Do you think De Leon and Willie Calhoun is enough for Dozier?

 

Dave Cameron

12:37 Yes. At least, it should be.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-21-prospects-los-angeles-dodgers/

 

[nicksaviking]

 

D12:37 Do you think De Leon and Willie Calhoun is enough for Dozier?

 

Dave Cameron

12:37 Yes. At least, it should be.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-21-prospects-los-angeles-dodgers/

 

Yeah, it probably should be. Am I the only one who is starting to feel the holiday positivity though and think they'll actually get more?

[Oxtung]

D12:37 Do you think De Leon and Willie Calhoun is enough for Dozier?

 

 

Dave Cameron

12:37 Yes. At least, it should be.

 

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-21-prospects-los-angeles-dodgers/

I'd be disappointed with that return and want nothing to do with Calhoun. A guy who is questionable to stick in a corner OF spot needs more than average bat with above average power. I look at his skill set and think Deleon Young. Anyone interested in that?

[Mike Sixel]

Calhoun doesn't thrill me either.....not even sure how I feel about De Leon right now.

[Oldgoat_MN]

The noted sites do not seem clear that De Leon is even a sure thing #3 starter.

 

And I would rather have a low level prospect who looks promising than Calhoun.

[Linus]

I would take DeLeon and their next best pitching prospect. I would really try for Urias but I'm repeating myself on that one. We need to exclusively target pitching imo

[Mike Sixel]

 

I would take DeLeon and their next best pitching prospect. I would really try for Urias but I'm repeating myself on that one. We need to exclusively target pitching imo

 

Most sites have Alvarez as their top SP prospect.....so, their 2nd and 3rd SP prospects?

[Linus]

Most sites have Alvarez as their top SP prospect.....so, their 2nd and 3rd SP prospects?

I thought DeLeon was the top prospect so then I mean Alvarez and DeLeon. If this is offered they have to take it

[Mike Sixel]

Most sites was wrong, some have it flipped with De Leon the top! 

[jimmer]

Fangraphs has a new article about Dozier titled, 'Who wants Brian Dozier?' Spells out some options. Also say Fangraphs project 3.1 WAR and Steamer projects 2.8 WAR for Doziers coming season.

[Mike Sixel]

Curious George: Care to share a few American League sleepers as of December 15, 2016?

 

12:17
Eno Sarris: I’m interested in Adalberto Mejia for his high spin fastball, plus slider, and better feel for his change and opportunity in Minny rotation. Chad Green has good spin and if he trusted that splitter… he’s better than the last Green. David Paulino… Andrew Triggs probably has a job in Oakland right now and is not a typical sidearmer in every regard. I love love Ryon Healy. Joey Wendle actually was a league leader type in hitting in line drive angles. Alex Bregman is going to break out big time. High Barrel guys that I believe in that should be cheap: Byung Ho Park, Kennys Vargas

[Mike Sixel]

Willl: Are you a Buxton believer?

 

12:30
Eno Sarris: Not really. I get a Cameron Maybin vibe. The injuries, the promise, the fits and starts… Buxton has more power but also more strikeouts.

[Mike Sixel]

1:12
Love me some Twinkies: If Kepler is able to be a full time outfielder this year what kind of numbers do you expect. Minor league numbers certainly show a nice mix of speed and power but that major league average was kind of ugly last year.

 

1:12
Eno Sarris: One thing that worried me was some soft contact. I did like the plate discipline, but worried a bit about the power.

[jimmer]

 

1:12
Love me some Twinkies: If Kepler is able to be a full time outfielder this year what kind of numbers do you expect. Minor league numbers certainly show a nice mix of speed and power but that major league average was kind of ugly last year.

 

1:12
Eno Sarris: One thing that worried me was some soft contact. I did like the plate discipline, but worried a bit about the power.

Legitimate concern.  I mean he excited us for a few weeks with his power, and that was fun, but yeah.  It's a concern.

[Pardon My Dinger]

Legitimate concern. I mean he excited us for a few weeks with his power, and that was fun, but yeah. It's a concern.

Honestly, I recall that it was more like a few days. That said, I think he'll be a quality outfielder.

[Vanimal46]

 

Curious George: Care to share a few American League sleepers as of December 15, 2016?

 

12:17
Eno Sarris: I’m interested in Adalberto Mejia for his high spin fastball, plus slider, and better feel for his change and opportunity in Minny rotation. Chad Green has good spin and if he trusted that splitter… he’s better than the last Green. David Paulino… Andrew Triggs probably has a job in Oakland right now and is not a typical sidearmer in every regard. I love love Ryon Healy. Joey Wendle actually was a league leader type in hitting in line drive angles. Alex Bregman is going to break out big time. High Barrel guys that I believe in that should be cheap: Byung Ho Park, Kennys Vargas

Side note: When did it become the "insider" thing to describe a fastball "high spin fastball" or "low spin fastball?"